Bracketology: Villanova takes ahold of the fourth No. 1 seed

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It’s been a topic of discussion for several weeks.  What would happen if Gonzaga lost?  Would they fall?  Who would take their place as a No. 1 seed?  Following the ‘Zags home loss to BYU – which also vaulted the Cougars into a First Four game in today’s bracket  – we have an answer: Villanova, at least for now.

The Wildcats – there are two of them (Kentucky) on the top line – slide into the West Region; following UK, Virginia, and Duke.  We say for now, because Wisconsin and Arizona also continue to push for that final spot.  And it’s conceivable we could see a shift among spots 2-6 on the Seed List between now and Selection Sunday.  We know that either Virginia or Duke will lose at least one more game – both play in the ACC tournament.  If Wisconsin, Villanova, and Arizona all win out it’ll be interesting to see how the Committee dissects that group of profiles.

With just under two weeks until Selection Sunday, we have several unclaimed spots in the bracket.  Perhaps more than ever, conference tournament games could prove decisive .  It’ll be even more interesting should we have an upset winner or two.  The Atlantic 10 race is a good example – as of this posting, there are three teams tied atop the standings.  There are another three teams – VCU, Richmond, and Massachusetts – all within a game or two of the top.  It’s perfectly conceivable that anyone of those teams could grab the automatic bid.

To view the complete Seed List for today’s bracket – visit Bracketville.

It’s March.  The Madness is almost here.

UPDATED: March 2, 2015

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid.  In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI is the first tiebreaker used. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Boise State vs. BYU Midwest Region
  • Tulsa vs. Davidson West Region
  • TX-SOUTHERN vs. ST. FRANCIS (NY) Midwest Region
  • NORTH FLORIDA vs. BUCKNELL East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

MIDWEST – Cleveland                    EAST Syracuse                                  
Louisville Charlotte
1) KENTUCKY 1) VIRGINIA
16) ST. FRANCIS / TX-STHERN 16) NO FLORIDA / BUCKNELL
8) VCU 8) DAYTON
9) Purdue 9) Xavier
Seattle Jacksonville
5) North Carolina 5) West Virginia
12) S.F. Austin 12) MURRAY STATE
4) Iowa State 4) Arkansas
13) IONA 13) LOUISIANA TECH
Louisville Pittsburgh
6) Butler 6) Providence
11) Boise State / BYU 11) Texas A&M
3) Notre Dame 3) Maryland
14) TOLEDO 14) NC-CENTRAL
Columbus Omaha
7) St. John’s 7) Iowa
10) Oklahoma State 10) Cincinnati
2) WISCONSIN 2) KANSAS
15) GEORGIA STATE 15) ALBANY
WEST – Los Angeles SOUTH – Houston                        
Pittsburgh Charlotte
1) VILLANOVA 1) Duke
16) SACRAMENTO ST 16) NORTHEASTERN
8) SAN DIEGO ST 8) Ohio State
9) LSU 9) Georgia
Columbus Portland
5) WICHITA STATE 5) Northern Iowa
12) Tulsa / Davidson 12) WOFFORD
4) Louisville 4) Utah
13) VALPARAISO 13) HARVARD
Jacksonville Omaha
6) Georgetown 6) SMU
11) NC State 11) Colorado State
3) Baylor 3) Oklahoma
14) HIGH POINT 14) UC-DAVIS
Portland Seattle
7) Michigan State 7) Indiana
10) Mississippi 10) Oregon
2) ARIZONA 2) GONZAGA
15) NEW MEXICO ST 15) SO DAKOTA ST

NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Virginia, Duke, and Villanova. Next in line: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, and Kansas.

Last Five teams in (at large): Texas A&M, Boise State, BYU, Tulsa, Davidson

First Five teams out (at large): Illinois, Temple, Old Dominion, UCLA, Stanford

Next five teams out (at large): Pittsburgh, Miami-FL, Texas, Rhode Island, Connecticut

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 10 (7): Wisconsin, Maryland, Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State, Iowa, Purdue

Big 12 (6): Kansas, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma State

ACC (6): Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, North Carolina, NC State

Big East (6): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, St. John’s, Xavier

SEC (6): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Texas AM

American (3): SMU, Cincinnati, Tulsa

Pac 12 (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon

Mountain West (3): San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State

Atlantic 10 (3): Dayton, VCU, Davidson

Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Northern Iowa

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Conference USA (1): Louisiana Tech

ONE BID LEAGUES: Georgia State (SBELT), Harvard (IVY), Sacramento State (BSKY), Valparaiso (HZN), S.F. Austin (SLND), Wofford (STHN), UC-Davis (BWEST), Toledo (MAC), Iona (MAAC), Florida Gulf Coast (ASUN), Murray State (OVC), Northeastern (CAA), High Point (BSO), NC-Central (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Albany (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), St. Francis – NY (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)