Saint Mary's v Middle Tennessee

Please don’t use MTSU’s loss as proof they didn’t deserve a bid


St. Mary’s knocked off Middle Tennessee State 67-54 in the at-large portion of Tuesday’s play-in games, drubbing Kermit Davis’ and making the Sun Belt regular season champs look like they belonged in the NIT.

The intriguing part about this matchup is that it pitted two teams from mid-major leagues that had profiles that were more-or-less empty. Neither the Gaels nor the Blue Raiders put together the kind of overall resume that, in a typical year, would have deserved consideration for an at-large bid. MTSU had one top 100 win — Ole Miss at home, of all teams — and the Gaels had just a single top 50 win — Creighton at home in February, when the Bluejays were struggling. They both got beat up on a lot of mediocre competition and got smacked around by a lot of good teams.

And what we got on Tuesday, based off of the reaction on my twitter feed, was validation that the Blue Raiders didn’t belong in the dance. Proof that Tennessee or Alabama or Maryland deserved to get that final at-large bid over them.

Which is absurd.

Look, if you don’t think that MTSU belonged in the NCAA tournament this season, you have every right to that opinion. If you valued Tennessee’s profile more, you’re certainly not wrong. If you think that Maryland’s two wins over Duke were the difference-maker when everyone else was nothing but dreck, than you have a point that I actually kind of agree with.

I wanted to see MTSU in the tournament, so I was happy they got in. That doesn’t mean I 100% believe they deserved it.

But I also saw MTSU play a number of times this year. I saw them beat Ole Miss. I watched them at Belmont. I saw pieces of games throughout league play, and I saw their first two games in the conference tournaments. I know the Blue Raiders are better than they showed tonight. They just picked the worst time to have an awful showing.

And frankly, much of that had to do with the play of Matthew Dellavedova. He finished with 22 points, six boards and four assists, hitting 5-7 from three and seamlessly adjusting during MTSU’s second half run, when they doubled him hard off of every ball-screen. He was terrific, as he’s been all season long, and when he plays that way, the Gaels are tough to beat. There’s a reason they sit at 22nd in Kenpom’s rankings.

It was impressive enough that I’m beginning to feel good about picking Memphis to lose on Thursday.

Anyway, my point is that one performance shouldn’t be enough for you to form an opinion on MTSU.

Someone had to get that final bubble spot. Just because the Blue Raiders played poorly doesn’t mean Tennessee or Maryland or Virginia would have won. The Vols scored 74 total points in games at Georgetown and Virginia in the span of five days. Maryland was swept by Florida State and lost at BC and Georgia Tech in late February. Virginia had eight awful losses, including Delaware, George Mason and Old Dominion.

There’s no guarantee the good version of those three teams would have shown up if they got the at-large bid.

And if Maryland had been smacked around by St. Mary’s tonight, we’d be having this same discussion.

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

Stanford loses key veteran guard to stress fracture

Marcus Allen
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Stanford guard Marcus Allen will be out indefinitely after suffering a stress fracture in his right foot, the school announced on Monday evening.

“We want to make sure Marcus is fully healthy before returning to the court,” Stanford coach Johnny Dawkins said in a statement. “Marcus played at a high level during our summer exhibition competition in Italy, where he was one of our leading scorers. We will certainly miss him as we continue to prepare for the season, but we are fortunate that this happened now and he will be back before he knows it.”

The loss of Allen is a potentially brutal blow in an already-thin back court. The 6-foot-3 Allen started 23 games as a sophomore last season, averaging 6.4 points and 3.5 boards. But he averaged 11.4 points and 5.4 boards as the Cardinal made a run to the NIT championship and looked poised to be able to replace the departed Chasson Randle’s production this year.

What’s worse is that without Allen, Stanford does not return a single player in their back court that averaged more than 11.5 minutes. Sophomore Robert Cartwright looks poised to step into the starting point guard role, but neither Dorian Pickens nor Christian Sanders looked like they were ready for that kind of role in the Pac-12 last season. Dawkins does return Malcolm Allen, Marcus’ twin brother, who sat out last season with a broken wrist.

The good news is that Stanford’s front court is strong enough to carry the Cardinal until Marcus is healthy. Rosco Allen, Reid Travis and Michael Humphrey will be able to hold their own against any front line in the Pac-12, while Grant Verhoeven and freshman Josh Sharma will provide adequate depth.

Utah lands top-75 center Jayce Johnson

Larry Krystkowiak
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Utah picked up its center of the future on Monday as four-star center Jayce Johnson pledged to the Runnin’ Utes, a source confirmed to The 7-foot Johnson recently cut his list to Cal, Colorado and Utah with the possibility of reclassifying to the Class of 2015.

Regarded as the No. 67 overall prospect in the Class of 2016, Johnson will look to attend Utah in December as a walk-on who will redshirt. While Johnson likely won’t play this season, he does give head coach Larry Krystkowiak another big man to use in practice to go against sophomore center Jakob Poeltl. A solid long-term prospect, Johnson has a good frame to add weight and he’s also skilled finishing with both hands. Utah now has its replacement for Poeltl if he opts to leave for the NBA after the season and he gets an extra semester to work with the program.

Johnson is coming off of his official visit to Utah this weekend as he joins junior college guard Jojo Zamora in the Class of 2016.