Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Matta talks with guard Craft in the second half against the Wichita State Shockers during their West Regional NCAA men's basketball game in Los Angeles

2013-2014 Season Preview: No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes

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All month long, CBT will be rolling out our 2013-2014 season preview. Check back throughout the day, as we’ll be posting three or four preview items every day.

To browse through the preview posts we’ve already published, click here. The rest of our Top 25 Countdown can be found here. For a schedule of our previews for the month, click here.

Last Season: 29-8, 13-5 Big Ten (t-2nd); Lost in the Elite 8 to Wichita State

Head Coach: Thad Matta (10th season at Ohio State: 250-73 overall, 111-45 Big Ten)

Key Losses: Deshaun Thomas, Evan Ravenel

Newcomers: Marc Loving, Kameron Williams

Projected Lineup

G: Aaron Craft, Sr.
G: Lenzelle Smith, Sr.
F: Sam Thompson, Jr.
F: LaQuinton Ross, Jr.
C: Amir Williams, Jr.
Bench: Shannon Scott, Jr.; Trey McDonald, Jr.; Marc Loving, Fr.; Kameron Williams, Fr.

They’ll be good because …: Aaron Craft, who has made a career out of being one of the most polarizing players in the country, is back for his senior season. Craft is a short, white point guard that lacks vertical explosiveness and wins with every clichéd intangible ever uttered by a broadcaster. He plays the game the right way, he’s gritty, he’s got a high basketball IQ. Craft needs to be more consistent and more aggressive as a playmaker this season, whether he’s looking to score or create. The same can be said for LaQuinton Ross, and there’s reason to believe he can help replace the output of Deshaun Thomas. Ross came on strong late in the year, and capped it by averaging 17.7 points in the last three games of Ohio State’s run to the Elite 8. That included the game-winner against Arizona you see below.

What Craft does best, however, is anchor a perimeter that will be absolutely stifling at times this season. He’s probably the best on-ball defender in the country, capable of turning a trip into Columbus into a nightmare for opposing point guards. Sam Thompson can shut down big wings with his length and athleticism, and back-up point guard Shannon Scott has proven himself to be quite the playmaker on the defensive end. One way to counteract the Buckeye’s question marks in the paint is to apply enough pressure on the perimeter to takeaway entry passes.

source:
Reuters

But they might disappoint because …: Ohio State is going to have to find someone to replace the 19.8 points that Deshaun Thomas averaged a season ago as the Buckeye’s go-to scorer. Ross will be the popular pick heading into the season, as he fits that shoot-first, combo-forward role that Thomas played perfectly. But here’s the problem: Ohio State’s issue last season was that they struggled to establish a consistent secondary scoring threat until late in the year, when Craft and then Ross took over that role. Are those two prepared to become the first and second options offensively? And will a team relying on LaQuinton Ross and Aaron Craft for points be able to compete for the Final Four and the Big Ten crown?

The other issue with the Buckeyes is in the front court, where they have very little depth after Evan Ravenel’s graduation. Amir Williams is a talented kid, but he’s been anything but a hard-worker during his time at Ohio State. He’s been an effective shot-blocker and gotten to the glass fairly well in limited minutes, and the Buckeyes will need much more of that from him this year. Why? Because Trey McDonald, who played in 19 games as a sophomore, will be Matta’s back up big man, and the forward trio of Ross, Thompson and Marc Loving is not exactly what you would call powerful. Rebounding and interior defense will be something Ohio State focuses on.

Outlook: Ohio State is generally thought of as a football school where basketball is considered secondary, a distraction to get fans through a long, cold winter and to spring practices. But the Buckeyes have one of the strongest, healthiest, basketball brands not just in the Big Ten, but in the country. They won at least a share of the Big Ten title for three straight seasons before finishing second last year. They’ve won 94 games in the Aaron Craft era, making a Sweet 16, an Elite 8 and a Final Four. It would likely surprise you to find out that Ohio State was ineligible for the 2005 NCAA tournament due to self-imposed sanctions.

I make this point because the Buckeyes, at this point, deserve the benefit of the doubt. This doesn’t look like a roster that deserves to be ranked in the top ten, just like last year’s roster didn’t look like it deserved to be ranked in the top ten. But by the time that the season ended, Ohio State had won 13 Big Ten games, finished second in the best conference in the country, earned themselves a No. 2 seed in the NCAA tournament and played their way into the Elite 8. There are a few question marks on this roster, but if Ohio State can get consistent enough play from their defense, I believe Ohio State will continue to find a way to win games. Anything less than a top four seed in the tournament and a top four finish in the Big Ten would be disappointing.

Auburn junior guard Kareem Canty to turn pro

Auburn guard Kareem Canty (1) screams in pain after being fouled during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Saturday, Jan. 16, 2016, in Auburn, Ala. Auburn won 75-70.  (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
AP Photo/Brynn Anderson
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Auburn junior point guard Kareem Canty, the team’s leader in both points and assists, has missed the Tigers’ last two games as a result of a suspension handed down by head coach Bruce Pearl for a violation of team rules. Thursday night Canty announced via Twitter that he will be turning pro, ending his Auburn career with less than one full season of play.

