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Bubble Banter: 29 teams vying for roughly 12 spots

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Conference tournament action on Thursday and Friday could have a huge impact on who’s in and who’s out when the brackets are revealed this Sunday.  New teams involved in the anxious waiting game include Seton Hall and West Virginia.  Both lost second round tourney games on Wednesday.  For teams like South Florida, Northwestern, Dayton, Xavier, St. Joseph’s, Texas, and Tennessee, games continue. 

Here’s an updated look at the bubble through Wednesday night’s games.

Bubble Banter highlights the teams we believe are on the NCAA Bubble. If a team isn’t listed, they aren’t a bubble team at the time of the update. RPI and SOS data is credited to CollegeRPI.comRPI data is for games played through Wednesday, March 7 (10 p.m ET). Records reflect games through Wednesday, March 7.

Total Spots (68): Number of teams in the Field.

Automatic Bids (31): Murray State (OVC), Belmont (A-SUN), UNC-Asheville (Big South), VCU (Colonial), Loyola-Md (MAAC), Creighton (MVC), Harvard (IVY), Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), South Dakota State (Summit), Detroit (Horizon), LIU-Brooklyn (NEC), Lehigh (Patriot)

  • Projected Locks (28): Teams who project to have secured a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
  • Should Be In (6): These teams are in solid position to receive an at-large bid.
  • Bubble: (29): Teams projected to be under consideration for at-large selection.
  • Spots Available (12): Estimated number of openings after Automatic Bids, Locks, and Should Be Ins are considered.
  • RPI and SOS: RPI and SOS data are updated through games completed at 10:00 p.m. (ET) on Wednesday, March 7.
  • Teams Leaving the Bubble: Cincinnati, Iowa State, Alabama (Should Be In)
  • Teams Joining the Bubble: TBA
Atlantic 10
Locks: Temple | Should Be In: None | Bubble: St. Louis, Dayton, St. Joe’s, Xavier
  • Dayton (20-11 | 9-7) | RPI: 73 | SOS: 69 | – The Flyers have eight Top 100 RPI wins, including victories over Temple, Alabama, and Xavier. The Flyers have also beaten Ole Miss and Minnesota. What Dayton also has is a few troubling losses – particularly defeats to sub-200 RPI teams Miami-OH and Rhode Island. The Flyers face rival Xavier next. That could very well be an elimination game.
  • St. Joe’s (20-12 | 9-7) | RPI: 56 | SOS: 48 | – Like a lot of bubble teams, St. Joe’s entered conference tournament play in need of two or three wins. What St. Joe’s has are good non-conference wins over Creighton and Drexel. They’ve also beaten Temple. St. Joe’s beat Charlotte in its A10 opener and plays St. Bonaventure next. The Hawks need to win that one, too. Then it will depend on what happens around them. It might take another victory over Temple in the semifinals to stay in the Field.
  • St. Louis (23-6 | 12-4) | RPI: 30 | SOS: 95 | – A couple of wins by Xavier, Washington and St. Joe’s would make the Billkens’ profile even better. But it’s hard to consider SLU a lock with an 0-2 mark vs. Top 50 teams. The rest of the A10 bubble teams listed here have at least two. St. Louis also has a loss at Rhode Island (much like Dayton). St. Louis plays the Richmond/La Salle winner in its A-10 opener. It would be a good idea for the Billikens to win that one.
  • Xavier (19-11 | 10-6) | RPI: 58 | SOS: 52 | – Non-conference wins over Vanderbilt, Purdue, and Cincinnati continue to help the Muskies. The Musketeers are 6-10 vs. Top 100 but just 2-7 vs. the RPI Top 50. XU will likely face Dayton in its A-10 tournament opener (see above). The loser could be in trouble.
ACC
Locks: Duke, North Carolina, Florida State | Should Be In: None | Bubble: Miami-FL, NC State, Virginia
  • Miami-FL (18-11 | 9-7) | RPI: 55 | SOS: 42 | – Miami has a huge win at Duke and a victory over Florida State at home. But they are just 3-10 vs. Top 100 teams. The Canes open ACC tourney play against Georgia Tech. That’s a must win. After that, it would be Florida State. Beating the Seminoles again could be enough to push Miami into the NCAAs.
  • NC State (20-11 | 9-7) | RPI: 53 | SOS: 28 | – The Wolfpack have a season sweep of Miami and a neutral court win over Texas. Decent wins. But an 0-8 mark vs. the Top 50 is troubling – although UT and Miami are in the 50-60 range. NC State has to beat Boston College in its ACC opener. Then it’s a matchup with Virginia. The Wolfpack need at least those two. We’ll re-evaluate the landscape if that happens.
  • Virginia (22-8 | 9-7) | RPI: 42 | SOS: 84 | – Virginia was able to hold off a Maryland rally to avoid a more desperate situation. The Cavaliers will play either NC State or Boston College in their ACC tournament opener. If it’s NC State, one more win should seal it. UVA can probably survive a loss (if it’s not to BC) but it would leave open the possibility for concern if Championship Week gets a little crazy. UVA is 2-5 vs. Top 50 teams and 7-6 vs. the Top 100. Good wins include Michigan and Drexel. The win at Oregon helps too.
BIG EAST
Locks: Syracuse, Georgetown, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame | Should Be In: Cincinnati | Bubble: Connecticut, Seton Hall, South Florida, West Virginia
