PRESEASON BRACKETOLOGY: What does the tournament field look like in November?

By Dave OmmenNov 9, 2015, 9:00 AM EST

AP Photo

The journey to March Madness begins Friday and the North Carolina Tar Heels open as the top overall seed in our preseason bracket projection. Carolina is joined on the top line by Kentucky, Maryland, and Kansas.

With that out of the way, let’s acknowledge the preseason bracket for what it is: A series of educated guesses. Some guesses will be on target (or close) and others will miss their mark completely. That’s the beauty of college hoops, much of what happens is unpredictable.

One of the many interesting teams is Louisville. How will off-court issues affect the Cardinals? How will several new faces blend together? There’s enough talent to suggest the Cards will be a lock to hear their name called on Selection Sunday. There are also enough questions to have doubts about how Louisville will navigate a deep field in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The fallout? Louisville is one of the final at-large teams in our preseason projected field. It could go either way.

The same holds true for other projected bubble teams just outside the opening Field of 68 – from Florida to Ohio State to UNLV. There a few mild surprises as projected conference champions. Depending on your point of view, these include Columbia (Ivy), Chattanooga (Southern), and Weber State (Big Sky).

Fortunately, games tip soon and all of these things will be decided on the court.

UPDATED: November 9, 2015

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI if first tiebreaker used. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU). Several new bracketing principles were introduced in the past two years. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

Louisville vs. Davidson | Midwest Region
Providence vs. Tulsa | West Region
MT. ST. MARY’S vs. WEBER ST | East Region
HAMPTON vs. TX-SOUTHERN | South Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EAST – Philadelphia		SOUTH – Louisville
Raleigh		St. Louis
1) NORTH CAROLINA		1) KENTUCKY
16) MT. ST. MARY’S / WEBER ST		16) HAMPTON / TX-S’THERN
8) RHODE ISLAND		8) NC State
9) Texas		9) Dayton

Denver		Denver
5) Oregon		5) Notre Dame
12) OLD DOMINION		12) BYU
4) Indiana		4) Arizona
13) CENTRAL MICHIGAN		13) BELMONT

Brooklyn		Oklahoma City
6) Miami-FL		6) Baylor
11) Georgia		11) VALPARAISO
3) VILLANOVA		3) WICHITA STATE
14) COLUMBIA		14) CHATTANOOGA

Oklahoma City		Des Moines
7) Wisconsin		7) Texas AM
10) UCLA		10) Xavier
2) Oklahoma		2) Michigan State
15) NEW MEXICO ST		15) SO DAKOTA ST

WEST – Anaheim		MIDWEST – Chicago
St. Louis		Raleigh
1) KANSAS		1) MARYLAND
16) STONY BROOK		16) NO FLORIDA
8) LSU		8) Butler
9) SAN DIEGO STATE		9) Florida State

Spokane		Providence
5) Purdue		5) Vanderbilt
12) Providence / Tulsa		12) Louisville / Davidson
4) GONZAGA		4) CONNECTICUT
13) UL-LAFAYETTE		13) IONA

Spokane		Des Moines
6) Michigan		6) Utah
11) West Virginia		11) S.F. AUSTIN
3) CALIFORNIA		3) Iowa State
14) UC-IRVINE		14) HOFSTRA

Providence		Brooklyn
7) Cincinnati		7) Georgetown
10) Boise State		10) Iowa
2) Virginia		2) Duke
15) BUCKNELL		15) CO CAROLINA

NOTES on the BRACKET: North Carolina is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Kentucky, Maryland, and Kanas.

Last Four teams in (at large): Providence, Louisville, Tulsa, Davidson

First Four teams out (at large): Florida, Oregon State, Syracuse, Ohio State

Next four teams out (at large): UAB, Marquette, VCU, Illinois

Breakdown by Conference …

ACC (8): North Carolina, Duke, Virginia, Notre Dame, Miami-FL, NC State, Florida State, Louisville

Big 10 (7): Maryland, Michigan State, Indiana, Purdue, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa

Big 12 (6): Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas, West Virginia

Big East (5): Villanova, Georgetown, Butler, Xavier, Providence

Pac 12 (5): California, Arizona, Oregon, Utah, UCLA

SEC (5): Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Texas AM, LSU, Georgia

Atlantic 10 (3): Rhode Island, Dayton, Davidson

American (3): Connecticut, Cincinnati, Tulsa

Mountain West (2): San Diego State, Boise State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

Conference USA (1): Old Dominion

ONE BID LEAGUES: UL-Lafayette (SBELT), Columbia (IVY), Weber State (BSKY), Valparaiso (HORIZON), S.F. Austin (SLND), Chattanooga (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Central Michigan (MAC), Iona (MAAC), North Florida (ASUN), Belmont (OVC), Hofstra (CAA), Coastal Carolina (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), Mt. St. Mary’s (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)

NCAA tweaks rules on block/charge calls in men’s basketball

Associated PressJun 8, 2023, 9:14 PM EDT

Jordan Prather/USA TODAY Sports

INDIANAPOLIS — The NCAA is tweaking how block/charge calls are made in men’s basketball.

