Looking Forward: Here’s what the AAC has in store for the 2016-17 season

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The NBA Draft’s Early Entry Deadline has come and gone. Just about every elite recruit has decided where they will be playing their college ball next season. The coaching carousel, which ended up spinning a bit faster than initially expected, has come to a close for all of the major programs. 

In other words, by now, we have a pretty good feel for what college basketball is going to look like during the 2016-17 season. With that in mind, let’s take a look at what has happened — and what will happen — in the AAC over the next six months. 

KEY OFFSEASON STORYLINES

Tubby at Memphis: Even with a national championship on his resume, Tubby Smith is not a flashy hire. He is, however, a substantive one. Smith looked like he was going out to pasture by taking the Texas Tech job after getting the boot from Minnesota, but instead of cashing paychecks and treading water, Smith won in Lubbock like no one thought he could, getting, franking, a relatively untalented team to the NCAA tournament last year. He’s not going to be flashy at Memphis, but odds are he’s going to win.

SMU coming off postseason ban: The Mustangs won their first 18 games of the 2015-16 season, but of course few cared or paid attention because of the postseason been levied by the NCAA right before the start of the season. It robbed an extremely talented squad the chance to play on the sport’s biggest stage. Larry Brown, though, is back to lead SMU, albeit one without the firepower. It’ll be interesting to see how the Mustangs respond with a chip on their shoulder.

Mike Dunleavy to Tulane: Anytime you can get a 62-year-old who has never coached in college and last roamed a sideline six years ago, you’ve got to do it, right? At least that was Tulane’s thinking when it hired Dunleavy, who hadn’t coached since leaving the Clippers in 2010. He’s certainly accomplished at the pro level, but the transition to a program that hasn’t been to the tournament in 20 years is no doubt going to be a difficult one.

Houston rising?: Year 2 of the Kelvin Sampson era saw the Cougars improve from 13 to 22 wins and flirt with an NCAA tournament berth. Yes, they lose productive big bam Devonta Pollard, but nearly everyone else of consequence is back this season. Plus, Sampson has Houston in the running for in-state five star 6-foot-10 recruit Jarrett Allen. The Cougars will have to beat out the likes of Kansas and Texas to get him, but if Allen heads to Houston, watch out.

Mick Cronin stays put: There was a time this spring when it looked like Mick Cronin was going to part ways with the Bearcats after a decade with the school as he more than flirted with the prospect of leaving for UNLV. In the end he stayed and Cincinnati is better for it, especially as it tries to wedge itself into the Big 12 expansion discussion. Cronin himself might be the biggest recruit the Bearcats got this offseason.

     RELATED: Coaches on the Hot Seat | Coaching Carousel Winners, Losers

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NOTABLE NEWCOMERS

Alterique Gilbert and Juwan Durham, UConn: The headliners of Kevin Ollie’s top-10 recruiting class, Gilbert and Durham are both consensus top-50 recruits. Gilbert is a 5-foot-10 point guard while Durham is a 6-foot-11 forward. They’ll help ease the loss of Daniel Hamilton, Shonn Miller, Sterling Gibbs and, if he remains in the NBA Draft, Amida Brimah.

Ted Kapita, SMU: The one positive of SMU’s getting its postseason ban in place immediately last season is that it allowed Brown and his staff to still accumulate a solid 2016 class. Kapita (6-8), who got suckered in by the AmeriLeague, is heading back to the collegiate ranks.

Jarron Cumberland, Cincinnati: The Bearcats will be adding the 6-foot-4 guard to a backcourt that already has Troy Caupain to make for a formidable group.

Christian Kessee, Memphis: The former Coppin State guard joins the Tigers as a graduate transfer coming off a junior season that saw him put up 14.6 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game.

SURPRISING DEPARTURES

Daniel Hamilton, UConn: Hamilton decided early on to hire an agent rather than go through the NBA Draft process without one, but a poor showing at the combine means the already fringe prospect could very well go undrafted.

