Bracketology: So who are the four No. 1 seeds after Duke, Virginia lose?

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With both Virginia and Duke losing Friday night at the ACC tournament, the final two No. 1 seeds are very much up for debate.  Wisconsin fans are smiling this morning because winning the Big Ten tournament puts them in prime position to move up.  Although still the top two-seed right now, Badger fans will also like the fact that they’ve moved East and away from Kentucky’s slot in the Midwest.  Syracuse is closer than Houston, that’s why East over South.

The Selection Committee may have to make a decision about the health of Virginia’s Justin Anderson.  While still a great team, UVA isn’t quite the same with him not a full strength.  Injuries can have a potential impact on final seeding.  If the Committee ends up making a choice between Duke and Virginia for a No. 1 seed slot, do they reward the Cavaliers for their regular season ACC title?  Or do they reward Duke for posting two of the biggest road wins this season – at Wisconsin and at Virginia.  Duke and UVA only played once.

As of this morning, Duke has the most wins (9) of the trio (UVA/Wisconsin) against NCAA-bound teams.  For that reason, plus the most Top 25 RPI wins among the group (7) – Virginia has five; Wisconsin three – Duke sits at No. 3 on the Seed List.  By tonight or tomorrow, we’ll see if Wisconsin or Arizona make a final push.

We’ll also be watching the bubble as a couple of potential bid thieves remain.  On that note, Colorado State’s J.J. Avila didn’t play in last night’s loss to San Diego State.  Another injury situation to monitor.

UPDATED: March 14, 2015

Note: Now that we’ve reached Championship Week, teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc). During conference tournament play, the highest remaining seed will earn the teams auto bid for the bracket until the tournament is completed.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Texas vs. BYU | Midwest Region
  • Mississippi vs. Temple | Midwest Region
  • LAFAYETTE vs. Montana | South Region
  • ROBERT MORRIS vs. Delaware State | Midwest Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

MIDWESTCleveland EAST Syracuse                             
Louisville Pittsburgh
1) Kentucky 1) Villanova
16) RB MORRIS / Delaware St 16) MANHATTAN
8) St. John’s 8) NC State
9) Cincinnati 9) Dayton
Jacksonville Seattle
5) Wichita State 5) West Virginia
12) BYU / Texas 12) Stephen F. Austin
4) North Carolina 4) Louisville
13) Central Michigan 13) Yale
Columbus Columbus
6) Butler 6) Georgetown
11) Mississippi / Temple 11) Indiana
3) Notre Dame 3) Oklahoma
14) NORTHEASTERN 14) Albany
Omaha Louisville
7) Iowa 7) San Diego State
10) Colorado State 10) Davidson
2) Kansas 2) Wisconsin
15) COASTAL CAROLINA 15) BELMONT
WEST – Los Angeles SOUTH – Houston
Charlotte Charlotte
1) Virginia 1) Duke
16) NORTH FLORIDA 16) LAFAYETTE / Montana
8) Oregon 8) Ohio State
9) Purdue 9) VCU
Portland Jacksonville
5) Providence 5) Arkansas
12) VALPARAISO 12) WOFFORD
4) NORTHERN IOWA 4) Baylor
13) New Mexico State 13) Georgia State
Omaha Pittsburgh
6) SMU 6) Utah
11) Boise State 11) LSU
3) Iowa State 3) Maryland
14) NORTH DAKOTA ST 14) UC-Irvine
Portland Seattle
7) Xavier 7) Michigan State
10) Georgia 10) Oklahoma State
2) Arizona 2) GONZAGA
15) Texas-Southern 15) Ala-Birmingham

NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Villanova, Duke, Virginia. Next in line: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, and Kansas.

Last Five teams in (at large): LSU, Mississippi, Texas, Temple, BYU

First Five teams out (at large): Tulsa, Miami-FL, Texas AM, UCLA, Rhode Island

Next five teams out (at large): Old Dominion, Connecticut, Murray State, Illinois, Richmond

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 10 (7): Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Indiana

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Texas

ACC (6): Duke, Virginia, Notre Dame, Louisville, North Carolina, NC State

Big East (6): Villanova, Georgetown, Providence, Butler, Xavier, St. John’s

SEC (5): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss

Pac 12 (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon

Mountain West (3): San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State

Atlantic 10 (3): Davidson, VCU, Dayton

American (3): SMU, Cincinnati, Temple

Missouri Valley (2): NORTHERN IOWA, Wichita State

West Coast (2): GONZAGA, BYU

ONE BID LEAGUES: Alabama-Birmingham (C-USA), Georgia State (SBELT), Yale (IVY), Montana (BSKY), VALPARAISO (HZN), S.F. Austin (SLND), WOFFORD (STHN), UC-Irvine (BWEST), Central Michigan (MAC), MANHATTAN (MAAC), NORTH FLORIDA (ASUN), BELMONT (OVC), NORTHEASTERN (CAA), COASTAL CAROLINA(BSO), Delaware State (MEAC), NORTH DAKOTA STATE (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Albany (AEAST), LAFAYETTE (PAT), ROBERT MORRIS (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)