This year’s NCAA tournament bubble became that much more intriguing Monday night. If you love drama, it’s shaping up to be an intense week. In that past two days, we’ve seen Wichita State, Monmouth, and Valparaiso join the at-large pool as conference champions with legitimate at-large hopes. That’s three additional resumes for the Selection Committee to review, dissect, and compare at their bunker in downtown Indianapolis. How it all shakes out by Sunday afternoon is unknown. What we do know is that it’s going to be a long wait for Monmouth, one of this year’s most talked-about teams.
We touched on Wichita State yesterday; the Shockers are hoping a dominant run through the Missouri Valley, combined with a strong non-conference SOS and a win over Utah will hold up. Valparaiso has a win at Oregon State, but probably needs a little more help.
Given the results of the past two days, there should be an even greater sense of urgency for those along the cutline. If Wichita State and Monmouth both end up earning bids, there are two less slots available.
UPDATED: March 8, 2016
Now that we’ve reached Championship Week, teams in CAPS represent the AUTOMATIC bid. The other automatic bids are noted by the highest remaining seed in the conference tournament (as eligible). Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (ex: UCLA)
Several new bracketing principles were introduced a couple of years ago. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Wichita State vs. Monmouth | East Region
- St. Bonaventure vs. Connecticut | Midwest Region
- Texas-Southern vs. AUSTIN PEAY | Midwest Region
- Wagner vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST | South Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
MIDWEST – Chicago | EAST – Philadelphia | |
Des Moines | Raleigh | |
1) Kansas | 1) Virginia | |
16) Tx-Southern / AUSTIN PEAY | 16) Hampton | |
8) Providence | 8) Seton Hall | |
9) Pittsburgh | 9) Saint Joseph’s | |
Providence | Denver | |
5) Texas AM | 5) Maryland | |
12) CHATTANOOGA | 12) Ark-Little Rock | |
4) Purdue | 4) Iowa State | |
13) IONA | 13) YALE | |
Brooklyn | Des Moines | |
6) Baylor | 6) California | |
11) UConn / St. Bonaventure | 11) Wichita State / Monmouth | |
3) Miami-FL | 3) Indiana | |
14) UAB | 14) S.F. Austin | |
Spokane | St. Louis | |
7) Dayton | 7) Notre Dame | |
10) Syracuse | 10) USC | |
2) Oregon | 2) Xavier | |
15) Weber State | 15) New Mexico State | |
SOUTH – Louisville | WEST – Anaheim | |
Brooklyn | Oklahoma City | |
1) Villanova | 1) Oklahoma | |
16) Wagner / FLA GULF CST | 16) Lehigh | |
8) South Carolina | 8) Saint Mary’s | |
9) Oregon State | 9) Butler | |
Denver | Oklahoma City | |
5) Texas | 5) Iowa | |
12) NORTHERN IOWA | 12) Akron | |
4) Duke | 4) Kentucky | |
13) Stony Brook | 13) Hawaii | |
Providence | Spokane | |
6) Arizona | 6) Wisconsin | |
11) Temple | 11) San Diego State | |
3) West Virginia | 3) Utah | |
14) UNC-WILMINGTON | 14) South Dakota St | |
St. Louis | Raleigh | |
7) Colorado | 7) Texas Tech | |
10) Cincinnati | 10) Vanderbilt | |
2) Michigan State | 2) North Carolina | |
15) Wright State | 15) UNC-ASHEVILLE |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kansas is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Virginia, Oklahoma, Villanova. Next in line: Michigan State, North Carolina, Xavier, Oregon
Last Four Byes (at large): USC, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Cincinnati
Last Four IN (at large): Wichita State, Connecticut, St. Bonaventure, Monmouth
First Four OUT (at large): VCU, Tulsa, Gonzaga, Florida
Next four teams OUT (at large): Michigan, Valparaiso, Florida State, Houston
Breakdown by Conference …
ACC (7): NORTH CAROLINA, Virginia, Miami, Duke, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse
Pac 12 (7): OREGON, Utah, California, Arizona, Colorado, Oregon State, USC
Big 12 (7): KANSAS, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas, Baylor, Texas Tech
Big 10 (6): INDIANA, Michigan State, Purdue, Maryland, Iowa, Wisconsin
Big East (5): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Seton Hall, Providence, Butler
SEC (4): KENTUCKY, Texas AM, South Carolina, Vanderbilt
Atlantic 10 (3): DAYTON, Saint Joseph’s, St. Bonaventure
American (3): TEMPLE, Cincinnati, Connecticut
Missouri Valley (2): NORTHERN IOWA, Wichita State
MAAC (2): IONA, Monmouth
West Coast (1): SAINT MARY’S
Mountain West (1): SAN DIEGO STATE
ONE BID LEAGUES: Iona (MAAC), UAB (C-USA), Ark-Little Rock (SBELT), Yale (IVY), Weber State (BSKY), Wright State (HORIZON), Stephen F. Austin (SLND), Chattanooga (STHN), Hawaii (BWEST), Akron (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (ASUN), Austin Peay (OVC), UNC-Wilmington (CAA), UNC-Asheville (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Lehigh (PAT), Wagner (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)