Latest NCAA tournament projections all about 1 seeds, bubbles and more

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Put your fingers together very closely.  That’s the margin we now have in the race for No. 1 seeds.  At least among the five leading contenders – Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Texas, Kansas, and Duke.  San Diego State and BYU could be in play if one wins both the outright Mountain West title and the MTW conference tournament crown.  Despite losses by all top four seeds this week, the top line remains status-quo.  Kansas keeps a slight edge for the final No. 1 spot thanks to a few more Top 100 wins.  Winning the ACC (league and tourney) would likely vault the Blue Devils above the Jayhawks, but this is where we’re at for a few more days.

The bubble remains highly suspect, although we did lose a few teams this week.  More to come in an updated Bubble Banter (Tuesday).  Not sure you like any of the final few teams in or out?  Same here. We still have a lot to be decided.  Virginia Tech is once again right on the cutline, and the Hokies project to just miss (again) today.

As always, rebounds welcome.  Bring along some notes.  Follow more on Twitter at BracketguyDave.  Enjoy the hoops.  Next bracket update will be Friday as we begin two-a-weeks until Selection Sunday.

UPDATED: Monday, February 21 | Records reflect Division I games only – through February 20.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected conference champion for this bracket. Exceptions are made for those teams that traditionally use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc).

NOTE: In the new 68-team format you will notice two pairing games that represent the First Four pairings. In this bracket the First Four games in Dayton would be … Gonzaga vs. Richmond | Boston College vs. VCU | Texas Southern vs. McNeese State | Murray State vs. Hampton. The final four at-large teams are paired along with the teams seeded 65-68 on the S-curve. The matchups are indicated in the bracket below.


EASTNewark   SOUTHEASTNew Orleans
Cleveland   Cleveland
1) OHIO STATE (25-2)   1) PITTSBURGH (24-3)
8  UNLV (20-7)   8  Washington (18-8)
9) Old Dominion (22-6)   9) Tennessee (16-11)
Washington, DC   Tampa
5) Vanderbilt (20-6)   5) Syracuse (22-6)
12) CHARLESTON (21-7)   12) Gonzaga / Richmond
4) Connecticut (20-6)   4) North Carolina (20-6)
13) FAIRFIELD (22-5)   13) CLEVELAND STATE (21-5)
Tampa   Chicago
6) West Virginia (17-9)   6) St. John’s (17-9)
11) Colorado State (17-9)   11) Memphis (20-7)
3) FLORIDA (21-5)   3) Purdue (22-5)
14) COASTAL CAROLINA (21-3)   14) BUCKNELL (19-8)
Charlotte   Denver
7) Temple (21-5)   7) GEORGE MASON (23-5)
10) Kansas State (17-9)   10) Marquette (16-11)
2) DUKE (25-2)   2) BYU (24-2)
15) LONG ISLAND (22-5)   15) VERMONT (22-6)
SOUTHWEST – San Antonio   WEST – Anaheim
Tulsa   Tulsa
1) TEXAS (23-4)   1) Kansas (24-2)
16) LONG BEACH (15-10)   16) MONTANA (17-8)
8  Florida State (19-7)   8  Cincinnati (21-6)
9) UTAH STATE (24-3)   9) Illinois (17-10)
Denver   Washington, DC
5) ARIZONA (23-4)   5) Kentucky (19-7)
12) MISSOURI STATE (21-7)   12) Boston College / VCU
4) Louisville (20-7)   4) Villanova (21-6)
13) UTEP (19-6)   13) OAKLAND (19-9)
Tucson   Charlotte
6) Missouri (20-6)   6) Texas AM (20-5)
11) ST. MARY’S (20-6)   11) Michigan State (14-11)
3) Wisconsin (20-6)   3) Georgetown (21-6)
14) PRINCETON (19-5)   14) BELMONT (25-4)
Chicago   Tucson
7) XAVIER (20-6)   7) UCLA (19-8)
10) Alabama (18-8)   10) Georgia (18-8)
2) Notre Dame (21-5)   2) SAN DIEGO STATE (25-1)
15) KENT STATE (16-9)   15) FLA ATLANTIC (17-9)



NOTES on the BRACKET: Ohio State remains the No. 1 overall seed followed by Pittsburgh, Texas, and Kansas. The two seeds in order are Duke, San Diego State, BYU, Notre Dame

Last Five teams in (at large): Memphis, Boston College, Gonzaga, Richmond, VCU

First Five teams out (at large): Virginia Tech, Southern Mississippi, UAB, Clemson, Minnesota

Also Considered: Baylor, Butler, Penn State, Wichita State, Washington State

Bracket adjustments: None in this bracket.