Adonys Henriquez, UCF: The 6-foot-6 forward averaged over 30 minutes a game in both his seasons for the Knights and was the third-leading scoring on the team last year with 10.1 ppg while shooting 35.8 percent from 3-point range. He ended up at St. Louis.

L.J. Rose, Houston: A foot injury limited Rose to just two games last year, and he elected to move on as a graduate transfer, looking for his third school of his career.

     RELATED: Looking Forward Big 12 | ACC | A-10 | Big East | Big Ten

COACHING CHANGES

  • Tubby Smith, Memphis: As so often goes in coaching changes, Smith is about the opposite of his predecessor, Josh Pastner. Smith is a seasoned head coaching vet, getting first D1 head job 25 years ago, and probably won’t reel in too many five-star recruits, but the guys he’ll get, he’ll coach up. It might not be the most natural of fits, but Smith proved at Texas Tech he’s still got what it takes to win high-stakes basketball.
  • Mike Dunleavy, Tulane: One of the more shocking hires of the silly season, Dunleavy brings with him name recognition and instant credibility after having a lengthy NBA coaching career. Still, there’s more questions than answers here as the 62-year-old has never coached in the college game and hasn’t coached at all in five years. First-year Tulane athletic Troy Dannen took a big swing here, and it’ll be interesting to see where it lands.
  • Johnny Dawkins, UCF: The Knights have won just 15 AAC games in the three seasons since they moved to the league, and turn to Dawkins to try to acclimate the program to the league. He had an eight-season run at Stanford that saw the Cardinal reach the Sweet 16 in 2014, but it was their only tournament appearance during his tenure. It will be be interesting to see how Dawkins recruits, coming back to the east coast for the first time since leaving Mike Krzyzewski and Duke in 2008 and at a school with much less exacting academic standards.
Cincinnati head coach Mick Cronin, AP Photo
Cincinnati head coach Mick Cronin, AP Photo

WAY-TOO-EARLY ALL-CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS

Troy Caupain (Cincinnati): Player of the Year
Dedric Lawson (Memphis)
Gary Clark (Cincinnati)
Daymean Dotson (Houston)
Christian Keese (Memphis)

WAY-TOO-EARLY POWER RANKINGS, IN TWEETS

  1. Cincinnati: The losses of Octavius Ellis and Farad Cobb hurt, but Troy Caupain and Gary Clark are back, as is Mick Cronin, making the Bearcats a formidable group.
  2. UConn: The Huskies played their way into the NCAA tournament late last year and even with the loss of Daniel Hamilton, they should pick up where they left off with a heralded recruiting class.
  3. Houston: If the Cougars land Allen, this might be selling them short, but even if they don’t, they’ve got a solid core to build from with three returning starters on the perimeter to improve on last year’s 23-win campaign.
  4. SMU: The Mustangs suffered significant losses, namely point guard Nic Moore, but there’s enough coming back to Dallas to think Larry Brown’s group can still hang with the league.
  5. Memphis: The Tigers have plenty of talent with Dedric Lawson and Christian Keese, and you can bet on Tubby Smith getting the most out of them.
  6. Temple: The Owls are the defending league champions, but without Quenton DeCosey, Jaylen Bond and Devin Coleman, they’ll come back to the pack.
  7. Tulsa: The Golden Hurricane made the NCAA tournament last year, but they say goodbye to seven seniors off that team.
  8. East Carolina: B.J. Tyson’s continued development after a season in which he  scored 14.6 ppg on 42.0 percent shooting will be a big factor in where the Pirates land come March.
  9. UCF: Johnny Dawkins may find himself in a difficult position early on in Orlando, but there are some pieces there.
  10. South Florida: Orlando Antigua has managed just 17 wins in two years since taking over the Bulls program, and this year could be a struggle as well.
  11. Tulane: It was an unconventional and outside the box hire by the Green Wave, but expect Mike Dunleavy’s tenure to begin like most do: with losses.