  • Connecticut (20-12 | 8-10) | RPI: 33 | SOS: 3 | – Connecticut opened Big East tournament play by beating DePaul and West Virginia. The victory over WVU was the Huskies’ 10th Top 100 RPI victory. That could very well be enough. A victory over Syracuse would clinch it. Non-conference wins include Florida State and Harvard.
  • Seton Hall (20-12 | 8-10) | RPI: 62 | SOS: 44 | – The Pirates ended their season with a loss to Louisville in the second round of the Big East tournament Wednesday night. That’s 3 losses in 4 games – including dropped games to Rutgers and DePaul. Victories over VCU, St. Joe’s and Dayton will help, along with wins over Georgetown, Connecticut, and West Virginia. SHU finished 7-9 vs. the Top 100. That may still keep SHU as one of the 37 best at-large teams, but it will be a long wait until Selection Sunday.
  • South Florida (19-12 | 12-6) | RPI: 44 | SOS: 24 | – USF took care of Villanova late Thursday in a low-scoring game at Madison Square Garden. That keeps the Bulls right on the cutline for an NCAA bid. Despite 12 regular-season Big East wins, only the victory at Louisville was a Top 50 RPI opponent, and USF is 1-8 against that mark. They do have 6 Top 100 wins including Seton Hall and Cincinnati at home. Tonight’s matchup with Notre Dame could be very important to USF’s at-large chances.
  • West Virginia (19-13 | 9-9) | RPI: 51 | SOS: 14 | – The Mountaineers fell in overtime Wednesday to Connecticut. Now the wait begins. With victories over Kansas State and Miami-Fla outside the conference, the Mountaineers may still have an inside track to a bid. They finised 9-11 vs. Top 100 teams and beat Georgetown, Cincinnati and South Florida in the Big East. They could still be vulnerable if bids get squeezed, however. WVU was beaten twice by Connecticut and lost its only game with Seton Hall (away). A top 20 SOS will help. WVU had five losses to Top 35 RPI teams by a total of 11 points.
BIG 10
Locks: Ohio State, Michigan State, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin | Should Be In: Purdue | Bubble: Northwestern
  • Northwestern (18-12 | 8-10) | RPI: 47 | SOS: 13 | – The Wildcats did everything right to close the season except for a 2-point loss to Ohio State. Those types of close losses will help the Wildcats, but at some point, winning games still counts, and a 1-10 mark vs. Top 50 teams stands out in the wrong way – same as a 5-12 mark vs. Top 100 teams. NW has a marquee win over Michigan State and a bubble win over Seton Hall. The Wildcats open with play in Indianapolis against Minnesota. Win, and it’s a matchup with Michigan. Northwestern probably needs both.
BIG 12
Locks: Baylor, Kansas, Missouri | Should Be In: Kansas State, Iowa State | Bubble: Texas
  • Texas (19-12 | 9-9) | RPI: 52 | SOS: 21 | – The Longhorns enter Big 12 tournament play squarely on the bubble. Good wins include Temple, Iowa State, and Kansas State at home. Texas is just 4-7 on the road and 4-10 vs. Top 100 teams (3-9 vs. Top 50). A loss at Oregon State is the low mark. Texas opens with Iowa State and needs to beat the Cyclones. A win would set up a likely matchup with Missouri.
CONFERENCE USA
Locks: Memphis | Should Be In: Southern Mississippi | Bubble: Central Florida
  • Central Florida (19-9 |10-6) | RPI: 61 | SOS: 89 | – The Knights open C-USA tournament play against UAB. UCF has to win that one as it would set up a game with Memphis. The Knights need to beat the Tigers a second time. UCF is just 2-4 vs. Top 50 teams and 3-6 vs the Top 100. Those numbers are considerably lower than some other bubble teams. Bad losses include Rice and UL-Lafayette.
MISSOURI VALLEY
Locks: Wichita State, Creighton | Should Be In: None | Bubble: None
  • Creighton won the automatic bid and ensured that the MVC will be a two-bid league.
MOUNTAIN WEST
Locks: UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico | Should Be In: None | Bubble: Colorado State
  • Colorado State (18-10 | 8-6) | RPI: 21 | SOS: 8 | – The Rams have beaten UNLV, San Diego State and New Mexico at home, and their power numbers are very strong, if not slightly inflated. The concerns are a 3-9 road record – CSU’s best road win is UTEP (No. 158) – and nothing out of conference other than a win over Montana. Overall, the Rams have 8 top 100 wins. CSU opens Mountain West tournament play against TCU. That win might be enough. Assuming they play SDSU in the semis, two wins would lock up a bid. A quick loss could leave the door open for trouble if bids get squeezed.
PAC 12
Locks: None | Should Be In: None | Bubble: Arizona, California, Oregon, Washington
  • Arizona (21-10 | 12-6) | RPI: 80 | SOS: 119 | – The Wildcats ended their season with a horrible loss at Arizona State. Their at-large hopes were shaky before (1-4 vs. Top 50), and Arizona accomplished little outside the Pac-10. UA has to reach the Pac-12 title game to have any serious consideration.
  • California (23-8 | 13-5) | RPI: 37 | SOS: 93 | – Cal continues to have the best at-large resume of the Pac-12 group thanks to a sweep of Oregon and a win at Washington in the only meeting between the two. But a loss to Stanford kept the Bears behind Washington in the final standings. Cal is 7-6 vs the Top 100. The Bears will likely see Stanford again in their first Pac-12 tournament game. They probably can’t afford another loss to the Cardinal.
