Caris LeVert (AP Photo)

Bracketology: Final No. 1 seed still a question mark

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We are a few hours from the release of the 2014 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship bracket.  And the final No. 1 seed may not be decided.  By reaching the Big Ten title game, Michigan is probably the frontrunner having already won the regular-season title.  Should Michigan fall to rival Michigan State, Virginia will be knocking on the door if the Cavaliers beat Duke to win both the ACC regular season and tournament titles.  Lest we forget about Villanova.  The Wildcats could still emerge as the East Region leader if both the Wolverines and Cavaliers lose.

In other words, the Selection Committee in Indianapolis will spend its Sunday building multiple brackets depending on what happens this afternoon.  Florida will be the top overall seed.  Arizona and Wichita State should also be locked in place on the top line.

RELATED: Six things to watch for on Selection Sunday

Providence erased any doubt about its spot in the Field of 68 by winning the Big East tournament Saturday night.  The three potential bid thieves from Saturday (NC State, Georgia, St. Bonaventure) all lost.  So the rest of the field remains in tact.

Enjoy your Selection Sunday.

Teams in CAPS represent the AUTOMATIC bid based on tournament results. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

MORE: Get to know all of the Automatic Bids

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Nebraska vs. SMU | East Region
  • Dayton vs. BYU | West Region
  • TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. MOUNT ST. MARY’S | Midwest Region
  • CAL-POLY vs. COASTAL CAROLINA | East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

SOUTH – Memphis                             WEST Anaheim
Orlando San Diego
1) Florida 1) Arizona
16) ALBANY 16) WEBER STATE
8) Oregon 8) Memphis
9) GONZAGA 9) Kansas State
San Diego Spokane
5) Ohio State 5) Baylor
12) HARVARD 12) Dayton / BYU
4) Syracuse 4) San Diego State
13) WESTERN MICHIGAN 13) S.F. AUSTIN
San Antonio San Antonio
6) North Carolina 6) Connecticut
11) PROVIDENCE 11) Tennessee
3) Iowa State 3) Creighton
14) MERCER 14) NEW MEXICO STATE
Milwaukee St. Louis
7) VCU 7) Kentucky
10) Stanford 10) Saint Joseph’s
2) Wisconsin 2) Kansas
15) NC-CENTRAL 15) MILWAUKEE
EAST – New York MIDWEST – Indianapolis
Milwaukee St. Louis
1) Michigan 1) WICHITA STATE
16) CO CAROLINA / CAL-POLY 16) TX SOUTHERN / MT ST MARY’S
8) George Washington 8) Oklahoma State
9) Pittsburgh 9) Colorado
Spokane Orlando
5) UCLA 5) NEW MEXICO
12) NORTH DAKOTA ST 12) MANHATTAN
4) Cincinnati 4) Michigan State
13) DELAWARE 13) TULSA
Raleigh Buffalo
6) Texas 6) Oklahoma
11) Nebraska / SMU 11) Xavier
3) Duke 3) LOUISVILLE
14) Georgia State 14) EASTERN KENTUCKY
Buffalo Raleigh
7) Saint Louis 7) Massachusetts
10) Arizona State 10) Iowa
2) Villanova 2) Virginia
15) AMERICAN 15) WOFFORD

NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida remains the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Michigan.

Last Five teams in (at large): Xavier, Nebraska, Dayton, SMU, BYU

First Five teams out (at large): Florida State, Minnesota, California, Arkansas, Missouri

Next five teams out (at large): Green Bay, Southern Miss, Louisiana Tech, NC State, Toledo

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State

Pac 12 (6): Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon, Colorado

Atlantic 10 (6): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s, Dayton

Big Ten (6): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska

ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh

American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU

Big East (4): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier, Providence

SEC (3): Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … TULSA (C-USA), EASTERN KENTUCKY (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), AMERICAN (Patriot), NORTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit), MILWAUKEE (Horizon), WOFFORD (Southern), NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC), MANHATTAN (MAAC), STEPHEN F AUSTIN (Southland), WESTERN MICHIGAN (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), CAL-POLY (Big West), DELAWARE (Colonial), ALBANY (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NC-CENTRAL (MEAC), COASTAL CAROLINA (Big South), MOUNT ST. MARY’S (NEC), TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC)

Alabama upsets No. 15 Texas A&M as Aggies continue recent freefall

Alabama guard Retin Obasohan (32) scores against Texas A&M during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
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Alabama played inspired ball on both ends of the floor and held on to upset No. 15 Texas A&M 63-62 in an SEC thriller on Wednesday night. Trailing by one point with less than three seconds left, Texas A&M had a chance to tie or take the lead with senior Anthony Collins at the line for two free throws. But Collins, one of the nation’s best free-throw shooters at 92 percent on the season, missed both free throws in a heartbreaking loss for the Aggies.

The Crimson Tide controlled the glass most of the game by outrebounding the Aggies 36-29 and also forced 13 Texas A&M turnovers. The loss for Texas A&M means they’ve lost four of their last five games and four straight games in the SEC.