Flagler, No. 6 Baylor rally late, top No. 14 Gonzaga 64-63

Baylor vs. Gonzaga
USA Today
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SIOUX FALLS, S.D. — In a rematch of the 2021 national championship game, Adam Flagler hit a pair of 3s as No. 6 Baylor scored the final eight points to rally past No. 14 Gonzaga 64-63 Friday night.

Gonzaga’s Rasir Bolton missed a wild, driving layup try at the buzzer.

Two seasons ago, Baylor beat the then-undefeated Zags 86-70 to win its first title. This time, the Bears didn’t take the lead for good until Jalen Bridges made two free throws with 16 seconds left.

“Adam is a great leader, but no one knew he wasn’t feeling well today,” Baylor head coach Scott Drew said. “To be honest, some players wouldn’t have played. He played through the pain and left it all out on the court. As a coach, I appreciate that.”

The Bears (6-2) trailed 63-56 before Flagler hit a 3-pointer with 1:33 left. Flagler’s 3 with just over a minute to play cut Baylor’s deficit to 63-62.

After a Gonzaga shot clock violation, Flagler’s 3-point attempt for the lead was off the mark, but Bridges was fouled by Drew Timme on the rebound attempt. Bridges hit two foul shots to put Baylor ahead.

The Zags (5-3) had a final chance when Bolton caught an inbounds pass near his own foul line with 4.6 seconds remaining. He drove the lane, but his off-balance shot went high off the glass and missed as the buzzer sounded.

“We took two balls down hill and tried to make plays at the rim. At that point in the game, those are tough,” Gonzaga head coach Mark Few said. “It’s very disappointing. They made plays, man.”

Freshman Keyonte George had 18 points and seven rebounds for Baylor. Flagler had 11 points and Langston Love added 10.

“I trust my work. I was able to knock them down,” George said. “My teammates believe in me each and every day. They give me that confidence in a big game to make big shots like that.”

Malchi Smith scored 16 points for Gonzaga. Anton Watson added a double-double with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Timme had nine points.

Baylor led by as many as 12 in the first half before Gonzaga closed to five at the break.

Watson’s basket put Gonzaga ahead 41-40. From there, the teams swapped leads over the next 13 minutes as the second half featured two ties and 14 lead changes.

A thunderous dunk from Smith gave Gonzaga its seven-point lead with under two minutes to go.

BIG PICTURE

Baylor: The win was a big rebound for Baylor after its 26-point loss to Marquette earlier in the week. The loss was the Bears’ most lopsided since they fell to Kansas 82-56 in 2007

Gonzaga: After opening the season ranked No. 2 in the AP preseason poll, the Zags have now lost two of three.

STAR WATCH

Timme began the night leading the Bulldogs in scoring at 20 points per game. He was hampered by foul trouble against Baylor and got his first field goal with six minutes remaining. He fouled out with 16 seconds to play.

REMATCH PLAYERS

Four players on the floor Friday night had significant minutes in the championship game two years ago including Flagler, Timme and Watson, along with Baylor’s Flo Thamba.

UP NEXT

Baylor: The Bears return home to host Tarleton on Tuesday before playing Washington State on Sunday in Dallas for the Pac 12 Coast-to-Coast Challenge.

Gonzaga: The Bulldogs return to Spokane for three straight beginning Monday when they face Kent State for the first time in school history.

Carr scores 19, No. 2 Texas beats No. 7 Creighton 72-67

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AUSTIN, Texas – Texas had pressured Creighton’s shooters into a miserable night, only to watch a late flurry of 3-pointers start swishing.

An 11-point Longhorns lead was down to three.

That hardly rattled Marcus Carr and the second-ranked Longhorns, who stepped up with big late shots of their own and steady free-throw shooting to secure another impressive early-season victory, 72-67 over the seventh-ranked Bluejays on Thursday night.