  • Oregon (22-8 | 13-5) | RPI: 49 | SOS: 91 | – The Ducks have won 6 of 7 games but failed to win a game against a Top 50 RPI opponent. About all Oregon has to offer is a split with Washington, as the Ducks were swept by Cal. A victory at Nebraska is Oregon’s top out-of-conference victory. The Ducks will likely open Pac-12 tournament play against Colorado, but they need to reach the title game to stay in the discussion.
  • Washington (21-9 | 14-4) | RPI: 54 | SOS: 83 | – After a loss at UCLA, Washington backed into a Pac-12 regular season title when Cal lost at Stanford. If the Huskies don’t win the league’s automatic bid we’ll learn soon enough how the Committee values a Pac-12 title. Washington is 1-6 vs. Top 50 teams and just 4-8 vs the Top 100. They split with Oregon, swept Arizona and lost their only game with Cal. The Huskies will open Pac-12 play with either Washington State or Oregon State. A loss could really hurt. Reaching the title game would be advised.
SEC
Locks: Kentucky, Florida, Vanderbilt | Should Be In: Alabama | Bubble: Mississippi State, Tennessee
  • Mississippi State (21-10 | 8-8) | RPI: 65 | SOS: 66 | – The Bulldogs escaped South Carolina and beat Arkansas to close the regular season with two important wins. With 8 Top 100 wins (8-8), and a non-conference win over West Virginia, MSU survived a five-game swoon in February. The Bulldogs open SEC tournament play against Georgia. It would be a good idea to win that one. It might take a win over Vandy to feel safe.
  • Tennessee (17-13 | 10-6) | RPI: 75 | SOS: 32 | – The Volunteers actually earned the two-seed at the SEC tournament this week in New Orleans. How the Committee evaluates the arrival of Jarnell Stokes in early January will be a major factor for the Vols. They are clearly a better team with him, and three of their bad losses came before he arrived. UT is 10-5 with Stokes and has beaten Florida twice, Vanderbilt, and Connecticut. Those are four wins few bubble teams have. Tennessee gets the Auburn/Ole Miss winner in Game 1. Two more wins could be enough depending on what else happens.
WEST COAST
Locks: St. Mary’s, Gonzaga | Should Be In: None | Bubble: BYU
  • BYU (23-8 | 12-4) | RPI: 46 | SOS: 94 | – BYU failed in its attempt to beat Gonzaga a second time and finished 1-4 vs the Zags and St. Mary’s. If the Cougars miss the NCAAs that will be one reason why. Their best non-conference victories are Nevada and Oregon. Good wins, but perhaps not enough to make an NCAA bid hold up. BYU is a team that could easily be squeezed if bids get tight. Their resume is complete. It will be a long wait until Selection Sunday.
BEST OF THE REST
Locks: None | Should Be In: None | Bubble: Drexel, Harvard, Iona, Long Beach State, Middle Tennessee State, Nevada, Oral Roberts
  • Drexel (27-6 | 16-2) | RPI: 67 | SOS: 209 |The Dragons may prove to be the ultimate “eye test” team for this year’s Selection Committee. Drexel had won 19 straight games before losing in the CAA championship to VCU. They were also the outright regular-season champions of the Colonial. Strictly by the numbers, Drexel finished 1-2 vs. Top 50 teams and just 4-3 against the Top 100. While they lost to St. Joseph’s and Virginia, Drexel beat Cleveland State by 20 on the road. All the Dragons can do now is wait and hope a few other things fall their way.
  • Iona (25-7 | 15-3) | RPI: 40 | SOS: 144 | – The Gaels ended their season by losing to Fairfield in the MAAC semifinals. Now, it’s a long wait until Selection Sunday. Iona has to hope that wins over Nevada and St. Joseph’s hold up and that a few things go their way. The Gaels finished 1-1 vs. the Top 50 and 5-3 vs. the Top 100. Losses to sub-200 teams Siena and Hofstra may ultimately doom Iona to the NIT.
  • Long Beach State (20-8 | 15-1) | RPI: 35 | SOS: 103 | – The 49ers nearly completed a perfect Big West season. And while early wins over Pittsburgh and Xavier help, they aren’t as strong as once thought. LBSU played the No. 1 non-conference schedule but went 0-6 vs. Top 50 teams and just 2-7 vs. the Top 100. Several close losses will help, but how much? Long Beach opens Big West tournament play against UC Davis.
  • Middle Tennesse State (24-6 | 14-2) | RPI: 57 | SOS: 183 | – The Blue Raiders’ chances are very slim after losing in the Quarterfinals of the Sun Belt tournament. Their best wins are Ole Miss, Akron and Belmont. But they ended the season with back-to-back losses to Western Kentucky and Arkansas State (both sub-200 teams). MTSU ended 0-1 vs. Top 50 teams.
  • Nevada (23-5 | 13-1) | RPI: 45 | SOS: 146 | – Having lost its BracketBusters game at Iona and then watching Iona fall early in the MAAC tournament, Nevada’s at-large chances are growing slim. What the Wolfpack do have is a win over Washington. Nevada has to reach the WAC title game to have any chance to stay in the at-large picture.
  • Oral Roberts (27-6 | 17-1) | RPI: 50 | SOS: 189 | – ORU beat Xavier, Missouri State, and Akron (BracketBusters) in non-conference play, although XU was without several players. But a loss to Western Illinois in the league tournament semis puts a damper on the Eagles’ at-large hopes. They finished 0-2 vs. Top 50 teams and just 3-3 against the Top 100. ORU has to hope a dominate season in the Summit is enough.

