Pregame Shootaround 2.28.13: Six leagues will determine champ tonight

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Game of the Night: No. 3 Duke at Virginia (9:00 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Virginia only has so many opportunities left to try and play their way into the NCAA tournament, and there may never be a better chance than knocking off the No. 3 team in the country. The Cavs are in an awkward spot. They have a number of good wins this season, but thanks to some horrendous losses, their computer numbers are to the point that they need every win that they can muster.

Virginia’s style of play is a difficult one to prepare for. They are a lot like Wisconsin in their style of defense and the way they like to control the tempo of the game. Virginia dares teams to shoot threes over their pack-line defense, which could backfire against a team like Duke, who has a number of quality three-point shooters along their perimeter. But the ‘Hoos are tough at home. A win here and Virginia should all but count on a tournament bid.

Who’s Getting Upset?: No. 2 Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

BYU’s at-large chances are essentially gone, but that doesn’t mean that the Cougars are a bad basketball team. They have two of the best players in the WCC on their roster in Tyler Haws and Brandon Davies, and they play an uptempo style than can generate a lot of points. If there is a knock on this Gonzaga team, it’s that their defense leaves something to be desired. Throw in the added advantage of playing in front of a tough, rowdy Marriott Center crowd, and BYU should have a shot at pulling off the upset.

Mid-Major Matchup of the Night: Utah State at No. 25 Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN3)

It’s a shame that Preston Medlin and Kyisean Reed ended up getting hurt this season, because a matchup between that USU team and this Louisiana Tech team would have been a lot of fun to watch. More than anything, this should be a chance for you to watch LTU play. They are the overwhelming favorite to win the WAC’s automatic bid, and if they do go dancing, you’ll want to know who you’re picking, won’t you?

Five Things to Watch For

1) It’s the SWAC, so people won’t pay much attention to it, but with two games left, Southern and Texas Southern — the two teams tied for first place in the SWAC with just two games left in the regular season — square off tonight for a share of the league’s regular season title. The game is at Texas Southern, who lost the first matchup on the road. (9:00 p.m. ET)

2) Five other league titles are on the line tonight:

  • Stony Brook could win the outright America East title by beating Boston U. on the road tonight. They have a two game lead over the Terriers with two games left in the regular season. (7:00 p.m. ET)
  • Robert Morris currently holds a one game lead over Bryant in the NEC standings. There are two games left. Tonight, Bobby Mo will head to Rhode Island to take on the Bulldogs. (7:00 p.m. ET)
  • Mercer visits Florida-Gulf Coast tonight. The Bears hold a two game lead over FGCU with two games left in the regular season. (7:30 p.m. ET)
  • Niagara can clinch a share of the MAAC title tonight by beating Rider at home. They Purple Eagles hold a one game lead over Loyola (MD) with two regular season games left. (7:00 p.m. ET)
  • South Dakota State has one regular season game left. Western Illinois has two. SDSU holds a half-game lead — one game in the win column — over WIU. Both are in action tonight.

3) Dominic Artis returns to the floor tonight for No. 24 Oregon as they host Oregon State. The Ducks are tied with UCLA for first in the Pac-12 standings. (11:00 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

4) Missouri’s road struggles have been well-documented this season. They visit South Carolina tonight. (9:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

5) Will we see another ranked Big Ten team lose on the road tonight? No. 16 Ohio State visits Northwestern. (7:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

Top 25

  • No. 2 Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  • No. 3 Duke at Virginia (9:00 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  • No. 16 Ohio State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  • Oregon State at No. 24 Oregon (11:00 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  • Utah State at No. 25 Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN3)

Notable Games

  • North Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  • Detroit at Temple (7:00 p.m. ET, ESPN3)
  • Drexel at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network)
  • Utah at California (9:00 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  • Missouri at South Carolina (9:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

South Carolina advances to first Final Four in program history with win over Florida

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South Carolina entered this year’s NCAA tournament, their first NCAA tournament since 2004 and their fifth NCAA tournament in the last 43 years, having never won two consecutive tourney games in the history of the program.

On Sunday afternoon in Madison Square Garden, Frank Martin led the Gamecocks to their fourth straight win and their first trip to the Final Four.

Sindarius Thornwell scored 11 of his 26 points in the final 10 minutes, leading No. 7 seed South Carolina back from a 40-33 halftime deficit for a 77-70 win over No. 4 seed Florida. P.J. Dozier added 17 points and Chris Silva finished with a critical 13 points and nine boards, coming up with some huge offensive rebounds and hustle plays defensively in the second half.

