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How are college basketball team’s performing relative to their recruiting classes?

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ESPN basketball recruiting guru and San Antonio Spurs scouting coordinator Dave Telep broke down last week which colleges have had the most success on the recruiting trail in the past five years. Telep’s methodology was simple: Which schools had recruited the most recruits ranked in ESPN’s Top 100 in their class.

Per Mike Waters of Syracuse.com, here is the Top 10 — actually 12 due to ties:

1. Kentucky (23 Top 100 recruits)
2. Arizona (16)
North Carolina (16)
4. Duke (14)
Texas (14)
6. Kansas (13)
7. Syracuse (12)
8. Baylor (11)
Indiana (11)
Memphis (11)
UCLA (11)
Villanova (11)

And now, each team’s record in the NCAA Tournament over the past four seasons:

1. Kentucky (13-2) — 2012 NCAA Championship
2. Duke (11-3) — 2010 NCAA Championship
3. Kansas (11-4)
4. Syracuse (10-4)
5. Baylor (6-2)
6. North Carolina (7-3)
7. Arizona (5-2)
8. Indiana (4-2)
9. UCLA (1-2)
10. Texas (1-3)
11. Memphis (1-3)
12. Villanova (1-3)

What do we glean from this?

First and foremost, recruiting is only one of many components that is needed to have success. It very well could be the most important, but seeing as schools like UCLA, Texas, Memphis, and Villanova have won just one NCAA Tournament game since 2010 suggest there are other factors in play. Is the head coach squandering talent? Perhaps the program is victim of several recruits who were “one and done” type players? Were key players injured during the season? Maybe a team just got unlucky?

There are no clear-cut answers. Many pundits would claim that Villanova’s Jay Wright is a better coach than Baylor’s Scott Drew, yet Drew is the one with a 6-2 NCAA Tournament record in this time frame. And then there is John Calipari, who has always been suspect as an in-game coach, but a master recruiter. The job he did with the 2011-12 Kentucky team seemed more to be about managing all of the talent on the team and using it in the most opportune way, rather than actually coaching — it worked.

What is interesting to note is that two of the past four National Champions are not even on this list: Connecticut (2011) and Louisville (2013). Even crazier to think is that Shabazz Napier and Russ Smith didn’t even make ESPN’s Top 100 lists for their respective classes, meanwhile these two will make preseason All-American teams.

The moral of the story is: recruiting, in any sport, is an inexact science.

VIDEO: Boise State robbed of insane, buzzer-beating win on incorrect timing by officials

Screen Shot 2016-02-11 at 1.07.34 AM
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It looked like James Webb III of Boise State had hit the season’s craziest buzzer-beater.

With 0.8 seconds left, he caught an in-bounds pass on the run on the right wing, hoisted up a prayer of a three and watched as it banked it as the buzzer sounded.

It’s pretty fantastic:

And it also clearly left his hands before time expired, but there was a reason for that. According to the officials, the clock (for the road team, mind you) did not start when the ball was caught.

They were right.

Where they were wrong was determining that it took more than a second for Webb to catch and release the shot, meaning that they were wrong to waive off the bucket.

This awesome slo-mo clip of the shot from Matt Stephens of the Coloradoan is all the evidence I need, but if you need more, Sportscenter anchor Scott Van Pelt clocked it at 0.7 seconds:

The game would go to overtime, where Colorado State would go on to win, 97-93.

As you can imagine, Boise State players and coaches were livid with the call.

“I hope it’s not a situation where you get an apology later but don’t get the win. I don’t understand it,” head coach Leon Rice said in a radio interview after the game. “I hope they got it right somehow, some way. I don’t know. It didn’t look right to me, but I’m not the official.”

This comes just four days after officials blew a call in a game between New Mexico and San Diego State that allowed the Aztecs to force overtime and eventually beat the Lobos. (That call may have determined the outcome of the Mountain West regular season title, to boot.)

New Mexico was essentially told, “my bad”, but the league as a result.

And Boise State will probably get the same treatment despite the fact that, if the league determines that the referees botched this call as well, the tame technically was over then.

Will they have the guts to award the Broncos a road win that they earned and deserve?

I doubt it.

UPDATE: Here’s a statement from the officiating crew:

Tulsa rallies to hand No. 16 SMU 1st home loss 82-77

Tulsa guard James Woodard (10) shoots a free throw during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against SMU Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016, in Dallas.  Tulsa won 82-77. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
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DALLAS (AP) Shaquille Harrison had 21 points, Pat Birt hit a crucial 3-pointer and scored 12 of his 17 points after halftime and Tulsa rallied from eight points down in the second half to beat No. 16 SMU 82-77 on Wednesday night.

Nic Moore scored 27 to lead the Mustangs (20-3, 9-3 American Athletic). They lost for the first time in 13 home games and dropped to 2-3 since their 18-0 start to a season that won’t include postseason play because of NCAA sanctions.

Moore twice hit 3-pointers to pull SMU within a point in the final minute, but Birt answered the first with a 3 and James Woodard followed the second with two of his six free throws in the final 1:04.

The Golden Hurricane (16-8, 8-4) ended a four-game losing streak against SMU with their eighth win in 10 games since an 0-2 conference start.