Hokies add another top-100 guard

Buzz Williams
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The upward trajectory of Virginia Tech basketball under Buzz Williams continued Wednesday.

Wabissa Bede, a Class of 2017 point guard, committed to the Hokies to give them their second top-100 player in the class.

The 6-foot-1 Massachusetts native choice Virginia Tech after taking official visits to both Blacksburg and Butler with UMass and LaSalle also in the mix. He’s ranked 77th in the 247Sports composite rankings.

“Wabissa Bede is a rugged guard who helps his team win games by defending and playing smart basketball,” NBCSports.com recruiting analyst Scott Phillips said. “He can stand to improve his perimeter jumper, but he has a high IQ and can make plays for others as a passer.

“Bede is a perfect Buzz Williams fit.”

Williams is developing quite the backcourt in this class with top-50 shooting guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker already committed to the Hokies.

It’s becoming a good time to be a Virginia Tech basketball fan after a couple of lean years to start the Williams era. The Hokies are a likely top-25 team and expected to end a 10-year NCAA drought this season with Seth Allen and Zach LeDay returning.

With the improvement of the on-court product and the recruiting successes, Virginia Tech certainly looks like a program on the rise.

VIDEO: The dorm for Kansas basketball players is ridiculous

LAWRENCE, KS - FEBRUARY 27: Bill Self head coach of the Kansas Jayhawks claps for his team as they celebrate winning the Big 12 Conference Championship after they defeated Texas Tech Red Raiders 67-58 at Allen Fieldhouse on February 27, 2016 in Lawrence, Kansas. With the win, Kansas clinched its 12th straight conference championship. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
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Indoor basketball courts.

A kitchen that’s nicer than what is in my home.

A pool table.

A rooftop patio overlooking the baseball field.

Flat-screens literally everywhere.

The $12 million building also houses 17 students that don’t play on the basketball team. I wonder how much money their parents had to donate to the school to get them on that list?

[Video via KUHoops.com, a Jayhawk-centric vertical launched by the Kansas City Star this month. Go ahead and bookmark that page. You’ll want it.]

College Basketball’s Impact Transfers

MEMPHIS, TN - MARCH 01: Austin Nichols #4 of the Memphis Tigers defends the shot of Luke Hancock #11 of the Louisville Cardinals during the game at FedExForum on March 1, 2014 in Memphis, Tennessee. Memphis won 72-66.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
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Beginning in September and running up until November 11th, the first day of the season, College Basketball Talk will be unveiling the 2016-2017 NBCSports.com college hoops preview package.

MORE: 2016-17 Season Preview Coverage | Conference Previews | Preview Schedule

Transfers have become a controversial topic in college basketball, with a record number of players seeking new teams every offseason. Graduate transfers and the more traditional variety that forces players to sit a season before playing are now both a huge part of roster construction and many of the best programs in the country are turning to transfers every offseason to help give them a boost.

With so many new faces in new places, here’s a look at some impact players that will be playing for a new program this season. Some of these players are good enough to make our NBCSports.com Preseason All-American Team while others could be that extra spark off the bench that comes up big in March.

MORE: All-Americans | Expert Picks | A Different Grayson Allen? | Trending programs

1. Austin Nichols, Virginia (via Memphis): The Cavaliers are trying to replace Mike Tobey and Anthony Gill and getting Nichols is going to be huge in that equation. After sitting out a season, Nichols will be asked to anchor Virginia’s famous pack-line defense and he’ll be equipped to do so after being third in the nation in blocks (3.4 a game) as a sophomore at Memphis. But Nichols can also score and rebound and he could be in for a monster season. NBCSports.com has faith that Nichols will be a huge impact for the ‘Hoos as he sits as a second-team Preseason All-American.