After shooting 7-for-12 from three in the first half, Florida missed their all 14 attempts from beyond the arc in the second 20 minutes. South Carolina’s defense, which is second nationally this season, according to KenPom, and which allowed 40 points to the Gators in the first half, buckled down in the final minutes, forcing turnovers and taking the Gators out of what they wanted to do offensively. They shot just 11-for-35, or 31.4 percent, from the floor after halftime and didn’t get a clean look at the rim in the final five minutes of the game.

That’s how South Carolina plays. That’s who they are. It’s physical and it’s ugly and it’s just so effective when they’re able to make shots at the other end of the floor. And that is where this team has changed in March. The Gamecocks lost six of their last nine games heading into the NCAA tournament, failing to score more than 1.00 points-per-possession in five of those six losses.

But the story of this game isn’t how this South Carolina team has changed.

The story is how the program has changed.

The Gamecocks were a 10-win team that went 2-14 in the SEC the year before they Frank Martin away from Kansas State, a hire that was made thanks to a falling out with his athletic director, and boy, does that look like a coup now. He was responsible for leading Kansas State, which isn’t exactly a program known for basketball success, to their only Elite 8 since 1988. He’s now led South Carolina to their first Final Four in the history of the program.

South Carolina will advance to Phoenix to take on No. 1 seed Gonzaga in the Final Four.

A season of highs and lows ends for Kansas in the Elite 8 again

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For the second season in a row, Kansas was one-win shy of a Final Four appearance, falling to Oregon, 74-60, in the Elite Eight on Friday night at the Sprint Center in Kansas City.

This comes a year after Kansas, as the tournament’s No. 1 overall seed, fell to eventual national champion Villanova in the Elite 8.

Just as stars such as Perry Ellis struggled in that regional final, so did KU’s freshman phenom Josh Jackson, whose quick two personal fouls that saddled him on the bench and appeared to take him out of the game mentally. Devonte’ Graham, averaging 20.0 points per game in the tournament, was 0-for-7 from the field. Frank Mason III’s first-half performance assured that Oregon would completely run away with the game before halftime.

The loss put an end to a tumultuous season for the Jayhawks.

Kansas entered the 2016-17 season as one of the favorites to win the national championship. The Jayhawks went on to win the Big 12 regular season title for an unprecedented 13th consecutive season. Frank Mason III, in the eyes of many, was the wire-to-wire national player of the year.

However, for all its accomplishments on the court, Kansas faced more than its share of issues off-the-court. Lagerald Vick, who was under university investigation for allegedly striking a female student. Carlton Bragg was arrested — and subsequently suspended — for drug paraphernalia. There was also the affidavit released a day before the start of the NCAA Tournament for the Jayhawks, detailing the incident outside a Lawerence bar from December involving both Vick and Josh Jackson. Even Devonte Graham’s arrest for an unpaid ticket made headlines during this string of non-basketball related news.

The Jayhawks downplayed talks of distraction before the start of the NCAA Tournament and backed it up by dominating opponents through the first three rounds. The average margin of victory was 30.0, and that includes victories over Michigan State and a 32-point beatdown of a Purdue team that held a massive mismatch on the interior.

It looked like Self was destined to add to his Hall of Fame résumé; a third trip to the Final Four — first since 2012 — was in front of essentially a home crowd. Instead, Oregon handed the Jayhawks their worst tournament defeat in the Bill Self era.

Seven times under Self, KU has made the Elite Eight and was sent home.

Perhaps, all would have been forgiven — or at the very least, overshadowed — had KU cut down the nets in Arizona.

Instead, its season ended in an all too familiar place.

Elite 8 Preview: Sunday’s picks, predictions, betting lines and channels

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No. 4 FLORIDA (-3) vs. No. 7 SOUTH CAROLINA, 2:20 p.m., CBS: If you’re a fan of uptempo, wide-open basketball, of teams running beautiful offensive sets, spreading the floor and using the three-point line like it should be used, this game probably is not going to be for you.

This is going to be as physical and as tough as any game you watched all season long. Both the Gamecocks and the Gators are top five teams in defensive efficiency, and both of them get out and pressure defensively, Florida in the full court and South Carolina in the half court. They shun shooters for the toughest athletes on their roster. They pride themselves in being tougher, both mentally and physically, than whoever they end up playing.

And they think that a game played in the 50s is beautiful basketball.

So bet the under if you can.

But the pick I like is Florida here. Their ability to defend is going to make it very difficult for South Carolina’s offensive renaissance to continue, and their guards will be able to make the plays offensively that South Carolina dares you to make.

PREDICTION: Florida (-3)

No. 1 NORTH CAROLINA (-2.5) vs. No. 2 KENTUCKY, 5:05 p.m. CBS: This is the rematch we all wanted, right?