Carr scored 19 points and made two free throws with 10 seconds left as Texas held off Creighton’s furious late-game rally.

Creighton struggled through a wretched 3-point shooting night, but pulled within 62-59 thanks in part to five points in a row by Baylor Scheierman. Carr’s baseline jumper and an easy layup by Tyrese Hunter when Creighton lost him on an inbound pass with 46 seconds left stretched the Longhorns’ lead again.

That didn’t quite close the door on Creighton, which got two more 3-pointers from Scheierman, who had missed his first nine attempts. That forced Texas to finish it from the free-throw line behind Carr and Brock Cunningham. Cunningham’s two free throws with 4 seconds left were his only points of the game.

“There’s going to be a bunch of times one of us has to go down there and knock down a bunch of free throws,” Carr said. “We talk about it all the time.”

The matchup was part of the Big 12-Big East Battle and Texas earned its second win over a top-10 opponent in its new arena. The Longhorns (6-0) beat then-No. 2 Gonzaga on Nov. 16 and have their highest ranking since they were No. 1 during the 2009-2010 season.

“I don’t think we’ve proven anything,” Texas coach Chris Beard said. “We’re just a team that’s trying to get better.”

Hunter scored 15 points for Texas.

Ryan Kalkbrenner had 20 points and 13 rebounds for Creighton (6-2), and Ryan Nembhard scored 17 points. The Bluejays were 4 of 27 on 3-pointers.

Scheierman, a 44% shooter from beyond the arc this season, made three 3s in a row late. His off-balance shot from the right corner over a defender pulled the Bluejays within 68-65 with 11.4 seconds left.

Scheierman finished with 13 points and 11 rebounds.

“The reality is you are gonna have nights,” Creighton coach Greg McDermott said. “It just happens. We don’t ever want him to stop shooting.”

BIG PICTURE

Creighton: Kalkbrenner was all but unstoppable on a 9-of-10 shooting night for the Bluejays, who kept launching from long range instead of looking for their 7-foot-1 center.

Texas: The Longhorns couldn’t force their usual numbers of turnovers and fast-break points, but were exceptionally clean with the ball on offense. Texas had just three turnovers that Creighton turned into three points.

FORMER TEAMMATES

Texas senior forward Christian Bishop played three seasons at Creighton before transferring prior to last season. He finished with six points and four rebounds in 16 minutes.

“We understood what this game was, not just for our team but for Christian,” Carr said.

TIRED TEAM

McDermott suggested his team maybe just wore out. The Bluejays went 2-1 in the Maui Invitational last week and then played their first game of the season on an opponent’s home court.

“Three games in three days against ranked teams (in Hawaii) and then to come in here,” McDermott said. “That’s a lot to ask of my team.”

UP NEXT

Creighton hosts in-state rival Nebraska on Sunday.

Texas plays No. 16 Illinois in New York City on Dec. 6 in the Jimmy V Classic.

No. 20 Maryland upsets No. 7 Notre Dame at the buzzer, 74-72

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SOUTH BEND, Ind. — Diamond Miller scored 31 points, including the game-winner at the buzzer, to lead No. 20 Maryland to a 74-72 victory over seventh-ranked Notre Dame on Thursday night in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

Irish guard Sonia Cintron’s layup had tied the game with 15 seconds left off before Maryland held for the last shot. Miller hit a contested mid-range jumper just before time expired to give the Terrapins a victory over a top-10 opponent. It was the 15th lead change of the game.

Miller also grabbed a game-high 12 rebounds to go along with five assists. Shyanne Sellers added 17 points.

Maryland (7-2) picked up its first win over Notre Dame (6-1) since 2007.

Cintron’s double-double led the Irish with 24 points and 10 rebounds.

