Pregame Shootaround 1.4.13: Memphis visits Knoxville in a game both teams need

Leave a comment

Each day, CollegeBasketballTalk brings you the “Pregame Shootaround,” which will lay out a preview for the slate of games that night. We’ll take a look at some key match-ups and important games, as well as make some predictions and point out what you need to watch for. Take a look below at today’s edition:

Note: The weekend editions of Pregame Shootaround will be published half an hour prior to tip-off of the day’s first game.

Game of the Day: Memphis at Tennessee (8 PM) 
Remember a few years ago when these two teams met at FedEx Forum in a matchup of the top two teams in the country? Circumstances are far different this time around, as both the Tigers and Volunteers could use a solid non-conference win on their resume before beginning conference play. Looking at it from that perspective it can be argued that Memphis needs this game more, as they play in a Conference USA that’s looking like a one-bid league right now while Tennessee will have a shot at the likes of Florida, Kentucky and Missouri in the SEC.

The Tigers have been the better offensive team of the two this season, and how effective they are will hinge on the play of Joe Jackson. When he’s engaged Memphis is a tough team to beat, as they also boast players such as Adonis Thomas and Geron Johnson. Tennessee counters with Jarnell Stokes inside and Jordan McRae and Trae Golden on the perimeter but they’re shooting just 42% from the field on the season. This will be an emotional slugfest, and maybe by the end of it we’ll know once and for all the status of this series.

Who’s Getting Upset?: Georgia (vs. George Washington; 7 PM) 
Not sure if this would qualify as a true “upset” since the Colonials are 6-6 while Georgia enters the game with a 5-7 mark. But with this being their final game before the start of SEC play it would be in the Bulldogs’ best interest to defend Stegeman Coliseum. To do so they’ll need to keep Isaiah Armwood under wraps, as he’d reached double figures in five straight games before George Washington’s win over Sacred Heart on December 30. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is averaging 17.5 points per game to lead Georgia, but who’s his sidekick? Mark Fox needs a player to step up tonight, especially when looking ahead to conference play. But since that has yet to happen, expect George Washington’s Lasan Kromah to be the difference.

Mid-Major Matchup of the Day: Cleveland State at Valparaiso (7 PM) 
The Horizon League race has the makings of being a really good one, with Valparaiso and Detroit leading the way. With that in mind this is a big game for the Crusaders, who enter tonight 0-1 in conference play. Cleveland State enters with an 8-6 record but Gary Waters’ team has struggled defensively, as opponents are averaging 70.1 points per game and shooting 46.3% from the field. Taking on Ryan Broekhoff and Kevin Van Wijk, the Vikings can’t afford to defend at that level tonight. Defensive issues are one reason why CSU is 1-5 on the road this season, and losing Anton Grady back in November (knee injury) certainly didn’t help matters.

Five Things 

1) “The record’s very misleading. There’s five or six of the games that (were) very winnable, so I really don’t think we can worry about our record right now.” Those were the words of Siena head coach Mitch Buonaguro earlier this week in regards to the Saints’ 2-11 record. His players have a chance to prove him right and end their six-game losing streak tonight as they host Iona (7 PM).

2) How many three-pointers will Ole Miss’ Marshall Henderson attempt tonight? The Rebels will look to run against a Fordham (9 PM) team that can be drawn into such contests, but the Rams do have some talented pieces (Branden Frazier and Chris Gaston leading the way). Fordham’s allowing opponents to shoot 33.3% from beyond the arc, which could mean more openings for Henderson.

3) Having already beaten Providence, Brown looks to pick up a win at Rhode Island (7 PM) to move to 2-1 against in-state opponents this season (they lost to Bryant). Matt Sullivan leads four Bears in double figures with an average of 14.4 points per game but it was Tucker Halpern who hit eight three-pointers last week. Dan Hurley’s young Rams will counter with guards Xavier Munford and Andre Malone.

4) Tulane looks to move to 12-3 on the season as they host a dangerous Wofford team in New Orleans (8 PM). One thing about the Green Wave: their strength of schedule ranks 338th nationally, so there are questions about the strength of their 11-3 mark. If the Terriers can turn this into a slugfest they can win.

5) The SWAC is the busiest conference tonight as there are four conference games on the slate. Texas Southern visits Alcorn State led by high-volume shooter Omar Strong, and these games will offer the answer to the question of which SWAC team has grown the most from the many guarantee-game beatings they took in non-conference play.

No Top 25 games scheduled

Other Notable Games 

Brown at Rhode Island (7 PM)

Rider at Loyola (MD) (7:30 PM)

Wofford at Tulane (8 PM)

Fordham at Ole Miss (9 PM)

Raphielle also writes for the NBE Basketball Report and can be followed on Twitter at @raphiellej.