Here is the team breakdown by Conference …

Big East (11): PITTSBURGH, Connecticut, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Villanova, West Virginia, Louisville, St. John’s, Cincinnati, Marquette

SEC (6): FLORIDA, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama

Big 12 (5): KANSAS, Texas, Texas AM, Missouri, Kansas State

Big Ten (5): OHIO STATE, Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State

ACC (4): DUKE, North Carolina, Florida State, Boston College

Mountain West (4): SAN DIEGO STATE, BYU, UNLV, Colorado State

Pac 10 (3): ARIZONA, UCLA, Washington

Atlantic 10 (3): XAVIER, Temple, Richmond

Colonial (3): GEORGE MASON, Old Dominion, VCU

West Coast (2): ST. MARY’S, Gonzaga

Conference USA (2): UTEP, Memphis

Missouri Valley (1): MISSOURI STATE


Auto Bid conference champions … Utah State (WAC), Murray State (OVC), Fairfield (MAAC), Kent State (MAC), Montana (Big Sky), Charleston (Southern), Oakland (Summit), Long Beach (Big West), Long Island (NEC), Belmont (Atlantic Sun), Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt), Princeton (Ivy), Coastal Carolina (Big South), Hampton (MEAC), Bucknell (Patriot), Vermont (America East), McNeese State(Southland), Texas Southern (SWAC)

SMU won’t appeal tournament ban, Brown suspension

Associated Press
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Last month the NCAA announced that due to rules violations found in their investigation of the SMU men’s basketball program, the team would be banned from postseason play in 2015-16 and head coach Larry Brown would be suspended for the first nine games of the 2015-16 season. With a team led by seniors Nic Moore and Markus Kennedy and just one player (Keith Frazier) being the subject of the investigation, it was assumed that SMU would at the very least appeal the postseason ban.

Friday, the school announced that while it will appeal some of the penalties handed down by the NCAA to the men’s basketball and men’s golf programs they will not appeal the postseason ban or Brown’s suspension.

“After careful consideration, however, we will not appeal the NCAA post-season ban on men’s basketball or partial season suspension of Head Men’s Basketball Coach Larry Brown,” SMU president R. Gerald Turner stated in the release. “Although we regret the severe impact on our student-athletes, the simple fact is that the NCAA penalty structure mandates at minimum a one-year post-season ban for the level of misconduct that occurred, in our case, when a former staff member completed an online high school course for a prospective student-athlete, committing academic misconduct.

“In addition, should we appeal this matter, the lengthy process and uncertainty during this period could harm many aspects of the program. Coach Brown and his staff also agree that it is in the best interests of the program to accept these sanctions and move forward.”

Among the penalties the school will appeal (with regards to the basketball program) are the “duration of scholarship losses” and how long the recruiting restrictions placed on the program will last, and the vacating of games Frazier played in during the 2013-14 season.

This a tough turn of events for players who had nothing to do with the violations, as they see their opportunity to return to the NCAA tournament taken away. As a result of the school’s decision, SMU’s season will end March 9 following their regular season finale against Cincinnati.

Kevin Marfo commits to George Washington

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Kevin Marfo committed to George Washington on Friday evening, announcing his decision on Twitter.

“I am grateful and appreciative to all the schools that recruited me. But I will be spending the next four years at George Washington University,” he tweeted.

This caps a successful week for Mike Lonergan on the recruiting trail. On Tuesday, GW landed a commitment from Darnell Rogers, a 5-foot-3 point guard. He is the son of former GW guard Shawnta Rogers, the 1999 Atlantic 10 Player of the Year. GW ends the week by adding a tenacious rebounder to a front court that graduates top rebounder Kevin Larsen after this season. Rogers and Marfo join power forward Collin Smith in the Class of 2016. Seton Hall transfer Jaren Sina will also be eligible in 2016-17.

He cut his list to 10 in August with Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, Minnesota, Boston College, UMass, Saint Joseph’s, DePaul, Rhode Island and Providence all making the cut along wit the Colonials. He later trimmed the list to five finalists: BC, Providence, DePaul, GW and Rhode Island.

The Worcester Academy (Mass.) forward played for BABC this summer in the Nike EYBL, averaging 11.3 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.  The 6-foot-8 Marfo is listed as the No. 148 overall player in the Class of 2016 by Rivals.