The NCAA Playing Rules Oversight Panel approved rule changes on Thursday that require a defender to be in position to draw a charge at the time the offensive player plants a foot to go airborne for a shot. If the defender arrives after the player has planted a foot, officials have been instructed to call a block when there’s contact.

Defenders had to be in position to draw a charge before the offensive player went airborne under previous rules.

NCAA Men’s Basketball Rules Committee members made the proposal after NCAA members complained that too many charges were being called on those types of plays.

The panel also approved reviews of basket interference calls during the next media timeout – if the official called it on the floor – a shot clock reset to 20 seconds on an offensive rebound that hits the rim, and players being allowed to wear any number between 0 and 99.

A timeout also will be granted to an airborne player with possession of the ball, and non-student bench personnel will be allowed to serve as peacekeepers on the floor if an altercation occurs.

Charlotte head coach Ron Sanchez resigns after winning CBI title

Associated PressJun 7, 2023, 1:39 PM EDT

Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports

CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Ron Sanchez resigned as head coach of the Charlotte 49ers.

Sanchez took over the 49ers on March 19, 2018, inheriting a team coming off a 6-23 campaign. In five years Charlotte went 72-78 under Sanchez, highlighted by winning the College Basketball Invitational championship this past season, the Niners’ first post-season tournament title in school history.

The 22 wins this past season are the most for Charlotte since 2001.

“Ron took over a proud but struggling program and carefully rebuilt it into a 22-game winner. He has led with class, dignity and devotion to our young men,” Charlotte director of athletics Mike Hill said. “His decision to step down from Charlotte was a difficult one for him and everyone associated with our program. We wish him and his family every happiness.”

Hill said the team has already begun a national search for a replacement.

“This is a bittersweet day for me and my family as I step down to pursue other opportunities,” said Sanchez, who came the 49ers after working as an assistant coach at Virginia under Tony Bennett. “It has been a tremendous privilege to lead the 49ers basketball program over the past five years and I want to thank Niner Nation for its support. I will be forever grateful to my staff, players and the university.”

Marquette extends Shaka Smart’s contract through 2029-30 season

Associated PressJun 6, 2023, 9:55 PM EDT

Adam Cairns/USA TODAY NETWORK

MILWAUKEE — Marquette coach Shaka Smart has received a contract extension after leading the Golden Eagles to their first outright regular-season championship and tournament title in the Big East.

Smart’s contract now runs through the 2029-30 season. This is the first extension Smart has received since signing a six-year deal when he took over as Marquette’s coach in 2021.

Marquette didn’t release financial terms of Smart’s deal.

“In a very short period of time, Shaka and his staff have done a tremendous job of establishing a winning culture, both on and off the court,” athletic director Bill Scholl said in a statement. “Shaka’s vision for the program is focused on extended, sustainable success. The individuals who interact with the team on a daily basis are able to observe frequent examples of growth and the excitement around the program is contagious.”

Marquette has gone 48-20 in Smart’s two seasons and reached the NCAA Tournament each of those years.

The Golden Eagles went 29-7 and won the Big East’s regular-season and tournament championships last season after the league’s coaches had picked them to finish ninth out of 11 teams. Marquette’s season ended with a 69-60 loss to Michigan State in the NCAA Tournament’s round of 32.

Purdue’s Edey returning to school at NBA draft deadline; Kentucky’s Tshiebwe stays in

Associated PressJun 1, 2023, 11:17 AM EDT

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Purdue’s Zach Edey decided it was the right call to go back to school instead of staying in the NBA draft. His predecessor as national player of the year, Kentucky’s Oscar Tshiebwe, is sticking with his pro pursuit.

And Connecticut’s reign as NCAA champion will begin with multiple starters having left for the NBA draft and one returning after flirting with doing the same.

The 7-foot-4 Edey and UConn guard Tristen Newton were among the notable names to announce that they were withdrawing from the draft, the NCAA’s deadline for players who declared as early entrants to pull out and retain their college eligibility.

Edey’s decision came in social media posts from both the center and the Boilermakers program that earned a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament behind Edey, The Associated Press men’s national player of the year.

But Tshiebwe announced late in the afternoon that he would remain in the draft after a college career that included being named the AP national player of the year in 2022.

For the current champions, Newton (10.1 points, 4.7 assists, 4.5 rebounds) is returning after being one of four Huskies to declare for the draft after a run to UConn’s fifth national championship in early April. He scored a game-high 19 points to go with 10 rebounds in the victory over San Diego State in the title game.

