NBCSports.com Bracketology: Kansas, Iowa, and San Diego State climb bracket ladder

1 Comment

source: Getty Images

Kansas is among the top movers in this week’s bracket projection.  The reasons are pretty clear: two quality road wins and an overall schedule ranked No. 1 in the nation. Those types of statistics always play well on Selection Sunday.

In the span of a week, the Jayhawks won road games at Oklahoma and Iowa State – sandwiched with a lopsided home victory over improved Kansas State.  It’s mid-January and KU already has seven wins against Top 50 teams (RPI – through Monday, January 13).  Thus, Kansas finds itself as a No. 2 seed in today’s update.  Also worth noting: the Jayhawks’ four losses are by a combined 17 points and only one of those – San Diego State – occurred in the past month.

Which brings us to SDSU – another of the recent seed climbers.  San Diego State followed up its monumental victory at KU by handling Boise State at home and Air Force on the road.  The Aztecs are 5-0 away home.  None bigger than the one in Lawrence.

Iowa vaulted up the seed list after an impressive win at Ohio State.  The somewhat undervalued Hawkeyes are 12 points from a perfect season – having lost only on a neutral court to Villanova, at Iowa State, and at Wisconsin.  If there is a knock on the Hawkeyes’ resume, it’s an overall weakish non-conference schedule.  How that affects Iowa’s final seeding remains to be seen.  Continuing to win league road games will erase much of the concern.

Let’s also mention Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have won eight straight.  The most impressive victory in that streak was a 16-point road win at Memphis.  UC has moved from a potential bubble team to No. 19 on the current s-curve.

Other than rising Virginia – and to some extent Oklahoma after its home win over Iowa State – there hasn’t been a lot of movement around the bubble.  If you check last week’s bracket, the names appear much the same – perhaps in a slightly different order.  Arkansas is the first team out in today’s update.  The Razorbacks continue to struggle on the road – a problem that has plagued them in recent years.

It’s still a little early to be overly concerned with conference standings but there are some potential pitfalls ahead.  Take, for example, North Carolina.  The Tar Heels are 0-3 in ACC play after their loss at Syracuse.  This week’s game with Boston College is huge – which is followed by a trip to Virginia and a home date with Clemson.  It’s time for UNC to make a u-turn or risk falling out of the Field.  Despite three quality wins, a 1-5 league mark would put UNC on an uphill climb toward tourney selection.

UPDATED: January 14, 2014

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Stanford vs. Texas | Midwest Region
  • George Washington vs. Tennessee | South Region
  • WAGNER vs. UNC-ASHEVILLE | East Region
  • SOUTHERN vs. HAMPTON | West Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

WESTAnaheim EAST New York                              
San Diego Buffalo
1) ARIZONA 1) SYRACUSE
16) HAMPTON / SOUTHERN 16) WAGNER / NC-ASHEVILLE
8) Virginia 8) California
9) Dayton 9) Kansas State
Spokane Raleigh
5) Michigan 5) MASSACHUSETTS
12) GREEN BAY 12) HARVARD
4) SAN DIEGO ST 4) Ohio State
13) BELMONT 13) AKRON
Orlando San Antonio
6) Pittsburgh 6) New Mexico
11) VCU 11) Illinois
3) Iowa 3) Baylor
14) DELAWARE 14) NO COLORADO
St. Louis Buffalo
7) Creighton 7) Missouri
10) GONZAGA 10) Connecticut
2) KANSAS 2) VILLANOVA
15) IPFW 15) MERCER
SOUTH – Memphis MIDWEST – Indianapolis
Milwaukee Milwaukee
1) MICHIGAN STATE 1) WISCONSIN
16) DAVIDSON 16) STONY BROOK
8) Florida State 8) Xavier
9) UCLA 9) North Carolina
San Diego Raleigh
5) CINCINNATI 5) Memphis
12) LOUISIANA TECH 12) Stanford / Texas
4) Colorado 4) Kentucky
13) NEW MEXICO ST 13) MANHATTAN
Spokane San Antonio
6) Oregon 6) Duke
11) Tennessee / Geo Washington 11) Georgetown
3) Iowa State 3) WICHITA STATE
14) S.F. AUSTIN 14) UC-IRVINE
Orlando St. Louis
7) Saint Louis 7) Louisville
10) Oklahoma 10) Minnesota
2) FLORIDA 2) Oklahoma State
15) BOSTON UNIV 15) GEORGIA STATE

