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CBT BRACKETOLOGY: FINAL SPRINT FOR NO. 1 SEEDS

Brice Johnson, Kennedy Meeks, Marcus Paige

North Carolina’s Brice Johnson (11) reacts following a basket against Wake Forest during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Chapel Hill, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 20, 2016. North Carolina won 83-68. North Carolina’s Marcus Paige (5) and Kennedy Meeks (3) look on at rear. (AP Photo/Gerry Broome)

AP

It’s Friday before Selection Sunday. Let’s talk about something positive: the final sprint for No. 1 seeds.

Kansas should be the No. 1 overall seed. The next three slots? We still have questions with two days to go. Unless the Selection Committee has already made its decisions - which is doubtful at this time on Friday - closing results in the ACC, Big 10, and Big East could very well decide how those positions unfold. And if Oregon wins the Pac-12, it’s possible the Committee could reward the Ducks with a No. 1 seed in the West Region, especially if Oklahoma, Michigan State, North Carolina, Virginia, Villanova, and Xavier miss on conference championships. However it ends up, those eight teams are the leading contenders for No. 1 and No. 2 seeds. If Indiana wins the Big 10, the Hoosiers could also reach the two-line.

Today is the day we’ll know more from the Atlantic 10 and American groupings. As for the bubble, Thursday was a less-than-ideal day for Vanderbilt. After losing to Tennessee, the Commodores must now grab a spot on the waiting list, hoping there’s a Dance ticket left on Sunday night.

If there’s a potential bid thief left - other than a team like Illinois or Nebraska (highly unlikely) - it could be San Diego State. Should the Aztecs lose in the Mountain West championship, they’ll join the at-large discussion and see how their resume stacks up against the others.

Bracket Update: March 11, 2016

Now that we’ve reached Championship Week, teams in CAPS represent the AUTOMATIC bid. The other automatic bids are noted by the highest remaining seed in the conference tournament (as eligible). Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (ex: UCLA)

Several new bracketing principles were introduced a couple of years ago. You can read them for yourself at www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS - Dayton (First Round)


  • Tulsa vs. Monmouth | Midwest Region
  • VCU vs. Connecticut | East Region
  • HOLY CROSS vs. AUSTIN PEAY | Midwest Region
  • FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON vs. FLA GULF COAST | South Region

BRACKET PROJECTION ...

MIDWEST - ChicagoEAST - Philadelphia
Des MoinesRaleigh
1) Kansas1) Virginia
16) HOLY CROSS / AUSTIN PEAY16) Hampton
8) Wisconsin8) Texas Tech
9) USC9) Oregon State
Oklahoma CityProvidence
5) Duke5) Maryland
12) Ark-Little Rock12) Akron
4) Purdue4) Kentucky
13) IONA13) Stony Brook
BrooklynDes Moines
6) Iowa6) Texas
11) Tulsa / Monmouth11) UConn / VCU
3) Miami-FL3) Indiana
14) Middle Tennessee14) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
SpokaneSt. Louis
7) Dayton7) Colorado
10) Cincinnati10) Wichita State
2) Oregon2) Xavier
15) Weber State15) New Mexico State
SOUTH - LouisvilleWEST - Anaheim
BrooklynOklahoma City
1) Villanova1) Oklahoma
16) FDU / FLA GULF CST16) Texas-Southern
8) South Carolina8) Butler
9) Saint Joseph’s9) Pittsburgh
DenverDenver
5) Iowa State5) Arizona
12) CHATTANOOGA12) NORTHERN IOWA
4) California4) Texas AM
13) YALE13) UNC-WILMINGTON
ProvidenceSpokane
6) Notre Dame6) Baylor
11) Temple11) San Diego State
3) West Virginia3) Utah
14) S.F. Austin14) Hawaii
St. LouisRaleigh
7) Providence7) Seton Hall
10) GONZAGA10) St. Bonaventure
2) Michigan State2) North Carolina
15) GREEN BAY15) UNC-ASHEVILLE

NOTES on the BRACKET: Kansas is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Virginia, Oklahoma, Villanova. Next in line: Michigan State, North Carolina, Xavier, Oregon

Last Four Byes (at large): Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, St. Bonaventure, Wichita State

Last Four IN (at large): Monmouth, Connecticut, VCU, Tulsa

First Four OUT (at large): Saint Mary’s, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Florida

Next four teams OUT (at large): Michigan, Valparaiso, George Washington, Houston

Breakdown by Conference ...

Pac 12 (7): OREGON, Utah, California, Arizona, Colorado, USC, Oregon State

Big 12 (7): KANSAS, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas, Baylor, Texas Tech

ACC (6): NORTH CAROLINA, Virginia, Miami, Duke, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh

Big 10 (6): INDIANA, Michigan State, Purdue, Maryland, Iowa, Wisconsin

Big East (5): VILLANOVA, Xavier, Seton Hall, Providence, Butler

Atlantic 10 (4): DAYTON, Saint Joseph’s, St. Bonaventure, VCU

American (4): TEMPLE, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Tulsa

SEC (3): KENTUCKY, Texas AM, South Carolina

Missouri Valley (2): NORTHERN IOWA, Wichita State

MAAC (2): IONA, Monmouth

West Coast (1): GONZAGA

Mountain West (1): SAN DIEGO STATE

ONE BID LEAGUES: Iona (MAAC), Middle Tennessee (C-USA), Ark-Little Rock (SBELT), Yale (IVY), Weber State (BSKY), Green Bay (HORIZON), Stephen F. Austin (SLND), Chattanooga (STHN), Hawaii (BWEST), Akron (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (ASUN), Austin Peay (OVC), UNC-Wilmington (CAA), UNC-Asheville (BSO), Hampton (MEAC), South Dakota State (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Stony Brook (AEAST), Holy Cross (PAT), Fairleigh-Dickinson (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)