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The ‘unlucky’ label doesn’t fit Iowa and Utah

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The topic of luck in sporting events is a tough one to broach with fans, as we tend to think about the outcomes of those games in absolutes.

You win, you’re the better team, even if that win came on your home court on a 35-foot buzzer-beater on a night where a 30% three-point shooting team went 8-for-10 from beyond the arc. That’s the way a sports fan’s mind works, because they want to believe that what happened during the course of a game wasn’t fluky or random or “lucky”.

On Tuesday, John Gasaway of ESPN Insider published his list of the unluckiest teams in college basketball in 2013-2014, a stat that he determined by looking at a team’s record based on what was expected given that team’s per-possession performance.

No. 1 on that list was Tennessee, a team that made the Sweet 16 and finished No. 7 nationally in KenPom’s rankings despite going 24-13 overall and 11-7 in the mediocre SEC. It’s not hard to find anecdotal evidence to support this point — the Vols twice lost to Texas A&M when Antwan Space, who hit 13 threes all season long, made a buzzer-beating, game-winning three-pointer — which makes it easy for me to be on the same page calling the Vols “unlucky”.

But I have a hard time calling a couple of the other teams on this list “unlucky”.

Take No. 4 Iowa as an example. The Hawkeyes had enough talent on their roster to be a top ten team, but their issues had nothing to do with being unlucky or having the ball bounce their opponents’ way. They routinely blew late leads in games that they should have won, they couldn’t defend anyone and they completely lost their confidence over the last month of the season. They should be better than they were last season, and if they are, it will be because they developed the mental maturity to execute during a close game down the stretch and because they improved defensively.

The same can be said for Utah, who checks in at No. 6 on that list. The reason they missed out on the NCAA tournament was because their non-conference schedule was an absolute joke and because they couldn’t close out close games, particularly on the road. Of their 10 regular season losses, only one was by double figures and only two were by more than four points. They were 0-3 in overtime games and 0-5 in games decided by a single possession.

Winning is a skill. The mental fortitude to be able to execute in crunch time — being “clutch” — is a skill. Utah didn’t have either of them last season.

I get the point that Gasaway is trying to make: Utah and Iowa were probably better than their record indicated last season. I agree.

But let’s not pin their relative lack of success of being “unlucky”. Leaving it up to chance takes away fault, and the bottom line is that those two teams lost games they shouldn’t have lost.

Former Wichita State assistant returns as a consultant

Chris Jans, Gregg Marshall
Associated Press
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Prior to a one-year stint as the head coach coach at Bowling Green that came to an end in early April as a result of an incident at a Bowling Green restaurant, Chris Jans was a member of Gregg Marshall’s coaching staff at Wichita State from 2007-14. During those seven seasons Jans was a key figure as the Shockers made the progression to a respected national power.

Jans is back in Wichita, with Paul Suellentrop of the Wichita Eagle reporting Thursday that he’s serving as a consultant to the program. Jans’ consulting agreement runs for 45 days, which the school can renew, and he’ll be paid $10,000 for the work. While Jans isn’t allowed to do any coaching, he can watch practices and provide Marshall and the coaching staff with his observations.

“He will be able to consult with the coaching staff, only on what he observes in practice,” said Darron Boatright, WSU deputy athletics director. “By NCAA rule, a consultant is not allowed to have communication with student-athletes … not about basketball-related activities or performance.”

While Jans (who according to the story has served in a similar role for another school) can’t do any coaching in this role, his return does give Marshall another trusted voice to call upon when needed. Wichita State bid farewell to an assistant coach this spring with Steve Forbes being hired as the head coach at East Tennessee State, with his position being filled by former Sunrise Christian Academy coach Kyle Lindsted.

h/t ShockerHoops.net

AUDIO: Rick Pitino discusses allegations, future at Louisville

Rick Pitino
Associated Press
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Thursday afternoon marked the first time since Friday that Louisville head coach Rick Pitino commented on the controversy that has taken his program by storm. Speaking with Terry Meiners of 840 WHAS in Louisville, Pitino discussed the escort scandal, what could have possibly led former staffer Andre McGee down the path he’s alleged to have taken in Katina Powell’s book and his future at Louisville.

The interview began with Meiners asking Pitino if it changed his thinking as to whether or not he needed to resign, which (as one would expect) Pitino shot down. Also discussed was the statement released by school president Dr. James Ramsey, which expressed support for athletic director Tom Jurich but did not mention Pitino at all.

“Well I can’t answer that, Terry,” Pitino said when asked why he wasn’t mentioned in the statement. “Twenty-six years ago Kentucky brought me in to make the program compliant to NCAA rules. (Then-Kentucky president) Dr. (David) Roselle and (then Kentucky athletic director) C.M. Newton thought I was the guy to come in and change around the images, change around the culture and add a lot of discipline to the program. And I did that.

“And then I came here to the University of Louisville, and if someone was five seconds late or not early consequences would be paid from a disciplinary standpoint,” Pitino continued. “This is obviously not a person being late, this is not about a person (not) working hard. This is about things that are very disgusting, things that turn my stomach, things that keep me up without sleeping.

“But unfortunately, I had no knowledge of any of this and don’t believe in it. It’s sickening to me, the whole thing. But I’m thinking of my 13 players, I’m thinking of our program, and I’m sorry that Dr. Ramsey did not think enough to mention me but that’s something I cannot control.”

Below is audio of the full interview, which ran just over 17 minutes in length.