Notre Dame’s leading scorer Olivia Miles got off to a slow start on Thursday due to foul trouble. She scored 12 of her 14 points in the final 15 minutes of the game to go along with seven assists and two steals.

BIG PICTURE

Maryland: The Terrapins picked up their second top-20 win of the season ahead of the upcoming Big Ten opener.

Notre Dame: The Irish have had issues with foul trouble this season, a problem that persisted on Thursday. Miles played just 25 minutes, including the majority of the fourth quarter, due to picking up her fourth foul late in the third quarter.

UP NEXT

Maryland: Returns to College Park for the program’s Big Ten opener Sunday against Nebraska.

Notre Dame: Stays home to host No. 3 UConn Sunday.

Virginia’s depth helping its rapid climb in the AP Top 25

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The starting five is the same, but that is where comparisons between the Virginia team that has climbed to No. 3 in the AP Top 25 and last year’s NIT quarterfinalists ends.

Yes, one more year together and a trip to Italy has made the first five significantly better, but part of the credit for that surely goes to another group: the reinforcements. They’ve helped the Cavaliers (6-0) already knock off No. 6 Baylor, No. 16 Illinois and Michigan.

Virginia has scored 70 points or more in its first six game for the first time since the 2003-04 season, and coach Tony Bennett said it was the offense – and not UVA’s signature relentless defense – that saved them in a 70-68 victory this week at Michigan in the ACC/Bg Ten Challenge.

“Our offense kind of kept us in it in the first half,” Bennett said, before the team put it all together, erasing an 11-point halftime deficit to disappoint a raucous Wolverines crowd.

Reece Beekman was the offensive catalyst, scoring 15 of his 18 points before halftime, but four others joined him in double figures, including Jayden Gardner. His foul-line jumper with 39.9 seconds left provided the last of his 11 points, and the winning margin.

Gardner, who led Virginia in scoring last season (15.3 ppg), is averaging 11.5 this year.

“We’ve got a lot of capable scorers and we’re just gonna keep playing together. And we’re playing very unselfish basketball right now,” Gardner said after scoring 24 against Maryland Eastern Shore. He went into the game with 31 points through four games.

“He’s not the most jumping type of guy, but he’s got so much power,” Hawks coach Jason Crafton said of Gardner, an East Carolina transfer with 2,068 career points. “That low center of gravity and the flexibility that he has to be able to get under people and hold his position is elite. When he wants the ball at a certain spot, he can get it there.”

The leader remains guard Kihei Clark, who already has a place in Virginia history, having retrieved a loose ball and fed Mamadi Diakite for a jumper that sent the Cavs’ Elite Eight game against Purdue into overtime on the way to winning the 2019 national championship.

Newcomers Ben Vander Plas, a transfer from Ohio, and freshman Isaac McKneely have given Bennett more options, and more scoring power than a year ago.

As a junior, Vander Plas had 17 points for No. 13 seed Ohio when the Bobcats upset Virginia 62-58 in the first round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament.

He scored seven straight in the second half against the Wolverines, twice scoring inside and then swishing a 3-pointer while trying to slow down bruising big man Hunter Dickinson.

“Ben, yeah. Just his poise and composure in the post, took advantage of some mismatches and he really gave us a great lift,” Bennett said. Vander Plas is the son of a teammate of Bennett’s at Green Bay, and his first name is a tribute to Bennett’s father, Dick.

McKneely scored 15 and made 4 of 6 3-point tries in an 89-42 victory against Monmouth

“He was standing in front of our bench. I’m like, `Listen, we’re not helping off him,”‘ Monmouth coach King Rice said he told his team, pointing at McKneely, a two-time player of the year in West Virginia. “And he kind of looked at me and I said, `Yeah, you, because you make all of them,’ and he started laughing.”

Ryan Dunn also made quite the impression on Rice in his first collegiate appearance, scoring 13 points with six rebounds and three blocks in almost 27 minutes.

