Kansas and Oklahoma delivered on the hype last Monday, offering up an epic, overtime thriller. Beyond the final score, the game anchored both teams as No. 1 seeds in today’s bracket update. Honestly, neither was going to move unless they faltered into a two-loss week. As such, Kansas continues its hold on the Midwest Region, with Oklahoma heading West. After a tough week for Virginia, Maryland moves into the No. 4 spot on the seed list, anchoring the East Region. Michigan State remains No.1 in the South.
As a reference check, today’s bracket features several new teams – thanks to current conference standings. Come Selection Sunday, the Selection Committee will be working through various scenarios should there be surprise league winners. As an example, Houston earns the nod today from the American (AAC) today, taking one at-large spot from the field. The Cougars would not make the field as an at-large team. This provides a glimpse into the bracketing process.
Remember, too, that seeding remains volatile right now. In many cases, differences between seed lines is almost non-existent or razor thin. Case in point, Baylor jumped from the edge of the bracket to an 8-seed by virtue of its huge road win at Iowa State. My guess is, we’re going to see a large “bubble” develop in the next month, with little separation between several teams. It could be time to make plans for a stressful, but fun-filled Championship Week.
UPDATED: January 11, 2016
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI is first tiebreaker. Notes: To simulate actual bracket conditions, we’ve used current conference leaders to receive the automatic bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (ex: UCLA)
Several new bracketing principles were introduced a couple of years ago. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Monmouth vs. Oregon State | Midwest Region
- Texas vs. Saint Mary’s | East Region
- HAMPTON vs. WAGNER | South Region
- BUCKNELL vs. JACKSON ST | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
MIDWEST – Chicago | SOUTH – Louisville | |
Des Moines | St. Louis | |
1) KANSAS | 1) MICHIGAN STATE | |
16) BUCKNELL / JACKSON ST | 16) HAMPTON / WAGNER | |
8) Indiana | 8) California | |
9) Connecticut | 9) Wake Forest | |
Denver | Spokane | |
5) Arizona | 5) West Virginia | |
12) AKRON | 12) UC-IRVINE | |
4) Virginia | 4) TEXAS AM | |
13) BELMONT | 13) UAB | |
Providence | Raleigh | |
6) Texas Tech | 6) UCLA | |
11) Monmouth / Oregon State | 11) VALPARAISO | |
3) Duke | 3) Miami-FL | |
14) IONA | 14) NORTH FLORIDA | |
Brooklyn | Providence | |
7) Oregon | 7) South Carolina | |
10) Notre Dame | 10) Texas / Saint Mary’s | |
2) Providence | 2) VILLANOVA | |
15) IP-FORT WAYNE | 15) PRINCETON | |
EAST – Philadelphia | WEST – Anaheim | |
Brooklyn | Oklahoma City | |
1) MARYLAND | 1) Oklahoma | |
16) MONTANA | 16) CAL-BAKERSFIELD | |
8) Baylor | 8) Dayton | |
9) Seton Hall | 9) Michigan | |
Denver | Spokane | |
5) Pittsburgh | 5) Purdue | |
12) VCU | 12) BOISE STATE | |
4) Kentucky | 4) Utah | |
13) WILLIAM-MARY | 13) HOUSTON | |
Oklahoma City | Des Moines | |
6) USC | 6) GONZAGA | |
11) UT-ARLINGTON | 11) WICHITA STATE | |
3) Iowa State | 3) Iowa | |
14) STONY BROOK | 14) E. TENNESSEE ST | |
Raleigh | St. Louis | |
7) Butler | 7) Louisville | |
10) George Washington | 10) WASHINGTON | |
2) NORTH CAROLINA | 2) Xavier | |
15) HIGH POINT | 15) Texas AM – CC |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kansas is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Michigan State, Oklahoma, and Maryland. Next in line: North Carolina, Villanova, Xavier, Providence.
Last Four teams in (at large): Texas, Saint Mary’s, Oregon State, Monmouth
First Four teams out (at large): Cincinnati, Marquette, Colorado, Florida
Next four teams out (at large): Saint Joseph’s, Ole Miss, BYU, Stanford
Breakdown by Conference …
ACC (8): NORTH CAROLINA, Miami-FL, Duke, Virginia, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Wake Forest, Notre Dame
Pac 12 (8): WASHINGTON, Utah, Arizona, UCLA, USC, Oregon, California, Oregon State
Big 12 (7): KANSAS, Oklahoma, Iowa State, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Baylor, Texas
Big 10 (6): MARYLAND, Michigan State, Iowa, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan
Big East (5): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Providence, Butler, Seton Hall
SEC (3): TEXAS AM, Kentucky, South Carolina
Atlantic 10 (3): VCU, Dayton, George Washington
American (2): HOUSTON, Connecticut
West Coast (2): GONZAGA, Saint Mary’s
MAAC (2): IONA, Monmouth
Mountain West (1): BOISE STATE
Missouri Valley (1): WICHITA STATE
ONE BID LEAGUES: UAB (C-USA), UT-Arlington (SBELT), Princeton (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Valparaiso (HORIZON), Texas AM-CC (SLND), East Tennessee State (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Akron (MAC), North Florida (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), William & Mary (CAA), High Point (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), IP-Fort Wayne (SUM), Cal-Bakersfield (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), Wagner (NEC), Jackson State (SWAC)