NOTES on the BRACKET: Arizona is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Syracuse, Wisconsin, and Michigan State.

Last Five teams in (at large): Georgetown, Tennessee, Geo Washington, Stanford, Texas

First Five teams out (at large): Arkansas, SMU, NC State, Arizona State, Wake Forest

Next five teams out (at large): LSU, Indiana State, Notre Dame, Indiana, Providence

Breakdown by Conference …

Big Ten (7): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas

Pac 12 (6): Arizona, Oregon, Colorado, UCLA, California, Stanford

ACC (6): Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Virginia

SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Tennessee

Atlantic 10 (5): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, Dayton, Geo Washington

American (4): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati

Big East (4): Creighton, Georgetown, Villanova, Xavier

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

West Coast (1): Gonzaga

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Louisiana Tech (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), IPFW (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), New Mexico State (WAC), Manhattan (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Akron (MAC), Mercer (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Stony Brook (American East), Northern Colorado (Big Sky), Hampton (MEAC), UNC-Asheville (Big South), Wagner (NEC), Southern (SWAC)

College Basketball AP Poll: Virginia, Michigan State, Villanova top the Top 25

Rich Barnes/Getty Images
Leave a comment

1. Virginia (42 first-place votes)
2. Michigan State (19)
3. Villanova (4)
4. Xavier
5. Duke
t-6. Texas Tech
t-6. Gonzaga
8. Kansas
9. Purdue
10. North Carolina
11. Cincinnati
12. Auburn
13. Wichita State
14. Arizona
15. Clemson
16. Ohio State
17. Michigan
18. Rhode Island
19. Tennessee
20. Nevada
21. West Virginia
22. Saint Mary’s
23. Houston
24. Middle Tennessee
25. Florida State

VIDEO: Wichita State celebrates in locker room after win over Cincinnati

Darryl Oumi/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Wichita State went into Cincinnati — well, Northern Kentucky — on Sunday evening and landed their biggest win of the season.

They were fired up about it, as you might imagine.

And their locker room celebrating after the win was, as the kids say, litty:

Here’s the funny part to me: This game wasn’t played at Cincinnati. It wasn’t played at Wichita State. It was played at Northern Kentucky, where the Bearcats are playing their home games while they wait for the renovations on their arena to be completed.

Which means that some poor NKU employee that had nothing to do with either of these two programs had to spend the time cleaning up this mess.

CBT Podcast: Monday Overreactions: Villanova-Xavier, the Big 12 is drunk, the best in the Big Ten is … ?

Getty Images
Leave a comment

Rob Dauster was joined by Eamonn Brennan of The Athletic on today’s show to overreact to everything that happened this weekend, from Villanova pasting Xavier to the insanity that is the Big 12 to what happened in the Big Ten in the last ten days. We also spend a good 30 minutes talking about bubble teams, tournament resumes and some misconceptions with both. The rundown.

OPEN: Bubble Banter. We talk about weird bubble teams and whether or not we like the new Quadrant system.

36:08: Villanova’s win over Xavier and the Big East title race.

45:15: The Big 12 makes no sense and I love it.

58:30: Michigan State deserves the Big Ten title.

Team Of The Week: Houston Cougars

AP Photo
Leave a comment

The Cougars have now won five straight games, but it was the two games they won this week that set the tone for what the rest of their season can be.