Retin Obasahon led Alabama (14-9, 5-6) with 16 points as he made a lot of big plays in the second half to put the team on his back. The win means the Crimson Tide have won three consecutive games and defeated four ranked opponents during the season. Riley Norris added 11 points for the Crimson Tide while Shannon Hale was also in double-figures with 10 points.

Although Texas A&M (18-6, 7-4) did better with their recent shaky 3-point defense, holding Alabama to 8-for-25 (32 percent) from distance, they were outhustled on the glass for much of the game and couldn’t overcome a slow start. Senior Jalen Jones finished with 21 points and seven rebounds while Danuel House had 12 points and Collins finished with 11.

This loss is absolutely killer for Texas A&M, as they continue to slide down the SEC standings. The recent road woes for the Aggies also continued as they’ve lost three straight away from home. The schedule doesn’t get much easier for the Aggies the next few games, either, as they travel to LSU and then host Ole Miss and Kentucky. Texas A&M is in a potential freefall right now and they went from a major contender in the SEC to a team that just needs to get back on track.

As for Alabama, this is another solid win for head coach Avery Johnson in his first season. It’s hard to say if Johnson got some scouting advice from his son Avery Johnson Jr., a redshirt guard for the Crimson Tide who played for the Aggies last season, but they’ll certainly take this tight win. Alabama is now 5-1 in one-possession games this season and there’s something to be said for that mark.

BUBBLE BANTER: Key Atlantic 10, Big East bubble games

Kelan Martin, Kyle Alexander
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This post will be updated throughout the night.

WASHINGTON, D.C. — This is the win that Saint Joseph’s (KenPom: 48, RPI: 30) needed.

Entering Wednesday night, the Hawks were a paper tiger, a team with terrific computers numbers despite the fact that they hadn’t actually accomplished much of anything this season.

Well, that’s not exactly true. They are now 20-4 on the season and 10-2 in the Atlantic 10. They haven’t lost to anyone ranked outside the RPI top 50, and while that seems like it should be a simple thing to do, upsets happen all the time in college basketball. Not losing to anyone that stinks is one of the marks of a good team.

The problem, however, is that prior to their trip to Foggy Bottom on Wednesday, the best win that St. Joe’s had on the season … Princeton? At Temple? They were without an RPI top 50 win and, if you factor in Buffalo, the Hawks and three top 100 wins on their résumé.

That’s not exactly the stuff of at-large bids.

And then Wednesday happened, and the Hawks went into the Smith Center and hammered a good George Washington team by 18 points, the same GW team that went into Richmond on Saturday and handed VCU their first loss of the conference season.

It looks like nothing more than a top 50 road win on their profile, but for at least one person that was in attendance (Hi!), it was something of a statement win. I had my doubts about the group, and while the eye-test is totally subjective and probably the worst way to gauge whether or not a team is a tournament team, they certainly passed my eye-test today.

WINNERS

  • Butler (KenPom: 41, RPI; 67): The Bulldogs landed a critical win on Wednesday night, as they went into Newark and knocked off a Seton Hall team that is probably better than you realize. That’s an RPI top 50 win on the road that’s getting added to a résumé that, entering the night, had just a single top 50 win. Period. The Bulldogs still have plenty of work to do, but with their only two bad losses coming on the road against league competition and five wins against the top 100 with four coming away from Hinkle Fieldhouse, Chris Holtmann’s club has positioned themselves nicely to not only get a bid but get a solid seed as well.

LOSERS

  • Seton Hall (KenPom: 31, RPI: 37): Losing to Butler certainly doesn’t help Seton Hall’s cause, but this isn’t a bad loss. The Pirates are still without a sub-100 loss, although this does drop them to 6-7 against the RPI top 100 with a pair top 50 wins. They’re still in the tournament as of today, and probably with some room to spare.
  • George Washington (KenPom: 71, RPI: 34): There are two positives to take out of GW’s loss to Saint Joseph’s on Wednesday night: 1) The Hawks may end up being an RPI top 25 team once the numbers are crunched overnight, so this is anything but a bad loss, and 2) This 18-point drubbing will look exactly the same as a one-point loss at the buzzer in the eyes of the selection committee.

LSU (KenPom: 53, RPI: 76) at South Carolina (KenPom: 45, RPI: 28), 7:00 p.m.
Nebraska at Wisconsin (KenPom: 51, RPI: 62), 7:00 p.m.
Missouri at Vanderbilt (KenPom: 35, RPI: 58), 9:00 p.m.
No. 14 Iowa State at Texas Tech (KenPom: 59, RPI: 51), 9:00 p.m.
Michigan (KenPom: 46, RPI: 56) at Minnesota, 9:00 p.m.
Washington (KenPom: 80, RPI: 57) at Utah (KenPom: 44, RPI: 16), 9:00 p.m.
San Diego State (KenPom: 65, RPI: 47) at Fresno State, 11:00 p.m.