Welcome to the Revolving Door – otherwise known as this year’s NCAA tournament bubble. Teams come and go, enter and leave. It reminds one of Black Friday shoppers, moving in and out of stores at a brisk pace. They’re in search of a victory with the right shape and size. Finding those gifts can be elusive, and in the bustle of the moment, they stumble. Between Monday and today, a variety of teams passed through the bracket. A few others had the opportunity and missed the gate. If it gives you a better idea, most teams seeded on the 8-line or lower are a part of the bubble; to varying degrees. Buckle up, another weekend awaits.
What we do have is stability at the top of the bracket. Kentucky may have used up another of its lives this week, but the Cats survived at Florida. In search of a perfect season, it’s a good thing UK has nine. Virginia, Gonzaga, and Duke remain entrenched as top seeds – with Kansas, Wisconsin, Villanova, and Arizona next in line.
There will be 68 teams announced on Selection Sunday. That much we know. Which 68? We have a pretty good idea about 15 to 20 at this point. After that? There’s a lot of uncertainty. It’s shaping up to be a wild Championship Week – one in which the Selection Committee may use (or need) results to separate teams with similar profiles.
You can find the complete Seed List for today’s bracket at Bracketville.
UPDATED: February 13, 2015
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. In the event of a tie in the loss column, RPI is the first tiebreaker used. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).
Several new bracketing principles were introduced last year. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Temple vs. St. John’s | Midwest Region
- Miami-FL vs. Oregon | East Region
- TX-SOUTHERN vs. BUCKNELL | Midwest Region
- ST. FRANCIS-BROOKLYN vs. ALBANY | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
MIDWEST – Cleveland | EAST – Syracuse | |
Louisville | Charlotte | |
1) KENTUCKY | 1) VIRGINIA | |
16) BUCKNELL / TX-STHERN | 16) SFBK / BUCKNELL | |
8) Cincinnati | 8) Georgia | |
9) Dayton | 9) Texas | |
Seattle | Pittsburgh | |
5) Northern Iowa | 5) Butler | |
12) GREEN BAY | 12) Miami-FL / Oregon | |
4) Baylor | 4) Maryland | |
13) LOUISIANA TECH | 13) IONA | |
Columbus | Louisville | |
6) West Virginia | 6) Ohio State | |
11) Temple / St. John’s | 11) Stanford | |
3) Notre Dame | 3) Oklahoma | |
14) BOWLING GREEN | 14) HARVARD | |
Omaha | Pittsburgh | |
7) Georgetown | 7) VCU | |
10) LSU | 10) Michigan State | |
2) WISCONSIN | 2) VILLANOVA | |
15) GA. SOUTHERN | 15) WILLIAM & MARY | |
SOUTH – Houston | WEST – Los Angeles | |
Charlotte | Seattle | |
1) Duke | 1) GONZAGA | |
16) NEW MEXICO ST | 16) NORTH DAKOTA ST | |
8) Ole Miss | 8) SMU | |
9) Illinois | 9) SAN DIEGO ST | |
Portland | Jacksonville | |
5) Oklahoma State | 5) WICHITA STATE | |
12) S.F. Austin | 12) WOFFORD | |
4) Utah | 4) Iowa State | |
13) E. WASHINGTON | 13) MURRAY STATE | |
Jacksonville | Columbus | |
6) Arkansas | 6) Indiana | |
11) Purdue | 11) Texas AM | |
3) North Carolina | 3) Louisville | |
14) HIGH POINT | 14) NC CENTRAL | |
Omaha | Portland | |
7) Iowa | 7) Providence | |
10) Xavier | 10) Colorado State | |
2) KANSAS | 2) ARIZONA | |
15) FGCU | 15) UC DAVIS |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Virginia, Gonzaga, and Duke. Next in line: Kansas, Wisconsin, Villanova, and Arizona
Last Five teams in (at large): Purdue, Temple, St. John’s, Miami-FL, Oregon
First Five teams out (at large): Seton Hall, Boise State, UCLA, Tulsa, Old Dominion
Next five teams out (at large): NC State, Rhode Island, Davidson, Massachusetts, George Washington
Breakdown by Conference …
Big 10 (8): Wisconsin, Maryland, Indiana, Ohio State, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan State, Purdue
Big 12 (7): Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Texas
Big East (6): Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown, Xavier, St. John’s
ACC (6): Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, North Carolina, Miami-FL
SEC (6): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia, Ole Miss, LSU, Texas AM
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Utah, Stanford, Oregon
American (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Mountain West (2): San Diego State, Colorado State
Atlantic 10 (2): VCU, Dayton
Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Northern Iowa
Conference USA (1): Louisiana Tech
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
ONE BID LEAGUES: Georgia Southern (SBELT), Harvard (IVY), Eastern Washington (BSKY), Green Bay (HZN), S.F. Austin (SLND), Wofford (STHN), UC-Davis (BWEST), Bowling Green (MAC), Iona (MAAC), Florida Gulf Coast (ASUN), Murray State (OVC), William & Mary (CAA), High Point (BSO), NC-Central (MEAC), North Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Albany (AEAST), Bucknell (PAT), St. Francis – NY (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)