Bracketology: Duke looking dangerous

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As the final seconds ticked away in Brooklyn, Duke celebrated its ACC tournament victory over rival North Carolina. With it, the Blue Devils may also have secured a spot as the No. 2 seed in the East Region behind Villanova.  One thing’s for sure, Duke looks dangerous.  In the Pac-12, Arizona and Oregon are fighting for the No. 2 seed out West.

Vanderbilt continues its push with a third victory over Florida.  Elsewhere on the bubble, teams like Kansas State, Wake Forest, USC, and Illinois State sit and watch.  Keep an eye on what unfolds today in the Atlantic 10, particularly.

UPDATED: March 11, 2017

Note: Now that conference tournaments have begun, teams in ALL CAPS will represent automatic bids as they are earned.

Regarding bracketing principles, can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Kansas State vs. USC | Midwest Region
  • Wake Forest vs. Illinois State | South Region
  • SOUTH DAKOTA ST vs. New Orleans | Midwest Region
  • MOUNT ST. MARY’S vs. NC Central | East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EAST New York MIDWEST Kansas City
Buffalo Tulsa
1) Villanova 1) Kansas
16) MT. ST. MARY’S / NC Central 16) SO DAKOTA ST / New Orleans
8) Miami 8) Arkansas
9) Dayton 9) Marquette
Orlando Buffalo
5) Minnesota 5) Virginia
12) UNC-WILMINGTON 12) UT-Arlington
4) Florida 4) Butler
13) Vermont 13) Princeton
Sacramento Indianapolis
6) Iowa State 6) Wisconsin
11) Providence 11) Kansas State / USC
3) UCLA 3) Louisville
14) IONA 14) Akron
Greenville Salt Lake City
7) Maryland 7) Saint Mary’s
10) Vanderbilt 10) VCU
2) Duke 2) Arizona
15) Texas-Southern 15) UC-Irvine
WEST – San Jose SOUTH – Memphis
Salt Lake City Greenville
1) GONZAGA 1) North Carolina
16) North Dakota 16) JACKSONVILLE STATE
8) South Carolina 8) Northwestern
9) Seton Hall 9) Oklahoma State
Milwaukee Milwaukee
5) West Virginia 5) Cincinnati
12) Nevada 12) Wake Forest / Illinois State
4) Notre Dame 4) Purdue
13) BUCKNELL 13) EAST TENNESSEE ST
Orlando Tulsa
6) SMU 6) Creighton
11) Xavier 11) Mid Tennessee State
3) Florida State 3) Baylor
14) WINTHROP 14) FLA GULF COAST
Sacramento Indianapolis
7) Virginia Tech 7) Michigan
10) Michigan State 10) WICHITA STATE
2) Oregon 2) Kentucky
15) CSU-Bakersfield 15) NORTHERN KENTUCKY

NOTES on the BRACKET: Villanova is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Kansas, North Carolina, and Gonzaga.

Last Four Byes (at large): VCU, Michigan State, Xavier, Providence

Last Four IN (at large): Kansas State, Wake Forest, USC, Illinois State

First Four OUT (at large): Rhode Island, Syracuse, California, Iowa

Next four teams OUT (at large): Indiana, Illinois, Georgia, Alabama

Breakdown by Conference …

ACC (9): NORTH CAROLINA, Louisville, Duke, Florida State, Virginia, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, Miami-FL, Wake Forest

Big 10 (7): PURDUE, Minnesota, Maryland, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Michigan, Michigan State

Big East (7): VILLANOVA, Butler, Creighton, Seton Hall, Marquette, Xavier, Providence

Big 12 (6): KANSAS, Baylor, West Virginia, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Kansas State

SEC (5): FLORIDA, Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Vanderbilt

Pac 12 (4): OREGON, Arizona, UCLA, USC

Atlantic 10 (2): DAYTON, VCU

American (2): SMU, Cincinnati

West Coast (2): GONZAGA, Saint Mary’s

Missouri Valley (2): WICHITA STATE, Illinois State

Mountain West (1): NEVADA

ONE BID LEAGUES: IONA (MAAC), Middle Tennessee State (C-USA), UT-Arlington (SBELT), Princeton (IVY), North Dakota (BSKY), NORTHERN KENTUCKY (HORIZON), New Orleans (SLND), EAST TENNESSEE STATE (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Akron (MAC), FLORIDA GULF COAST (ASUN), JACKSONVILLE STATE (OVC), UNC-WILMINGTON (CAA), WINTHROP (BSO), NC-Central (MEAC), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (SUM), CSU-Bakersfield (WAC), Vermont (AEAST), BUCKNELL (PAT), MOUNT ST. MARY’S (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)