“I was in the building when De’Andre Hunter came off the bench and had a breakout game,” Rice said of Hunter, now with the NBA’s Atlanta Hawks. “Dunn reminds me a lot of Hunter, and you can tell he’s young. But when he grows into that body with that skill set, he’ll be giving people problems for a long, long time.”

The Cavaliers open Atlantic Coast Conference play against Florida State, then host top-ranked Houston, which beat them 67-47 last season, a week later.

“A good schedule for sure and it tests you, it kind of shows you, win or lose, you see where you’ve got some holes,” Bennett said.

So far, the Cavaliers have been able to fill them all.

No. 4 Arizona turning heads early in the season

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David Cruz/USA TODAY Sports
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TUCSON, Ariz. — Arizona coach Tommy Lloyd knew there was talent on his roster. He wasn’t exactly sure how good the team would be.

The former longtime Gonzaga assistant had a similar view of last year’s team and that one turned out to be pretty good, running all the way to the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16.

This year’s team could end up being even better.

Buoyed by transfers and improved returning players, Arizona has rolled through the early part of its schedule, climbing to No. 4 in this week’s AP Top 25 after winning the Maui Invitational.

“I learned that we’re good,” Lloyd said. “We’re tough. We’re gritty. I think there’s going to be some great things for us to really double down on and some things to show our guys where we went the wrong way.”

Lloyd had a superb first season in the desert, earning coach of the year honors last season with a team that lost three players to the NBA.

The Wildcats (6-0) had to replace three NBA players again this season. Again, they made a seamless transition.

Improvement on the part of the returning players has been a big part of it.

Oumar Ballo, considered a project as a freshman at Gonzaga, has transformed into one of the nation’s best big men. The 7-foot, 260-pound center from Mali has vastly improved his footwork and developed patience in the post, setting himself up for good shots instead of trying to bull his way to the basket.

Ballo is averaging 19 points and 10 rebounds while shooting 76.7% from the field, fourth-best nationally. He was named Maui Invitational MVP after finishing with 30 points and 13 rebounds against No. 7 Creighton in the title game.

Not bad for a player who averaged 2.5 points and 6.3 minutes per game two years ago at Gonzaga.

“When he struggled, I still believed in him,” Lloyd said. “I didn’t need for him to be instantly successful for me to reaffirm my belief in him. When he struggled, we continued to love him and work with him and then he continued to hang in there and I think it is a great story.”

Fellow big man Azuolas Tubelis has made a few strides of his own, adding strength and toughness to his athletic, fluid game. The 6-10 forward leads Arizona with 19.3 points per game while grabbing 8.0 rebounds.

Fiery point guard Kerr Kriisa has rounded into a reliable floor leader, averaging 15.3 points and 7.5 assists while shooting 51% from the 3-point arc.

“I don’t pay attention to the antics because they don’t mean anything to me,” Lloyd said. “I know maybe that draws attention to him from other people but when it comes to just pure basketball, I mean he is doing a good job and I think he is really showing something.”

So is Courtney Ramey.

The Texas transfer has given the Wildcats a huge boost in his first season in Tucson, providing hounding defense, leadership and another scoring option. He’s averaging 16 points per game and has hit 10 of 16 from 3-point range so far this season.

Campbell transfer Cedric Henderson Jr. has provided an athletic lift off the bench and 7-foot Estonian Henri Veesaar has given Arizona solid minutes.

The mix of new and old has helped Arizona lead the nation with 97.5 points a game and rank second with 21.8 assists per game. The Wildcats climbed 10 spots in this week’s poll after wins over Cincinnati, No. 24 San Diego State and Creighton.

Arizona opens Pac-12 play Thursday at Utah.

“It was good to get the recognition, but we’re not satisfied,” Ramey said. “Our ultimate goal is to be No. 1 at the end of the season and be the final two teams playing, so I think the regular season matters but it’s not the ultimate goal for us.”

The Wildcats are certainly off to a good start.