Report shows success of NBA first round picks since 2003

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Two days before the 2013 NBA Draft and Syracuse point guard Michael Carter-Williams is projected as a lottery pick. In recent years, fellow Orange first round picks such as Jonny Flynn, Wesley Johnson and Fab Melo have given the impression that Jim Boeheim may not be the best at developing players for stardom in the NBA.

Chris Carlson at the Post-Standard wanted to show that the Hall of Fame coach isn’t a poor developer of NBA talent, and to do so he compiled all 12 programs since 2003 that have sent six or more players in the first round. He broke them into two categories — players with above-average player efficiency rating (PER) and players with below-average PER. He used the average PER, which is 15 according to basketball-reference.com, as a way to separate the two categories.

Below is the chart that shows the success based on PER:

source:

Before Kansas fans take to the comment section, Carlson acknowledges that although players like Nick Collison and Kirk Hinrich fall before the average of 15, he would consider their careers as successes. Even so, Andrew Wiggins will likely help Kansas’ ranking in the next few years.

This chart was mainly to show that Syracuse is among several programs that have had first round picks fail to pan out in the association.

Top 10 picks that have below-average career PERs:

Syracuse: Jonny Flynn (11.3 PER in 163 games) and Wes Johnson (9.5 PER in 195)
Duke: Shelden Williams (12.5 PER in 361) and Austin Rivers (5.9 PER in 61)
BYU: Jimmer Fredette (12.5 PER in 130) and Rafael Araujo (6.3 PER in 139)
Kansas: Thomas Robinson (10.9 PER in 70), Kirk Hinrich (13.6 in 694)
North Carolina: Marvin Williams (13.5 PER in 560), Harrison Barnes (11 in 81)

Take this study as you will, but it does prove one thing: the NBA is a tough league.

“It’s hard,” Boeheim told the Post-Standard. “You can be a good college player and just not make the NBA. It’s very difficult to do. Guys that people think will make it don’t make it. It’s not easy. There’s are more good players now, not necessarily impact players, but more good players in the NBA. More pretty good players.”

Terrence is also the lead writer at NEHoopNews.com and can be followed on Twitter: @terrence_payne

NCAA denies extra-year request by NC State guard Henderson

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RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — The NCAA has denied North Carolina State guard Terry Henderson’s request for another year of eligibility.

Henderson announced the decision Friday in a statement issued by the school.

The Raleigh native played two seasons at West Virginia before transferring to N.C. State and redshirting in 2014-15. He played for only 7 minutes of the following season before suffering a season-ending ankle injury.

As a redshirt senior in 2016-17, he was the team’s second-leading scorer at 13.8 points per game and made a team-best 78 3-pointers.

Henderson called it “an honor and privilege” to play in his hometown.

SMU gets transfer in Georgetown’s Akoy Agau

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SMU pulled in a frontcourt player in Georgetown transfer Akoy Agau, a source confirmed to NBCSports.com. Agau is immediately eligible for next season as a graduate transfer.

The 6-foot-8 Agau started his career at Louisville before transferring to Georgetown after one season. Spending two seasons with the Hoyas, Agau was limited to 11 minutes in his first season due to injuries. He averaged 4.5 points and 4.3 rebounds per game last season.

Coming out of high school, Agau was a four-star prospect but he’s never lived up to that billing in-part because of injuries. Now, Agau gets one more chance to make a difference as he’s hoping to help replace some departed pieces like Ben Moore and Semi Ojeleye.

South Carolina loses big man Sedee Keita to transfer

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South Carolina big man Sedee Keita will transfer from the program, he announced on Friday.

The 6-foot-9 Keita was once regarded as a top-100 national prospect in the Class of 2016, but he never found consistent minutes with the Gamecocks for last season’s Final Four team.

Keita appeared in 29 games and averaged 1.1 points and 2.0 rebounds per game while shooting 27 percent from the field.

A native of Philadelphia, Keita will have to sit out next season before getting three more seasons of eligibility.

Although Keita failed to make an impact during his only season at South Carolina, he’ll be a coveted transfer thanks to his size and upside.

Mississippi State losing two to transfer

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Mississippi State will lose two players to transfer as freshmen Mario Kegler and Eli Wright are leaving the program.

Both Kegler and Wright were four-star prospects coming out of high school as they were apart of a six-man recruiting class that is supposed to be a major foundation for Ben Howland’s future with the Bulldogs.

The 6-foot-7 Kegler was Mississippi State’s third-leading scorer last season as he averaged 9.7 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Kegler should command some quality schools on the transfer market, especially since he’ll still have three more years of eligibility after sitting out next season due to NCAA transfer regulations. Kegler’s loss is also notable for Mississippi State because it is the second consecutive offseason that Howland lost a top-100, in-state product to transfer after only one season after Malik Newman left for Kansas.

Wright, a 6-foot-4 guard, was never able to find consistent minutes as he was already behind underclass perimeter options like Quinndary Weatherspoon, Lamar Peters and Tyson Carter last season. With Nick Weatherspoon, Quinndary’s four-star brother, also joining the Bulldogs next season, the writing was likely on the wall that Wright wasn’t going to earn significant playing time.

 

N.C. State lands second transfer of day with Utah’s Devon Daniels

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A big recruiting day for N.C. State continued on Saturday afternoon as Utah transfer and guard Devon Daniels pledged to the Wolfpack.

Earlier in the day, N.C. State and new head coach Kevin Keatts landed another quality transfer in UNC Wilmington guard C.J. Bryce.

The 6-foot-5 Daniels just finished his freshman season with the Utes in which he put up 9.9 points 4.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game while shooting 57 percent from the field and 40 percent from three-point range. Just like Bryce, Daniels will have to sit out the 2017-18 season due to NCAA transfer regulations before he has three more seasons of eligibility.

N.C. State now has two potential starters on the perimeter for the 2018-19 season with the addition of Bryce and Daniels as it will be interesting to see what kind of talent the Wolfpack can get around them.