2. Nigel Williams-Goss, Jonathan Williams and Jordan Mathews, Gonzaga (via Washington, Missouri and Cal): Gonzaga utilized transfers as well as any team in the country to help build its roster this season as they get Williams-Goss and Williams coming off of a season of sitting out while Mathews can come in and provide another perimeter scorer right away. Williams should be a frontcourt impact for the Zags, but it’s Williams-Goss and his all-around efforts at lead guard that could net him All-American honors with a strong season. All three are hoping to lift Gonzaga to its first ever Final Four.

3. Marcus Foster, Creighton (via Kansas State): We saw two different versions of Marcus Foster during his two seasons at Kansas State and the Bluejays are hoping for the version that tore up the Big 12 as one of the premier freshmen in the country. After sitting out last season, Foster will be paired with talented point guard Mo Watson Jr. to form one of the nation’s best backcourts. Good luck defending both of these guys if they get rolling. Also with the potential to be a great defender, Foster could be an All-Big East selection if he returns to his freshman form.

4. Kyle Washington, Cincinnati (via N.C. State): With a lot of starts under his belt in the ACC, Washington should make an immediate impact for the Bearcats in replacing Octavius Ellis. With two more years of eligibility, Washington could be a huge boost to Cincinnati’s interior efforts as he can protect the rim a bit while also rebounding and scoring in the post. This summer among the college counselors at the Under Armour All-American Camp, Washington was one of the better players on the floor, so it’ll be interesting to see if that translates to success at his new school.

5. Andrew White, Syracuse (via Nebraska): One of the latest to commit as a graduate transfer this offseason, White gives the Orange a proven wing scorer who should be able to step in and help offset some of the loss of Malachi Richardson and Michael Gbinije. White isn’t the playmaker that Gbinije was, but he gives Jim Boeheim’s offense a double-figure scorer who could be valuable near the end of a possession if they’re looking for something from the perimeter.

LINCOLN, NE - FEBRUARY 3: Andrew White #3 of the Nebraska Cornhuskers shoots the ball over Rasheed Sulaimon #0 of the Maryland Terrapins during their game at Pinnacle Bank Arena on February 3, 2016 in Omaha, Nebraska. (Photo by Eric Francis/Getty Images)
Andrew White (Eric Francis/Getty Images)

6. Manu Lecomte, Baylor (via Miami): The Bears get a perimeter threat in Lecomte as he shot 45.8 percent from three-point range as a sophomore. Potentially taking the reigns at lead guard, Lecomte could be one of Baylor’s most important players this season.

7. Cullen Neal and Deandre Burnett, Ole Miss (via New Mexico and Miami): Playing for his father at New Mexico didn’t work out and Neal’s three-point ability should fit in nicely in Ole Miss’ free-flowing offense. Burnett has a chance to be a major contributor as a scorer to help offset the loss of Stefan Moody.

8. Josh Newkirk, Indiana (via Pittsburgh): With the loss of point guard Yogi Ferrell, Newkirk gives Indiana an experienced guard who can really push the pace in Tom Crean’s uptempo system.

9. Shaqquan Aaron, USC (via Louisville): There is no doubting the talent of the former top-50 prospect, but Aaron hasn’t played a full season in nearly two years. It will be interesting to see if he’s ready to start on the wing for a USC team that lost a lot of talented players.

10. Josh Cunningham, Dayton (via Bradley): The former four-star prospect could be a major contributor to the Flyers as he rebounds well and can also play multiple spots in the frontcourt thanks to some versatility.

11. Eric Paschall, Villanova (via Fordham): The former A-10 Rookie of the Year gives the defending national champs another talented forward this season as he’s a capable scorer who can also provide some help on the glass.

12. RaShid Gaston, Xavier (via Norfolk State): After sitting out a season, Gaston should help fill some of the production after James Farr and Jalen Reynolds both departed. Gaston averaged 15.5 points and 9.6 rebounds per game two seasons ago and could see major minutes.

Michigan guard Spike Albrecht (2) makes a layup between Northern Michigan forward Brett Branstrom, top left, and center Vejas Grazulis (52) in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Mich., Friday, Nov. 13, 2015. Michigan won 70-44. (AP Photo/Tony Ding)
Purdue guard Spike Albrecht (AP Photo/Tony Ding)

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Spike Albrecht, Purdue (via Michigan): Health will be the major question for the former Michigan point guard — as he’s coming off of dual hip surgeries that all but eliminated his final season at Michigan — but he could provide Purdue with a steady lead guard that they’ve been craving.

Sedrick Barefield and David Collette, Utah (via SMU, Utah State): Another program experiencing a lot of roster turnover, the Utes could ask for major minutes from both of these guys when they’re eligible after first semester. Barefield could be a ball handler who helps Lorenzo Bonam in the backcourt while Collette is more proven than most on the roster in the frontcourt.