The others were Final Four Most Outstanding Player Adama Sanogo, wing Jordan Hawkins and versatile guard Andre Jackson Jr. Sanogo (17.8 points) and Hawkins (16.3) have made it clear they have closed the door on their college careers, while team spokesman Phil Chardis said that Jackson (6.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.6 assists) would remain in the draft.

The Huskies have 247sports’ No. 3-ranked recruiting class for next year to restock the roster, led by McDonald’s All-American point guard Stephon Castle.

The NBA’s withdrawal deadline is June 12, but is moot when it comes to college players returning to school due to the NCAA’s earlier timeline to retain playing eligibility.

STAYING IN SCHOOL

TREY ALEXANDER: Creighton gets back a 6-4 guard who averaged 13.6 points and shot 41% from 3-point range in his first full season as a starter.

ADEM BONA: The 6-foot-10 forward and Pac-12 freshman of the year is returning to UCLA after starting 32 games as a rookie and averaging 7.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.7 blocks – with coach Mick Cronin praising his toughness for “competing through multiple injuries for as long as he could” in a statement Wednesday.

EDEY: He averaged 22.3 points, 12.9 rebounds, 2.1 blocks and 1.5 assists while shooting 60.7% from the field. His presence alone helps Purdue be a factor in the Big Ten race.

JOSIAH-JORDAN JAMES: The 6-6 guard went through the NBA G League Combine and had workouts with multiple teams before opting to return to Tennessee for a fifth season alongside teammate Santiago Vescovi.

JUDAH MINTZ: The 6-3 freshman averaged 16.3 points and 4.6 assists for Syracuse, ranking third among Division I freshmen in scoring behind only Alabama’s Brandon Miller and Lamar’s Nate Calmese.

OWLS’ RETURNEES: Florida Atlantic got good news after its surprise Final Four run with the return leading scorers Johnell Davis (13.8) and Alijah Martin (13.4). ESPN first reported their decisions, while Martin later posted a social media statement.

TERRENCE SHANNON JR.: Illinois got a big boost with Shannon announcing his night in a social media post. The 6-6 guard is returning for a fifth college season after averaging 17.2 points.

SPARTANS’ RETURNEES: Michigan State announced that guards Jaden Akins and A.J. Hoggard have withdrawn from the NBA draft. Standout guard Tyson Walker had previously withdrawn in April, setting up Tom Izzo to have five of his top scorers back.

GOING PRO

KOBE BROWN: Missouri’s 6-8 swingman opted against returning for a fifth college season after being an AP first-team all-Southeastern Conference pick averaging 15.8 points last season.

JAYLEN CLARK: The third-year UCLA guard averaged 13.0 points and 6.0 rebounds while leading the Pac-12 with 2.6 steals en route to being named Naismith national defensive player of the year. Cronin called him a winner with strong intangibles who made UCLA “a better program because he chose to be a Bruin.”

BRICE SENSABAUGH: The Ohio State freshman averaged 16.3 points and 5.4 rebounds in 31 games before missing his final two in the Big Ten Tournament due to a knee injury. He’s a potential first-round prospect.

TSHIEBWE: The 6-9, 260-pound forward is a tough interior presence who led the country in rebounds for two straight seasons (15.1 in 2022, 13.7 in 2023) while racking up 48 double-doubles. But he faces an uncertain next stop and is projected at best as a second-round prospect.

North Carolina transfer Caleb Love commits to Arizona

Associated PressMay 31, 2023, 10:59 AM EDT

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Caleb Love is now headed to Arizona.

The North Carolina transfer tweeted, less than a month after decommitting from Michigan, that he will play next season with the Wildcats.

“Caleb is a tremendously talented guard who has significant experience playing college basketball at a high level,” Arizona coach Tommy Lloyd said in a statement. “We look forward to helping Caleb grow his game at Arizona. And as we near the completion of the roster for the upcoming season, we feel great about how everything has come together. Now it’s time for the real work to start.”

A 6-foot-4 guard, Love averaged 14.6 points and 3.3 assists in three seasons at North Carolina. He averaged 17.6 points in seven NCAA Tournament games, helping lead the Tar Heels to the 2022 national championship game.

Love entered the transfer portal after leading North Carolina with 73 3-pointers as a junior and initially committed to Michigan. He decommitted from the Wolverines earlier this month, reportedly due to an admissions issue involving academic credits.

Love narrowed his transfer targets to three schools before choosing to play at Arizona over Gonzaga and Texas.

Love will likely start on a team that will have dynamic perimeter players, including Pelle Larsson, Kylan Boswell and Alabama transfer Jaden Bradley.