Report: Western Kentucky’s Lamonte Bearden staying in 2018 NBA Draft

Getty Images
Leave a comment

Western Kentucky guard Lamonte Bearden will stay in the 2018 NBA Draft after hiring an agent, according to a report from ESPN’s Jeff Goodman.

The 6-foot-3 Bearden just completed his redshirt junior season with the Hilltoppers as he averaged 11.8 points, 3.4 assists and 2.3 rebounds per game. A slippery guard with good size, Bearden shot 47 percent from the field and 82 percent from the charity stripe while also getting in the passing lanes for 1.7 steals per game.

Although Bearden has good size and athleticism at lead guard, his perimeter jumper has been inconsistent during his college career. He was 31 percent from three-point range (a career high) this past season. Starting his college career at Buffalo, Bearden helped lead the Bulls to the NCAA tournament before opting to play in Conference USA for Western Kentucky.

The Hilltoppers will certainly miss Bearden’s presence in their backcourt as the program has seven new players signed for next season.

USC makes a statement landing Class of 2019 four-star forward Isaiah Mobley

Getty Images
2 Comments

USC ended a strong week of recruiting with another major statement on Friday afternoon as four-star Class of 2019 forward Isaiah Mobley pledged to the Trojans.

The second major Class of 2019 commitment for USC during the week, the 6-foot-9 power forward joins five-star big man Onyeka Okongwu. The Compton Magic teammates should be able to help replace the loss of Bennie Boatwright and Chimezie Metu, with Mobley playing the skilled, floor-spacing Boatwright’s role and Okongwu providing the interior energy of Metu.

Having two highly-touted big men commit in the same week is huge for USC. And it looks like the start of even bigger things in a continually-evolving SoCal recruiting war against Pac-12 rival UCLA.

Landing both Mobley and Okongwu is significant for the Trojans for a number of reasons. As previously mentioned, both come from the famous Compton Magic grassroots program that runs on the adidas Gauntlet. While landing AAU teammates from a regional program is common for high-major programs of USC’s stature, the commitments signify that the Trojans are the ones with the biggest pull with the Magic at the current moment.

And the Magic used to get raided by UCLA.

In the past few years, the Bruins signed T.J. Leaf, Ike Anigbogu, Jaylen Hands and Jalen Hill from the Compton Magic. Now, it’s USC who looks to be in the driver’s seat recruiting the program.

The Trojans aren’t done, either.

Newly-hired USC assistant coach Eric Mobley is the father Isaiah Mobley, as well as five-star Class of 2020 big man Evan Mobley. As Rivals national recruiting analyst Eric Bossi noted in his story about Isaiah, “Barring something strange happening, look for the younger Mobley to join his brother and father by committing to USC within the next two weeks.”

That would mean the Trojans would have landed three top-30 caliber big men in the span of a few weeks. That allows the USC coaching staff to recruit other positions extremely hard. Outside of Kentucky, USC has arguably the best future recruiting status of any program in the country.

The Trojans have taken full advantage of UCLA letting go popular assistant coach David Grace. The Bruins are still pulling in top-100 prospects, as evidenced by Grant Sherfield and Jaime Jaquez’s commitments in the Class of 2019, but losing two Magic kids in a week to a rival has to sting.

Considering where USC was last fall with the FBI investigation, who saw this type of recruiting swing coming? Other programs involved in the investigation like Arizona, Auburn and Oklahoma State have landed solid recruits. They also haven’t pulled in nearly the high-level talent that the Trojans currently have committed.

Even amidst the uncertainty surrounding the FBI investigation, USC is still pulling in elite talent while beating local rivals. It’ll be fascinating to see if the Trojans can continue to recruit at this level as they try to fill out the rest of an important recruiting class.

USF signs Oklahoma State transfer Zack Dawson

AP Photo
Leave a comment

USF landed a major addition on Friday as the school announced the signing of Oklahoma State transfer guard Zack Dawson.

The 6-foot-3 Dawson is a former consensus top-100 prospect coming out of high school as he’ll have to sit out the 2018-19 season due to NCAA transfer rules. A native of the region, Dawson will have three years of eligibility remaining once he’s able to play again.

Dismissed from Oklahoma State on Dec. 14 for violating team rules, Dawson averaged 4.4 points and1.6 assists per contest as he only suited up in five games for the Cowboys. Once Dawson is eligible to play for USF, he gives the Bulls a potentially dynamic backcourt along with rising sophomore guard David Collins.