Canyon Barry, Florida (via Charleston): The son of Rick Barry gives the Gators an additional scorer as he had at least 20 points in seven of 13 games last season. You should also keep an eye out for Barry’s under-handed free throws, which he took from his father’s game.

Darrell Bowie and Merrill Holden, Iowa State (via Northern Illinois and Louisiana Tech): Continuing in Fred Hoiberg’s tradition of bringing in talented transfers, Steve Prohm brought in two experienced and productive mid-major options who could receive major minutes.

Elijah Bryant and L.J. Rose, BYU (via Elon and Houston): With Dave Rose’s love of three-guard lineups, expect plenty of minutes from these two this season. Bryant was a major contributor for Elon as a freshman (14.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg) while Rose is an experienced guard who can play multiple spots.

Jordan Caroline, Leland King and Marcus Marshall, Nevada (via Southern Illinois, Brown and Missouri State). Head coach Eric Musselman took three talented transfers who are now eligible as King and Marshall are proven double-digit scorers and Caroline is a productive forward who can score and rebound.

Corban Collins and Nick King, Alabama (via Morehead State and Memphis): Returning to the SEC after starting his career at LSU, Collins could start at point guard for the Crimson Tide after making second-team All-OVC honors last season. King is a former top-100 prospect who can fill it up from the perimeter when he’s feeling it.

Junior Etou, Tulsa (via Rutgers): Tulsa’s roster is loaded with newcomers and the forward will be expected to contribute right away after showing solid production at Rutgers.

Shannon Evans, Arizona State (via Buffalo): Bobby Hurley gets his former Buffalo guard in the fold this season and Evans could start alongside Tra Holder to form a two-point guard lineup. Evans is a former second-team All-MAC selection who helped the Bulls to the NCAA tournament with Hurley as coach.

Davonte Fitzgerald, Reggie Lynch and Akeem Springs, Minnesota (via Texas A&M, Illinois State, Milwaukee): All three of these transfers have a chance for big minutes at Minnesota. Fitzgerald is a versatile wing, Lynch is a major shot blocker and rebounder down low and Springs is a double-figure scorer who is physical enough to handle the Big Ten.

Anton Gill, Nebraska (via Louisville): Tim Miles has done a great job with transfer guards and Gill is hoping to play a larger role after his time at Louisville. While sitting out last season, Gill proved in practice that he could be a major scorer for the Huskers this season.

L.G. Gill, Maryland (via Duquesne): Maryland was crushed by roster turnover and Gill gives them an experienced forward who can step in and provide some production on the glass and scoring inside.

Montaque Gill-Caesar, San Diego State (via Missouri): Showing some promise at Mizzou, this former four-star recruit gives the Aztecs more lineup flexibility as he could force Steve Fisher to play more three-guard lineups. Gill-Caesar gives San Diego State a nice matchup problem.

John Gillon, Syracuse (via Colorado State): A tempo-pushing guard who can score, Gillon will be asked to help run some point for the Orange, but he’s most comfortable playing in attack mode and finding his own offense.

J.C. Hampton, Texas A&M (via Lipscomb): Texas A&M lost Anthony Collins and Alex Caruso and freshman J.J. Caldwell is ineligible this season so Hampton becomes a huge addition after earning All-Atlantic Sun honors last season. Hampton will push for minutes at point guard after putting up 15.4 ppg last season.

Tony Hicks, Louisville (via Penn): Louisville was successful with transfers last season and they’re hoping Hicks can be another boost. Although not as talented as Damion Lee and Trey Lewis, Hicks is a proven scorer who should be a key role player.

Que Johnson, Junior Lomomba, Pancake Thomas, Western Kentucky (via Washington State, Providence, Hartford): New head coach Rick Stansbury aggressively hit the transfer market and came away with two double-figure scorers in Johnson and Thomas and a rugged and experienced defender in Lomomba.

Christian Kessee, Memphis (via Coppin State): Memphis is looking for any kind of help they can find in the backcourt and Kessee averaged 14.6 points and shot 39.5 percent from three-point range last season. He should provide a floor spacer and could start at either guard spot.

Terry Larrier, UConn (via VCU): A talented and versatile wing forward, Larrier should be a nice frontcourt addition to the Huskies that gives them a scoring boost as he has a lot of upside to be a major contributor the next few seasons.

Anthony Livingston, Texas Tech (via Arkansas State): Chris Beard did a great job with transfers at Little Rock and Livingston gives the Red Raiders a talented offensive threat after he put up 15.5 points and 9.4 rebounds last season.

Shelton Mitchell, Marquise Reed and Elijah Thomas, Clemson (via Wake Forest, Robert Morris, Texas A&M): Clemson’s backcourt was shaky last season and Mitchell and Reed — the former NEC Rookie of the Year — should help. Thomas is eligible after first semester and he’ll give the Tigers a potential post scoring threat who can rebound.

Semi Ojeleye, SMU (via Duke): Never a huge part of the rotation at Duke, this former four-star forward could be asked to play a huge role in SMU’s frontcourt as Ojeleye will help replace Markus Kennedy and Jordan Tolbert.

