Bracketology: Duke once again a No. 1 seed

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With a host of changes coming today as conference champions are crowned, we’ll keep this brief.

Duke likely solidified a No. 1 seed by beating North Carolina; the Blue Devils will be evaluated with their full team intact.  Now it’s a race for the final two spots on the top line – Kentucky, Gonzaga, North Carolina, Michigan State and Tennessee are all in play.  I stuck with Gonzaga this morning, but the Committee could easily put three ACC teams in that position if Kentucky or Michigan State fall short of conference tourney titles.  Let’s see how the day plays out.

By my count, we have five potential bid thieves in play today – so the cutline could change by two or three spots come tomorrow morning.

Championship Week: Teams in all CAPS reflect automatic bid (exceptions made to traditional teams with acronyms (VCU, UCF, etc.)

UPDATED: March 16, 2019

FIRST FOUR – DAYTON
SOUTH REGION St. John’s vs. Arizona State
WEST REGION Temple vs. Belmont
SOUTH REGION IONA vs. FAIR-DICKINSON
EAST REGION NO DAKOTA ST vs. Norfolk State

EAST Washington, DC   SOUTH – Louisville                     
Columbia Columbia
1) Virginia 1) Duke
16) ND STATE / Norfolk State 16) Abilene Christian
8) Iowa 8) Ole Miss
9) UCF 9) Washington
San Jose Hartford
5) Villanova 5) Marquette
12) SAINT MARY’S 12) MURRAY STATE
4) Kansas State 4) Purdue
13) Vermont 13) NORTHEASTERN
Tulsa Tulsa
6) Cincinnati 6) Iowa State
11) TCU 11) Florida
3) LSU 3) Houston
14) Georgia State 14) Old Dominion
Des Moines Columbus
7) Louisville 7) WOFFORD
10) Utah State 10) VCU
2) Michigan 2) Tennessee
15) GARDNER-WEBB 15) COLGATE
WEST – Anaheim MIDWEST – Kansas City
Salt Lake City Columbus
1) Gonzaga 1) Kentucky
16) Prairie View AM 16) IONA / FDU
8) Minnesota 8) Seton Hall
9) Syracuse 9) Baylor
San Jose Hartford
5) Mississippi State 5) Virginia Tech
12) New Mexico State 12) Davidson
4) Texas Tech 4) Wisconsin
13) UC-IRVINE 13) LIBERTY
Jacksonville Salt Lake City
6) Auburn 6) Maryland
11) Temple / Belmont 11) St. John’s / Arizona State
3) Florida State 3) Kansas
14) Harvard 14) NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Des Moines Jacksonville
7) Nevada 7) Buffalo
10) Oklahoma 10) Ohio State
2) Michigan State 2) North Carolina
15) Montana 15) BRADLEY

BUBBLE NOTES
Last 4 Byes Last 4 IN      First 4 OUT Next 4 OUT
VCU Temple NC State Furman
Ohio State St. John’s Indiana Xavier
Florida Arizona State Alabama Oregon
TCU Belmont NC Greensboro Texas

TOP SEED LINE: Virginia is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Duke, Kentucky, and Gonzaga

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 10 (8): MICHIGAN STATE, Michigan, Purdue, Wisconsin, Maryland, Minnesota, Iowa, Ohio State

SEC (7): KENTUCKY, Tennessee, LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida

ACC (7): DUKE, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse

BIG 12 (7): KANSAS, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, TCU

Big East (4): VILLANOVA, Marquette, Seton Hall, St. John’s

American (4): HOUSTON, Cincinnati, UCF, Temple

Pac 12 (2): WASHINGTON, Arizona State

Mountain West (2): UTAH STATE, Nevada

West Coast (2): SAINT MARY’S, Gonzaga

Atlantic 10 (2): DAVIDSON, VCU

Southern (1): WOFFORD

Mid American (1): BUFFALO

ONE BID LEAGUES: BRADLEY (MVC), IONA (MAAC), Old Dominion (C-USA), Georgia State (SBELT), Harvard (IVY), Montana (BSKY), NORTHERN KENTUCKY (HORIZON), Abilene Christian (SLND), UC-Irvine (BWEST), LIBERTY (ASUN), MURRAY STATE (OVC), NORTHEASTERN (CAA), GARDNER-WEBB (BSO), Norfolk State (MEAC), NORTH DAKOTA STATE (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Vermont (AEAST), COLGATE (PAT), FAIRLEIGH-DICKINSON (NEC), Prairie View (SWAC)

Bracketing principles: read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com.