Don’t sleep on X. That would be Xavier. The Musketeers have an opportunistic stretch ahead. Navigate it successfully, and X will remain squarely in the hunt for a No. 1 seed. To date, the Musketeers are 9-3 vs. Quadrants 1 and 2 on the new RPI breakdown sheets. They own a Top 15 strength of schedule, and the metrics coincide with their profile. That stretch we spoke of? It includes these four games in a row: at Butler, at Creighton, Seton Hall, Villanova. Winning three of those would be strong. Win all four? That would be enough to place Xavier front and center in the top-seed discussion.
The middle of the bracket remains very unsteady in terms of seeding. The bubble isn’t overly deep, but the margins between those teams is thin. February should be fun.
UPDATED: February 2, 2018
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Missouri vs. SMU | East Region
- Kansas State vs. Virginia Tech | West Region
- HARVARD vs. NC A&T | East Region
- FL-GULF COAST vs. ARK-PINE BLUFF | South Region
BRACKET PROJECTION
EAST – Boston | SOUTH – Atlanta | |
Pittsburgh | Charlotte | |
1) VILLANOVA | 1) VIRGINIA | |
16) HARVARD / NC A&T | 16) FL-GULF CST / ARK-PB | |
8) TCU | 8) Michigan | |
9) NC State | 9) Butler | |
Dallas | Boise | |
5) RHODE ISLAND | 5) West Virginia | |
12) LOYOLA-CHI | 12) MIDDLE TENNESSEE | |
4) Clemson | 4) Tennessee | |
13) BUFFALO | 13) E. TENNESSEE ST | |
Detroit | Dallas | |
6) Louisville | 6) Gonzaga | |
11) Missouri / SMU | 11) Houston | |
3) Michigan State | 3) Texas Tech | |
14) VERMONT | 14) S.F. AUSTIN | |
Nashville | Pittsburgh | |
7) Creighton | 7) Miami-FL | |
10) USC | 10) Arkansas | |
2) AUBURN | 2) Xavier | |
15) RIDER | 15) WILLIAM & MARY | |
WEST – Los Angeles | MIDWEST – Omaha | |
Wichita | Detroit | |
1) KANSAS | 1) PURDUE | |
16) WAGNER | 16) UNC-ASHEVILLE | |
8) Florida State | 8) Arizona State | |
9) Alabama | 9) Texas | |
Boise | San Diego | |
5) Florida | 5) North Carolina | |
12) LOUISIANA | 12) NEW MEXICO ST | |
4) Ohio State | 4) Kentucky | |
13) SOUTH DAKOTA ST | 13) BELMONT | |
Nashville | Wichita | |
6) SAINT MARY’S | 6) Seton Hall | |
11) Kansas St / Virginia Tech | 11) Texas AM | |
3) CINCINNATI | 3) Oklahoma | |
14) WRIGHT STATE | 14) MONTANA | |
San Diego | Charlotte | |
7) NEVADA | 7) Wichita State | |
10) Providence | 10) Washington | |
2) ARIZONA | 2) Duke | |
15) UC-SANTA BARBARA | 15) BUCKNELL |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Villanova is the No. 1 overall seed – followed by Virginia, Purdue, and Kansas
Last Four Byes (at large): Washington, USC, Houston, Texas AM
Last Four IN (at large): Kansas State, Missouri, SMU, Virginia Tech
First Four OUT (at large): Marquette, Boise State, South Carolina, Georgia
Next four teams OUT (at large): Syracuse, Western Kentucky, UCLA, Utah
Breakdown by Conference …
ACC (9): VIRGINIA, Duke, Clemson, North Carolina, Louisville, Miami-FL, Florida State, NC State, Virginia Tech
SEC (7): AUBURN, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri
BIG 12 (7): KANSAS, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, West Virginia, TCU, Texas, Kansas State
Big East (6): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Seton Hall, Creighton, Butler, Providence
Big 10 (4): PURDUE, Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan
American (4): CINCINNATI, Wichita State, Houston, SMU
Pac 12 (4): ARIZONA, Arizona State, Washington, USC
West Coast (2): SAINT MARY’S, Gonzaga
Mountain West (1): NEVADA
Atlantic 10 (1): RHODE ISLAND
ONE BID LEAGUES: Loyola-Chicago (MVC), Rider (MAAC), Middle Tennessee (C-USA), Louisiana (SBELT), Harvard (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Wright State (HORIZON), S.F. Austin (SLND), East Tennessee State (STHN), UC-Santa Barbara (BWEST), Buffalo (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), William & Mary (CAA), UNC-Asheville (BSO), North Carolina A&T (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Vermont (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), Wagner (NEC), Arkansas-Pine Bluff (SWAC)
Bracketing principles: read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com.