“We are excited to welcome Zack back home to Florida as a member of the Bulls family,” USF head coach Brian Gregory said in a release. “He is a dynamic and versatile guard who can impact the game in a variety of ways. Zack comes from one of the best high school programs in the state, South Miami High School, so he immediately brings a championship attitude here to the University of South Florida.”

This is a really nice pickup for the Bulls, as they utilized a local transfer to help bolster the roster. Landing top-100 kids out of high school is going to be tough until USF boosts its basketball credibility. But getting a former top-100 player on the transfer market is a solid approach to building the Bulls into a respectable threat.

Michael Porter Jr.: ‘I’m the best player in this draft’

Andy Lyons/Getty Images
3 Comments

The more I think about it, the more that Michael Porter Jr. is becoming the most interesting prospect at the top of the 2018 NBA Draft.

As a high school senior, he was considered by many to be the top player in the class, a 6-foot-10 combo-forward with a lethal three-point shot, NBA dunk contest athleticism and the versatility to, one day, be a multi-positional defender that would seamlessly fit into fit into the modern NBA.

But his one and only season at Missouri was derailed by back surgery, and that has allowed the rest of the class of 2017 to shine while we have focused on everything else that comes with drafting Porter. The reputation that he had for the majority of his high school career of being soft. The intel that was coming out of Missouri, that he was cocky and arrogant and something of a bad teammate. Questions about whether or not he is truly a wing or a four, more like a more athletic Lauri Markkanen.

When the only thing that we’ve had a chance to see this season is an out-of-shape Porter struggling in postseason games, it shouldn’t really be a surprise that his hype train has derailed.

“I know without a doubt that I’m the — I played against all these guys, they’re all great players — but I’m the best player in this draft,” Porter told ESPN. “And I just can’t wait to show what I’m capable of.”

And therein lies the conundrum for any team drafting him.

I have little doubt that Porter is going to be able to score and score a lot in the NBA. I think he and Bagley are the safest bets to average 20 points at the NBA level before their rookie contract runs out.

But putting up points and playing on winning basketball teams are not one and the same. For a ten-year stretch after his rookie season, Rudy Gay averaged at least 17.2 points while making the playoffs once during that stretch. Is that what Porter is going to turn into at the next level? Or will be find a way to become the kind of NBA defender his athleticism says he should be and, by the time he signs his first contract extension, end up the player that Paul George is?

The mitigating factor here is that Porter is going to do a fantastic job in every interview he has. He’s an intelligent, charismatic and articulate kid that is going to be able to sell himself. The red flags that he has aren’t going to show when he’s sitting down in front of NBA general managers.

They would have shown up — or been written off — if there was a season’s worth of game-tape available, but there isn’t. What that means is that scouts are going to have to decide whether or not Porter, who by all accounts had a very impressive senior season in high school, is that player or the one that had the reputation for being soft for years before that.

And all of that is going to come after the doctor’s have a chance to examine his back to see if the surgery he underwent fixed what was wrong, or if this is the kind of situation where a recurrence is likely.

The result is the widest range for any player at the top of the draft.

He could sell someone on taking him as a top four pick. He could also slide his way down to the Knicks at No. 9 or the 76ers at No. 10.

Which is what makes him the most interesting prospect at the top of this draft.

P.J. Washington ‘definitely going back to school’ without first round guarantee

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Kentucky forward P.J. Washington is one of the handful of players that currently finds themselves in the tenuous position of having their name in the NBA draft pool without having a clear picture of where, exactly, they are going to end up getting picked.

Will they be a late-first round pick? Will he be an early second round pick? Will he even be drafted at all?

Washington told reporters at the NBA combine this week that, if he’s a first round pick, he’ll be heading to the NBA. If he only gets a second round guarantee, he’ll be returning to school.

As we detailed last week, getting selected in the second round does not mean a player is destined to end up being broke his first year out of school. In the last six drafts, only one college player picked in the top ten picks of the second round (31-40) did not receive a guaranteed contract. In the 2017 NBA Draft, every college player selected in the top 50 received a guaranteed deal of at least one year, and Thomas Bryant was the only player whose one-year guaranteed deal was at the league minimum.

That doesn’t mean that Washington should leave Kentucky if he’s going to be a second round pick. If he returns to school, becomes a 42 percent three-point shooter (and can make free throws) and proves that he’s more versatile defensively than he was his year, then he could move up into the first round in a weaker 2019 draft.

It’s a risk for him, financially, to leave after this year if he doesn’t get that first round guarantee. It’s also a risk to return to school, where the best-case scenario isn’t always what happens.

I don’t envy the decision he has to make, but I am glad that Washington will have every chance in the world to be informed about the decision.