The Oklahoma Sooners are nothing if not exciting. After a triple-overtime gem with Kansas in early January, OU provided us a thrilling come-from-behind victory Saturday evening at LSU. In terms of today’s bracket update, the latter result keeps the Sooners atop the Field of 68 as the No. 1 overall seed. Joining Oklahoma on the top line: North Carolina, Kansas, and Iowa.
At the other end of the bracket, LSU is the first team out. There’s no shame in losing to Oklahoma, even at home. The challenge for LSU is overcoming a 7-6 non-conference effort that featured zero wins against Top 100 RPI opponents. That’s why Saturday’s loss stings even more. It would have been non-conference victory over one of the nation’s best teams. The good news: February provides the Tigers and several other bubble teams the chance to make a final impression on the Selection Committee.
In general, we open February with a foggy bubble. Winning away from home is a theme for several teams trying to climb the seed list or stay on the right side of the bubble. We also have traditional NCAA regulars with work to do. As surprising as it sounds, teams like Gonzaga and Duke are not locks for March Madness. In Duke’s case, the Blue Devils are an average 7-5 without Amile Jefferson. If he is unable to return before Selection Sunday, the Committee will have to evaluate the team’s resume without him. And Duke’s upcoming stretch includes a four-game gauntlet that looks like this: Virginia, Louisville, at North Carolina, at Louisville. It’s both an opportunity and potential pitfall. We’ll see how it plays out.
Enjoy your week of college hoops. After the Super Bowl, all eyes turn toward March.
UPDATED: February 1, 2016
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI is first tiebreaker. Notes: To simulate actual bracket conditions, we’ve used current conference leaders to receive the automatic bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (ex: UCLA)
Several new bracketing principles were introduced a couple of years ago. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- UCLA vs. Florida State | Midwest Region
- Saint Joseph’s vs. Seton Hall | South Region
- HAMPTON vs. WAGNER | East Region
- BUCKNELL vs. TEXAS-SOUTHERN | South Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
SOUTH – Louisville | EAST – Philadelphia | |
Oklahoma City | Raleigh | |
1) OKLAHOMA | 1) NORTH CAROLINA | |
16) TX-SOUTH / BUCKNELL | 16) HAMPTON / WAGNER | |
8) WICHITA STATE | 8) VCU | |
9) Washington | 9) South Carolina | |
Providence | Brooklyn | |
5) Kentucky | 5) Baylor | |
12) VALPARAISO | 12) MONMOUTH | |
4) Miami-FL | 4) Providence | |
13) AKRON | 13) HOFSTRA | |
St. Louis | Denver | |
6) USC | 6) Louisville | |
11) Seton Hall / St. Joseph’s | 11) Gonzaga | |
3) Michigan State | 3) Iowa State | |
14) BELMONT | 14) NORTH FLORIDA | |
Oklahoma City | St. Louis | |
7) Notre Dame | 7) Indiana | |
10) California | 10) Florida | |
2) TEXAS AM | 2) Xavier | |
15) SOUTH DAKOTA ST | 15) S.F. AUSTIN | |
WEST – Anaheim | MIDWEST – Chicago | |
Des Moines | Des Moines | |
1) IOWA | 1) Kansas | |
16) NEW MEXICO ST | 16) MONTANA | |
8) Duke | 8) Colorado | |
9) SAINT MARY’S | 9) SAN DIEGO ST | |
Spokane | Denver | |
5) Utah | 5) Texas | |
12) CHATTANOOGA | 12) UCLA / Florida State | |
4) West Virginia | 4) Purdue | |
13) UC-IRVINE | 13) ARK-LITTLE ROCK | |
Spokane | Providence | |
6) Michigan | 6) Dayton | |
11) Clemson | 11) Syracuse | |
3) OREGON | 3) Maryland | |
14) UAB | 14) STONY BROOK | |
Brooklyn | Raleigh | |
7) Pittsburgh | 7) Arizona | |
10) Connecticut | 10) CINCINNATI | |
2) VILLANOVA | 2) Virginia | |
15) YALE | 15) NC-ASHEVILLE |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Oklahoma is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by North Carolina, Kansas, and Iowa. Next in line: Villanova, Xavier, Virginia, Texas AM
Last Four Byes (at large): California, Clemson, Gonzaga, Syracuse
Last Four IN (at large): Saint Joseph’s, UCLA, Florida State, Seton Hall
First Four OUT (at large): LSU, George Washington, Butler, Georgetown
Next four teams OUT (at large): Vanderbilt, Kansas State, Oregon State, Wisconsin
Breakdown by Conference …
ACC (9): NORTH CAROLINA, Virginia, Miami-FL, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Duke, Syracuse, Florida State, Clemson
Pac 12 (8): OREGON, Utah, Arizona, USC, Colorado, Washington, California, UCLA
Big 12 (6): OKLAHOMA, Kansas, Iowa State, West Virginia, Baylor, Texas
Big 10 (6): IOWA, Michigan State, Maryland, Purdue, Michigan, Indiana
Big East (4): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Providence, Seton Hall
SEC (4): TEXAS AM, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida
Atlantic 10 (3): VCU, Dayton, Saint Joseph’s
American (2): CINCINNATI, Connecticut
West Coast (2): SAINT MARY’S, Gonzaga
Mountain West (1): SAN DIEGO STATE
MAAC (1): MONMOUTH
Missouri Valley (1): WICHITA STATE
ONE BID LEAGUES: UAB (C-USA), Ark-Little Rock (SBELT), Yale (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Valparaiso (HORIZON), Stephen F. Austin (SLND), Chattanooga (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Akron (MAC), North Florida (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), Hofstra (CAA), UNC-Asheville (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), Wagner (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)