On Thursday night, Cincinnati came to down and Houston dropped them, 67-62, despite digging a double-digit hole in the first half. They followed that up by going into North Philadelphia and poleaxing Temple. They were up 34-11 midway through the first half. They won by 21 points. It was never a question.

And as a result, Houston’s bid to the NCAA tournament is no longer a question so long as they avoid losing to Memphis, East Carolina and UConn. And if they truly are an NCAA tournament team, they’ll get that done.

But perhaps the best piece of news is that the Cougars did all this while Rob Gray did not play well. He’s one of the best players in that conference, and the fact that they were able to right Devin Davis and Corey Davis to wins in two of their most important and toughest games of the league slate is significant.

What happens when Rob Gray gets right?

THEY WERE GOOD, TOO

  • WICHITA STATE: Not only did Wichita State land a come-from-behind win over Temple on Thursday night, one where they trailed by 14 points at halftime, but they followed that up by going to Cincinnati and knocking off the then-No. 5 Bearcats.
  • MICHIGAN STATE: The Spartans moved into sole possession of first place in the Big Ten due in large part to the fact that they were able to erase a 27-point first half deficit at Northwestern.
  • BAYLOR: The Bears look like they are now heading for the NCAA tournament after landing wins at Texas and at home over Texas Tech on Saturday. Now that Scott Drew’s team is healthy, they look like they belong in the top 25.
  • ST. BONAVENTURE: The Bonnies might have solidified their bid for the NCAA tournament. As long as they don’t do anything dumb the rest of the season, beating Rhode Island at home on Friday night should be enough for them to get in.
  • DUKE: The Blue Devils have now won three straight games after losing Marvin Bagley III to a minor knee sprain, mainly because their defense is now playing at a level that we haven’t seen yet this season. Are the Blue Devils better without Marvin Bagley??? (Hint: No.)

Player Of The Week: Terry Maston, Baylor

John Weast/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Terry Maston is back from injury and playing the best basketball of his career.

The 6-foot-8 senior was utterly dominant in two critical, close wins this week. It started with 26 points and six boards in a double-overtime win at Texas on Monday night that was something of a play-out game for NCAA tournament purposes.

Then on Saturday, that win was overshadowed. Maston had 24 points and five boards in regular as the Bears knocked off No. 7 Texas Tech for their fifth straight win, and suddenly it looks like Scott Drew’s club will be in the NCAA tournament come Selection Sunday.

All told, in what will arguably be the most important week of the season for Baylor, Maston scored 50 points, or a total of 38 percent of Baylor’s total scoring output in those two games.

Not bad for a guy that came off the bench in both of those wins.

THE ALL-‘THEY WERE GOOD, TOO’ TEAM

  • GRAYSON ALLEN, Duke: In three games without Marvin Bagley III, Duke is now 3-0 thanks to Grayson Allen averaging 22.3 points and 5.3 assists while shooting 42 percent from three. Last week, Duke beating Virginia Tech by 22 points and won at Clemson.
  • CALEB and CODY MARTIN, Nevada: The Wolf Pack picked up two road wins this week, including a win at Boise State that gave them the inside track at the Mountain West regular season title. The twins combined to average 42.5 points, 12.5 boards and 4.0 assists in those two wins.
  • AARON HOLIDAY, UCLA: The Bruins stayed on track to earn a berth into the NCAA tournament with wins over Oregon and Oregon State. Holiday was the star both nights, going for 17 and 10 assists against OSU and following that up with 29 points, six assists and five boards in an overtime win over Oregon.
  • MATT MOBLEY, St. Bonaventure: Mobley averaged 28 points and nine boards as the Bonnies beat La Salle and No. 16 Rhode Island to put themselves in a spot where they can realistically feel good about their chances of getting into the NCAA tournament.
  • DEANDRE AYTON, Arizona: Ayton had one of his best games of the season on Thursday night, going for 25 points, 16 boards, four assists and three blocks as the Wildcats picked off Arizona State on the road.