Rodney Pryor, Georgetown (via Robert Morris): One of the most productive low-major players in the country the last few seasons, Pryor gets to see how he fares in the Big East after putting up 18 points and 8 rebounds per game last season.

Katin Reinhardt and Andrew Rowsey, Marquette (via USC and UNC Asheville): Marquette struggled to hit perimeter shots last season and they’re hoping this duo provides them a major lift in that department. Reinhardt is a former top-100 prospect while Rowsey put up 19.7 points per game in two seasons at Asheville.

Alex Robinson, TCU (via Texas A&M): Jamie Dixon could count on this former four-star prospect to be a primary ball handler early as Robinson gives the Horned Frogs a steady lead guard to play with talented freshman Jaylen Fisher.

Stanford Robinson, Rhode Island (via Indiana): Things didn’t work out for the former top-100 prospect at Indiana but Robinson provides a valuable rotation piece for the Rams who play multiple spots on the floor. With star E.C. Matthews coming off an ACL injury, Robinson is huge from a depth perspective.

Kethan Savage, Butler (via George Washington): The athletic guard averaged double figures during his two seasons in D.C. but he’s coming off of shoulder surgery. Along with Memphis grad transfer Avery Woodson, Savage should help fill in for Roosevelt Jones.

Jaren Sina, George Washington (via Seton Hall): With plenty of Big East experience under his belt, Sina should help the Colonials as a playmaking guard who can score or distribute. If Sina’s perimeter shot becomes more consistent he could be a really nice pickup.

LaRon Smith, Auburn (via Bethune-Cookman): The addition of Smith boosts the Auburn frontcourt as he was sixth in the nation with 96 blocked shots last season. With talented forward Horace Spencer frequently getting in foul trouble, Smith could see a lot of minutes and might even be a starter.

Geno Thorpe, South Florida (via Penn State): Thorpe showed some scoring punch at Penn State and he gives the Bulls another perimeter weapon to help draw attention away from AAC All-Rookie selection Jahmal McMurray.

Keyshawn Woods, Wake Forest (via Charlotte): The Demon Deacons will get a perimeter boost with the addition of Woods as he shot 46.6 percent from three-point range as a freshman with the 49ers. Woods could start immediately this season.

Colorado State's John Gillon (4) shoots against Fresno State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in the semifinals at the Mountain West Conference men's tournament Friday, March 11, 2016, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
Syracuse guard John Gillon (AP Photo/David Becker)

2016-17 Season Preview: Programs on the Rise, Decline

Rick Stansbury, left, speaks at a news conference where he was announced as the new men's NCAA college basketball coach at Western Kentucky on Monday, March 28, 2016, in Bowling Green, Ky. (AP Photo/Michael Noble Jr.)
AP Photo/Michael Noble Jr.
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Beginning in September and running up until November 11th, the first day of the season, College Basketball Talk will be unveiling the 2016-2017 NBCSports.com college hoops preview package.

MORE: 2016-17 Season Preview Coverage | Conference Previews | Preview Schedule

Almost every program in the country begins the season with optimism and an idea of how the season might break their way, but the reality is that only some schools are destined to meet or exceed expectations and others are fated to fail to reach their goals.

Here’s a look at where we see 10 programs headed in the future, five that are on the rise and five that may never reach their peak again.

MORE: All-Americans | Expert Picks | A Different Grayson Allen?

Virginia Tech head coach Buzz Williams celebrates in the final moments of the Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech NCAA basketball game in Blacksburg, Va., Monday, Feb. 9, 2015. Virginia Tech won 65-63.  (AP Photo / The Roanoke Times, Matt Gentry)    LOCAL TELEVISION OUT; SALEM TIMES REGISTER OUT; FINCASTLE HERALD OUT;  CHRISTIANBURG NEWS MESSENGER OUT; RADFORD NEWS JOURNAL OUT; ROANOKE STAR SENTINEL OUT
Virginia Tech coach Buzz Williams (AP Photo/The Roanoke Times, Matt Gentry)

PROGRAMS ON THE RISE

Virginia Tech: It hasn’t been the smoothest transition for Buzz Williams in Blacksburg, but it looks as though the Hokies are now ready to take the next step forward. They’re returning the bulk of last year’s team — namely Seth Allen and Zach LeDay — that went 10-8 in the ACC, won its last five regular-season games and knocked off Florida State in the conference tournament. They also picked off a pair of top ten teams during the year in Miami and North Carolina. No one can motivate a group of players that feel disrespected for being overlooked the way that Buzz can, and that’s what he has this year.

Memphis: I don’t think anyone is expecting Tubby Smith to add to his national championship count with the Tigers, but Smith proved at Texas Tech that he’s still capable of winning more than 40 years into his career. He got the Red Raiders into the NCAA tournament, and the job in Lubbock is significantly more difficult than it is in Memphis, albeit with lower expectations. Still, expect Smith to consistently get the Tigers into the Dance and out of the malaise of the last few years of the Josh Pastner era. His public reputation is negative — part of the fallout from his split with Kentucky a decade ago — but Smith has outperformed expectations at every job that he has had throughout his career.