Ever since that day three months ago, when Kentucky got 47 points from Malik Monk in a 103-102 win over North Carolina in Las Vegas, I don’t think there is a soul in the country that would have told you otherwise.

There are two major differences between these two teams now and those two teams then. The biggest is the presence of Theo Pinson, North Carolina’s best perimeter defender. Pinson has dealt foot injuries all season long, and when these two got together in December, he was not yet healthy enough to play. I assume that he will draw the assignment of Malik Monk, chasing around the man that had definitively been Kentucky’s most dangerous scorer. Pinson will make life more difficult for Monk than it was the first time around.

But is he going to spend the entire game on him?

Because after De’Aaron Fox’s 39-point outburst against UCLA on Friday night, it’s fair to wonder whether or not Pinson may be better suited to taking on the task of keeping Fox from getting into the paint. Whatever Roy Williams opts to do, the bottom line is pretty simple — if he needs to find a way to keep Kentucky’s back court in check.

The other difference between now and then is that Bam Adebayo has been playing up to his potential for the past six weeks. He was solid earlier in the year. He can be dominant at times now, and that is going to be critical for the Wildcats, who are going to be outsized by a significant margin by UNC’s front line. The Tar Heels lead the nation in offensive rebounding percentage, and they are one of the only elite teams that thrives playing two bigs at the same time. In other words, one of Wenyen Gabriel or Derek Willis are going to have to deal with Isaiah Hicks, Kennedy Meeks and Tony Bradley. That’s a matchup that favors UNC, which is why Aebayo is going to have to play up to his size.

In the end, I think Pinson’s presence and North Carolina’s size advantage will be too much.

But if Fox and Monk play their game, they can carry Kentucky a long, long way.

PREDICTION: North Carolina (2.5)

Lawrence Police Department trolls Bill Self following Elite Eight loss

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Kansas had its season ended with a 74-60 loss to No. 3 seed Oregon.

The Jayhawks were the top seed in the South region. They were playing a de facto at the Sprint Center, which is 40 miles away from the school’s campus. As you can imagine, fans in Lawrence were likely unhappy, especially since it’s the second year in a row KU has been bounced one-game shy of the Final Four.

The Lawrence Police Department, while prepping for potential riots, couldn’t help tweeting a joke at the future Hall of Famer’s expense.

Bill Self’s teams have been eliminated seven times in the Elite Eight during his tenure at Kansas. He’s led the Jayhawks to a pair of Final Fours, winning the national championship in 2008.

Kansas finished the season 31-5.

Gonzaga passes the title of best program without a Final Four to Xavier in win

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In 1999, Gonzaga was not yet “Gonzaga”.

A No. 10 seed in just their third NCAA tournament, the Zags won three games against high-major competition, coming within a possession of reaching the Final Four in a loss to No. 1 seed UConn.

UConn, at that point, was one of the best programs in the country under Jim Calhoun, but the knock on the Huskies at that point was that they couldn’t win the big one. They had been to three Elite 8s and three more Sweet 16s in the previous eight seasons, but it wasn’t until they knocked off that Gonzaga team that they finally were playing on college basketball’s biggest stage.

For 18 years, Gonzaga tried and failed to get to a Final Four, becoming one of the nation’s premier basketball programs without having the postseason success to legitimize themselves in the eyes of idiots around the country. That ended on Saturday night in San Jose, as No. 1 seed Gonzaga ended No. 11 Xavier’s thrilling run to the Elite 8 and passing on the torch that UConn passed to them.

Xavier can now claim the title of the best basketball program that has yet to make a Final Four, which is both a compliment and a curse.

The Musketeers have been to the NCAA tournament 25 times since the bracket expanded to 64 teams in 1985. They’ve been to nine Sweet 16s and three Elite 8s. They had a winning record in NCAA tournament play until Saturday’s loss and now lay claim to the title of the team with the most NCAA tournament wins without an appearance in the Final Four.

Xavier is going to get there eventually. Chris Mack is one of the best coaches in the business. Hell, if Trevon Bluiett and Edmond Sumner both return to school, it could very well be next season that they snap that streak. It’s coming at some point.

I don’t even think it’s an insult to say this about Xavier. I don’t think it’s a shot at the program or the coaches that have come through it. Getting to the Final Four is hard. Bill Self is a lead-pipe lock to be a Hall of Famer, and he’s been to just two Final Fours in his career. He’s 2-7 in the Elite 8, and if Derrick Rose could make his free throws, the discussion of just how good of a coach Self is if he can’t win a title would be raging with the Jayhawks flaming out of the tournament on Saturday night.

But as with Gonzaga and UConn before them, Xavier is going to have that monkey on their back every time they suit up in March.