In 21 games this season Canty averaged 18.3 points and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 40.1 percent from the field and 36.1 percent from three. Given Auburn’s lack of perimeter depth Canty had ample opportunities to score from the point guard position, but he struggled in the four games following standout performances in wins over Kentucky and Alabama.

Auburn’s lost six straight since beating the Crimson Tide, most recently falling 71-45 at Tennessee Tuesday night. Without Canty, Bruce Pearl called upon TJ Lang and Bryce Brown as the perimeter starters in that game with Patrick Keim and New Williams playing a combined 33 minutes off the bench. They’ll continue to see those minutes moving forward.

As for next season, Auburn brings in four-star point guard Jared Harper and currently injured point guard Tahj Shamsid-Deen will be available as well.

Canty began his college career at Marshall, playing the 2013-14 season for the Thundering Herd before deciding to transfer. Canty committed to Auburn in mid-April of 2014, only to change his mind in favor of USF before making the switch back to Auburn.

Canty’s name wasn’t showing up in early draft projections, and making this decision while in the midst of a suspension likely won’t help matters when it comes to getting selected.

BUBBLE BANTER: All of tonight’s bubbly action in one place

Fran Dunphy
(AP Photo/Laurence Kesterson)
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This post will be updated as the games are completed.

You know what’s not going to be fun on Selection Sunday?

Trying to evaluate the profile that Temple (KenPom: 95, RPI: 69) eventually puts together.

The Owls are currently sitting tied for first place in the American at 9-3. They’ve swept UConn after coming from down 12 to beat the Huskies in Philly on Thursday. They’ve swept Cincinnati. They handed SMU their first loss of the season. They beat Tulsa. That’s four top 50 and six top 100 wins, which are good numbers in comparison to other bubble teams.

The problem?

They also lost at Memphis (yuck) and East Carolina (double yuck), have a non-conference strength of schedule that sits right around 200, lost to every good team they played out of conference and have thus far managed just six top 150 wins this season. The other issue? They’ve basically run out of quality opponents in the league. They do play at Tulsa (RPI: 50) and Houston (RPI: 91), which are basically must-wins at this point, and since every other opponent they play in the American has a sub-100 RPI, those are essentially can’t-lose games.

What that leaves us is the Villanova game. That will be played next week, and that’s as close to a must-win as you can get in mid-February.

WINNERS

  • Syracuse (KenPom: 39, RPI: 44): Syracuse landed their sixth top 50 win and eighth top 100 win of the season on Thursday. They also got word that the selection committee will factor in that Jim Boeheim missed time for the Orange. It may be time to take them off of this list, at least for the time being.

LOSERS

  • UConn (KenPom: 19, RPI: 46): On paper, UConn’s loss at Temple on Thursday isn’t all that bad. It’s a road loss to a top 100 opponent. Those happen in league play. Where it hurts is that the Owls have now not only swept UConn, but they did it by erasing a 12-point lead in the final five minutes. The Huskies fall to just 5-7 against the top 100 with just one top 50 win, albeit at Texas. With no bad losses and two shots left against SMU, UConn is still in decent shape.
  • Florida State (KenPom: 37, RPI: 38): The Seminoles missed a shot at landing a nice road win at Syracuse on Thursday. It doesn’t hurt their profile, and with three top 25, another top 50 and a top 100 opponent left on their schedule, there are still chances to play their way onto the bubble. The problem? All those games are losable as well.
  • VCU (KenPom: 32, RPI: 40): The Rams were on the wrong end of a brutal loss to UMass on Thursday night. It’s not the kind of loss that is going to eliminate VCU from the bubble conversation — not by any stretch — but one of the strengths of VCU’s résumé was that they didn’t have any bad losses to speak of. Now they have a loss to a sub-150 team. Their next four games are all potential landmines as well. Will Wade’s club would do well to avoid losing any of those four.

Games left to be played.

Arkansas-Little Rock (KenPom: 41, RPI: 63) at Louisiana Monroe, 8:00 p.m.
Northern Kentucky at Valparaiso (KenPom: 22, RPI: 48), 8:00 p.m.
No. 4 Iowa at Indiana (KenPom: 24, RPI: 51), 9:00 p.m.
No. 11 Oregon at Cal (KenPom: 44, RPI: 32), 9:00 p.m.
Washington State at Colorado (KenPom: 56, RPI: 29), 11:00 p.m.
Gonzaga (KenPom: 33, RPI: 66) at Portland, 11:00 p.m.
Pepperdine at Saint Mary’s (KenPom: 26, RPI: 52), 11:00 p.m.
Oregon State (KenPom: 81, RPI: 31) at Stanford (KenPom: 104, RPI: 71), 11:00 p.m.