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Bracketology: Virginia marches South as Tennessee drops; Kentucky a 2-seed

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With a coveted spot atop the South Region in play, Virginia benefited from Tennessee’s loss at Kentucky on Saturday night.  By a narrow margin, UVA moved to No. 2 on the Seed List, dropping Tennessee to No. 3 overall.  As a result, the Cavaliers march South as the No. 1 seed in the Louisville region, bumping the Volunteers to the Midwest.

Kentucky stays put as the top two-seed, which leaves an interesting question: Would the Committee place UK in the South Region opposite Virginia knowing the potential advantage it could give the Wildcats in an Elite Eight matchup in Louisville?

That type of scenario has worked out differently over the years.  The other option, given bracketing guidelines, would be for the Committee to slot Kentucky in the West Region, opposite Gonzaga, pairing No. 4 and No. 5 on the seed list together.  For now, UK stays South.  Let’s see how things shake out the next couple of weeks.

Meanwhile, the ragged cutline continues to ebb and flow.  Wait a couple of days; it’s likely to change.

UPDATED: February 18, 2019

FIRST FOUR – DAYTON
EAST REGION Utah State vs. UCF
MIDWEST REGION Butler vs. Temple
EAST REGION ST. FRANCIS (PA) vs. CANISIUS
MIDWEST REGION NORFOLK ST vs. PRAIRIE VIEW

EAST Washington, DC   SOUTH – Louisville                      
Columbia Columbia
1) DUKE 1) Virginia
16) ST. FRANCIS / CANISIUS 16) BUCKNELL
8) BUFFALO 8) Auburn
9) Seton Hall 9) Minnesota
San Jose Salt Lake City
5) Wisconsin 5) Texas Tech
12) Utah State / UCF 12) LIPSCOMB
4) Iowa State 4) VILLANOVA
13) VERMONT 13) OLD DOMINION
Des Moines Tulsa
6) Virginia Tech 6) Maryland
11) VCU 11) Arizona State
3) Marquette 3) HOUSTON
14) YALE 14) UC-IRVINE
Des Moines Columbus
7) Mississippi State 7) St. John’s
10) TCU 10) NC State
2) Michigan 2) Kentucky
15) LOYOLA-CHICAGO 15) RADFORD
WEST – Anaheim MIDWEST – Kansas City
Salt Lake City Jacksonville
1) GONZAGA 1) TENNESSEE
16) SAM HOUSTON 16) NORFOLK ST / PR VIEW
8) WOFFORD 8) WASHINGTON
9) Baylor 9) Syracuse
San Jose Hartford
5) Louisville 5) KANSAS STATE
12) BELMONT 12) Butler / Temple
4) NEVADA 4) Purdue
13) NEW MEXICO ST 13) HOFSTRA
Hartford Tulsa
6) Florida State 6) Iowa
11) Oklahoma 11) Alabama
3) LSU 3) Kansas
14) TEXAS STATE 14) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
Columbus Jacksonville
7) Cincinnati 7) Ole Miss
10) Texas 10) Ohio State
2) MICHIGAN STATE 2) North Carolina
15) MONTANA 15) NORTHERN KENTUCKY

BUBBLE NOTES
Last 4 Byes Last 4 IN      First 4 OUT Next 4 OUT
Texas Temple Clemson Davidson
Alabama UCF Florida Fresno State
Oklahoma Butler Furman Georgetown
Arizona State Utah State Nebraska UNC-Greensboro

TOP SEED LINE: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Virginia, Tennessee, and Gonzaga

Breakdown by Conference …

ACC (8): DUKE, Virginia, North Carolina, Louisville, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, NC State

Big 10 (8): MICHIGAN STATE, Michigan, Purdue, Wisconsin, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Ohio State

BIG 12 (7): KANSAS STATE, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Baylor, TCU, Texas

SEC (7): TENNESSEE, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Auburn, Alabama

Big East (5): VILLANOVA, Marquette, St. John’s, Seton Hall, Butler

American (4): HOUSTON, Cincinnati, UCF, Temple

Pac 12 (2): WASHINGTON, Arizona State

Mountain West (2): NEVADA, Utah State

Southern (1): WOFFORD

Atlantic 10 (1): VCU

Mid American (1): BUFFALO

West Coast (1): GONZAGA

ONE BID LEAGUES: Loyola-Chicago (MVC), Canisius (MAAC), Old Dominion (C-USA), Texas State (SBELT), Yale (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Northern Kentucky (HORIZON), Sam Houston (SLND), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Lipscomb (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), Hofstra (CAA), Radford (BSO), Norfolk State (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Vermont (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), St. Francis (PA) (NEC), Prairie View (SWAC)