NEW BRACKETOLOGY UPDATE: Hawkeyes surge to top line

(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
4 Comments

A bit quietly, at least on the national scene, the Iowa Hawkeyes are putting together a resume worthy of No. 1 seed consideration.  Their last loss was a one-point decision at Iowa State.  Since then, the Hawkeyes have beaten both Michigan State and Purdue twice, and also taken down a pretty good Michigan squad.  As such, Iowa joins the top seed line in today’s bracket update – alongside Oklahoma, North Carolina, and Kansas.

Elsewhere, teams like Butler, Gonzaga, and UCLA are struggling to hold onto bracket spots, each is among the final teams with a bye – meaning they are just above the First Four grouping.  Clemson is in that group too, trying to overcome a non-conference scheduled ranked above 300. It’s a tall order, for sure.

Although the pool of at-large candidates is starting to dwindle a bit, the movement among teams remains very much a work in progress.  Even at this late January date, there isn’t much room between seed lines and teams just in the field and those just out.  Enjoy your week of college hoops.

UPDATED: January 25, 2016

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI is first tiebreaker. Notes: To simulate actual bracket conditions, we’ve used current conference leaders to receive the automatic bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (ex: UCLA)

Several new bracketing principles were introduced a couple of years ago. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Florida vs. George Washington | Midwest Region
  • Boise State vs. Saint Joseph’s | South Region
  • HAMPTON vs. NAVY | East Region
  • MOUNT ST. MARY’S vs. TEXAS-SOUTHERN | South Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

SOUTH – Louisville EAST Philadelphia                        
Oklahoma City Raleigh
1) OKLAHOMA 1) NORTH CAROLINA
16) TX-SOUTH / MT. ST. MARY’S 16) HAMPTON / NAVY
8) Colorado 8) Connecticut
9) South Carolina 9) VCU
Providence Spokane
5) Kentucky 5) Utah
12) MONMOUTH 12) CHATTANOOGA
4) Miami-FL 4) Purdue
13) BELMONT 13) UC-IRVINE
St. Louis Providence
6) USC 6) Dayton
11) Boise St / St.  Joseph’s 11) Gonzaga
3) Michigan State 3) West Virginia
14) NORTH FLORIDA 14) HOFSTRA
Raleigh St. Louis
7) Indiana 7) Pittsburgh
10) Butler 10) UCLA
2) Virginia 2) Xavier
15) NC-ASHEVILLE 15) TEXAS AM-CC
WEST – Anaheim MIDWEST – Chicago
Des Moines Des Moines
1) KANSAS 1) IOWA
16) CSU-BAKERSFIELD 16) MONTANA
8) WICHITA STATE 8) Texas
9) SAINT MARY’S 9) California
Spokane Denver
5) Louisville 5) Baylor
12) ARK-LITTLE ROCK 12) VALPARAISO
4) OREGON 4) Providence
13) TULSA 13) UAB
Brooklyn Denver
6) Arizona 6) Michigan
11) Clemson 11) Florida / Geo Washington
3) Maryland 3) Iowa State
14) STONY BROOK 14) KENT STATE
Brooklyn Oklahoma City
7) Notre Dame 7) Duke
10) SAN DIEGO STATE 10) Washington
2) VILLANOVA 2) TEXAS AM
15) PRINCETON 15) OMAHA

NOTES on the BRACKET: Oklahoma is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by North Carolina, Iowa, and Kansas.  Next in line: Villanova, Texas AM, Xavier, Virginia

Last Four Byes (at large): Clemson, UCLA, Butler, Gonzaga

Last Four IN (at large): George Washington, Boise State, Florida, Saint Joseph’s

First Four OUT (at large): Seton Hall, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Oregon State

Next four teams OUT (at large): Stanford, Florida State, Texas Tech, LSU

Breakdown by Conference …

Pac 12 (8): OREGON, Utah, Arizona, USC, Colorado, California, Washington, UCLA

ACC (7): NORTH CAROLINA, Virginia, Miami-FL, Louisville, Duke, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame

Big 12 (6): OKLAHOMA, Kansas, Iowa State, West Virginia, Baylor, Texas

Big 10 (6): IOWA, Michigan State, Maryland, Purdue, Michigan, Indiana

Big East (4): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Providence, Butler

SEC (4): TEXAS AM, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida

Atlantic 10 (4): VCU, Dayton, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s

American (2): TULSA, Connecticut

West Coast (2): SAINT MARY’S, Gonzaga

Mountain West (2): SAN DIEGO STATE, Boise State

MAAC (1): MONMOUTH

Missouri Valley (1): WICHITA STATE

ONE BID LEAGUES: UAB (C-USA), Ark-Little Rock (SBELT), Princeton (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Valparaiso (HORIZON), Texas AM-CC (SLND), Chattanooga (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Kent State (MAC), North Florida (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), Hofstra (CAA), UNC-Asheville (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), Omaha (SUM), Cal-Bakersfield (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Navy (PAT), Mount St. Mary’s (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)