TCU: The Horned Frogs are dumping money into hoops to climb out of the Big 12 cellar, and early returns suggest its working. They upgraded their facilities in a big way with a $72-million arena renovation and, more importantly, went and got alum Jamie Dixon to leave a stagnant – yet successful – situation at Pitt. Dixon is a proven winner and already is pulling in four-star recruits. The dividends may not be paid in full this season, but the Frogs are on the come up in a big way.

Western Kentucky: The Hilltoppers have had plenty of success in their history, but it appears that first-year coach Rick Stansbury is setting things up for a major upgrade. First, he brought one-time Texas A&M Class of 2017 five-star commit Mitchell Robinson over with him and then added top-60, four-star guard Josh Anderson. There’s not a program in C-USA that can even come close to matching that kind of talent. And while the future is incredibly bright, he’s also added a number of transfers — including Providence’s Junior Lomomba and Washington State’s Que Johnson, both of whom are eligible this season — to bolster the roster this season.

Rhode Island: Last year was supposed to be a breakthrough for the Rams, but the torn ACL of E.C. Matthews derailed those dreams and stuck Rhode Island in mediocrity. Given Matthews’ talent and an almost bonus year of experience from the rest of the roster, things seem to be coalescing for Rhode Island to have a memorable – if not better – season under Dan Hurley. Their back court (Matthews, Jarvis Garrett, Jared Terrell, Stanford Robinson) is one of the best in the country.

PROGRAMS ON THE DECLINE

UNLV: It’s not like the Runnin’ Rebels were exactly killing it under Dave Rice, but they were recruiting at a level new coach Marvin Menzies isn’t likely to match. Also, the process for replacing Rice shined a light on how coaches see the UNLV job and the situation at the school. The Rick Pitino rumors never materialized and then they couldn’t pry Mick Cronin from Cincinnati before agreeing to terms with first-year Arkansas-Little Rock coach Chris Beard, whose contract wasn’t approved until two weeks later after a contentious Board of Regents vote. Then Beard bounced for Texas Tech just a couple weeks later, leaving the Rebs with Menzies and a roster that had just two scholarship players on it. The rebuild won’t be impossible, but it will take some time.

Georgetown: After four-straight seasons of being at least a top-six seed in the NCAA tournament, the Hoyas have missed the dance in two of the last three years, finishing below .500 last season for the first time since a 13-15 mark got Craig Esherick fired in 2004. The Hoyas aren’t developing their talent like we’ve seen in the past, and they’re likely to finish in the middle of the Big East pack this season, a couple of red flags that the program isn’t exactly trending upward.

Missouri: This may not even be an accurate spot for the Tigers given they’ve had just 19 wins overall and six in the SEC during Kim Anderson’s first two years in Columbia, but considering Anderson’s 2016 recruiting class didn’t feature a player ranked in the top-200 of 247Sports’ composite rankings and only one returner averaged double-digit scoring last year, rock bottom may still be looming for Missouri.

Stephen F. Austin: This one is almost just by default given the success the Lumberjacks have enjoyed in recent years. Brad Underwood is at Oklahoma State and Thomas Walkup is in the pros, and Stephen F. Austin really can’t improve one what those two accomplished together. One league loss in three years and two Southland Player of the Year awards is basically impossible to match, let alone top. New coach Kyle Keller has a great resume and tons of experience recruiting Texas, but some sort of step back seems inevitable given the heights Underwood brought to the program.

Nebraska: Tim Miles arrived with a lot of enthusiasm four years ago and Nebraska opened a $180-million arena in 2013, but the Huskers have just one NCAA tournament appearance and three losing seasons to show for it. The late grad transfer of Andrew White is a major blow, and Nebraska simply doesn’t have a ton of talent or experience on the roster, nor do they appear to be making any major gains on the recruiting trail. Simply put, Miles is finding out what all his predecessors have – it’s very hard to win in Lincoln.

Georgetown coach John Thompson III speaks before practice for an NCAA college basketball second round game in Portland, Ore., Wednesday, March 18, 2015. Georgetown plays Eastern Washington on Thursday. (AP Photo/Don Ryan)
Georgetown coach John Thompson III (AP Photo/Don Ryan)

VIDEO: Asheville player hits trick shot

NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 18:  Kevin Vannatta #10 of the UNC Asheville Bulldogs drives against Jalen Brunson #1 of the Villanova Wildcats in the first half during the first round of the 2016 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Barclays Center on March 18, 2016 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
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UNC-Asheville has gotten into the trick shot game.

The basketball program’s official Twitter account posted this video of guard Kevin Vannatta nailing a shot from the balcony of Kimmel Arena.

Nice shot, huh?

Vannatta, a junior from Upper Arlington, Ohio, started all 34 games for the Bulldogs last year, averaging 11.5 points and 4.2 rebounds per game while shooting 50.6 percent from the field and 37.8 percent from 3-point range. It looks, though , like he might be working on extending his range.